New Delhi, Jun 26: With looming uncertainty and no likelihood of an early economic recovery in sight, the bull run in gold prices is here to stay. Analysts expect domestic futures to touch ₹ 52,000 per 10 grams in the next few months, till Diwali.
Experts also predict that with the current trend, gold may reach historic levels around ₹ 65,000 per 10 grams in two years time.
Futures of the yellow metal have touched new highs in India off late. On Wednesday, the August contract of gold futures on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) touched an all-time high of Rs 48,589 per 10 grams.
It has, however corrected since and is currently trading at ₹ 48,057 on the MCX, higher by ₹ 116 or 0.24 per cent from its previous close.
Market experts are of the view that both domestic and international gold prices are yet not done breaching records and will touch new highs in days to come.
The resurgence in the number of new cases of coronavirus infection across the globe has added to the uncertainty and fears.
Speaking to media persons, Anuj Gupta, DVP for Commodities and Currencies Research at Angel Broking, noted: "In short term we are expecting it to reach ₹ 48,800-49,000 and for long term, we are expecting ₹ 51,000-Rs 52,000 till Diwali."
On the prices in the international market, he said that it may reach around $1,790 per ounce in the near term from the current levels of $1,762 and the long term, it is likely to be around $1,820-1,850 per ounce.
Gupta noted that with International Monetary Fund's (IMF) latest downward revision of economic outlook, both global and of India, and the rising number of cases and high demand by gold exchange traded funds (ETF) have led to this record breaking rise in gold prices.
Covid-19 battered India's economy is projected to contract by 4.5 per cent this fiscal, according to the IMF and the global output is projected to decline by 4.9 per cent in 2020, 1.9 percentage points below the IMF's April forecast.
Hareesh V, Head of Commodity Research at Geojit Financial Services, said that gold's safe haven appeal will remain on the higher side as there is little hope of a quick global economic recovery amid rising virus cases across the world.
"Increased geopolitical instability and an under-performing dollar also lift the metal's sentiments," he added.
According to Prathamesh Mallya, AVP Research, Non-Agro Commodities & Currencies at Angel Broking, said that with the global output to contract and the economies in a deeper recession than most anticipate, gold as an asset class is a safe bet for investors across the globe.
"Although, the physical demand has declined drastically due to the restrictions and lockdowns, the activity of global central banks and their net purchases of gold signal that uncertainty will continue for most of 2020," he said.
He was also of the view that in the international market price of the metal may move towards $1,850 per ounce and in the domestic market it is likely to move higher towards Rs 50,000 per 10 grams.
"The investment demand as seen in the net additions of ETF holdings also signals that gold will shine for a much longer time even if the pandemic is under control. Till then, keep buying gold, if not in physical form, but in digital form," Mallya added.
Industry insiders like Aditya Pethe, Director, WHP Jewellers said: "I basically feel that the current trend for the gold is bullish and for the coming next 2 years, it is likely to move upwards. No one can predict the exact price as currently the trend is on rise but it might change after 6 months. In general for the coming 6 months to one year, the gold prices are likely to cross $2,000 which comes to roughly Rs 55,000. For a temporary moment it may reduce, basically fluctuate as well but overall trend of gold is going to be bullish."
On his part, Ishu Datwani, Founder, Anmol Jewellers said: "Yes - it's very likely that the gold price could easily go up to Rs 60,000-Rs 65,000 in the next two years. There is also a possibility of it going up even more."
"A lot of banks have been buying gold and there is also a possibility that the Indian rupee will depreciate against the dollar. This and geopolitical reasons will cause bullishness in gold."
Comments
Waoooooo.....
Beef Sukka will be the main menu in this party.
What an idea sirjee, truly a international ___ agenda.
First thing is attending iftar party of haram earning is not permissible to a muslim.... dont host iftar party to show unity in hindu muslims instead go and save the poor hindu muslims who are dying of hunger and non shelter
Indresh Kumar who is the master mind for Samjoutha Express blast and accused in many terror activity in India..! Let them arrange Iftar party at Nagpur head office.
ALLAH is the creator of all that exists and even RSS members comes under it... they are not excluded.
ALLAH will judge according to our deeds done in this life and reward HEAVEN or hell which is eternity.
ALLAH sent many messenger to convey the message of knowing ALLAH who created all that exists & WORSHIP him alone without associating Partners with him.
ALLAH sent QURAN to the last and final messenger and its a guidance to whole of HUMANITY.....not just Muslims.
Quran asks MANKIND to ponder, contemplate and research on what it says. It also asks the intelligent creation of ALLAH to think again & think.
The ONE who is intelligent will understand it better
The ONE who doesnt want to accept - I feel pity on him that he could not recognize his CREATOR.
ALLAH knows What is RSS PLAN here. and ALLAH is the best of PLANNER... Any MUSLIM who attend this iftar party should convey the message of ISLAM. and also mention what happens to human life once ALLAH takes the LIFE back which he has created in the first place.
He can create us once again to give JUSTICE ... its easy for him .
WORSHIP THE CREATOR NOT HIS CREATION
Waoo wonderful Idea what for MRM looks like another part of 72 divisions of the group, any way, things are very/very good Ideology but do not Forget to Invite Our Master NAREN Bai !!!!!!!! you must call him he should have to have see the unity of a group!!!!!!!! no Gangasara served, Naren go buddy enjoy with your friends. Chalo Gujarat, you can see some of the Looted and Burned building.
if this sanghis can serve beef in this event, that will be the great meet i can call.
some negative comments i can c i will challenge those to celebrate diwali and show their real colour, some unwanted group of the country dont want the unity between the two. this is really sad because of few people.
all the best. will pray for the success of this program and this meet should be presented every year.
good move by sangha parivar, lets unite together,
Wow great anyways all the best for this great meet let both the party unite together,
Beef Sukka Serving!!!!
wow good one, everyone can attend?
Sangha Parivar doing good job, lets some dogs bark, nothing can harm the society and true agenda of the sangha parivar. they only want the growth of india. lets support it atleast instead of negative comments.
Please beware this RSS iftar party ...tiz is NAMROOD NARENDRA MODI
Plan...protest tiz type of iftar party....
DRAMA!!!!
or
SHOW OFF
OR
REALITY????
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