New Delhi, Jun 26: With looming uncertainty and no likelihood of an early economic recovery in sight, the bull run in gold prices is here to stay. Analysts expect domestic futures to touch ₹ 52,000 per 10 grams in the next few months, till Diwali.
Experts also predict that with the current trend, gold may reach historic levels around ₹ 65,000 per 10 grams in two years time.
Futures of the yellow metal have touched new highs in India off late. On Wednesday, the August contract of gold futures on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) touched an all-time high of Rs 48,589 per 10 grams.
It has, however corrected since and is currently trading at ₹ 48,057 on the MCX, higher by ₹ 116 or 0.24 per cent from its previous close.
Market experts are of the view that both domestic and international gold prices are yet not done breaching records and will touch new highs in days to come.
The resurgence in the number of new cases of coronavirus infection across the globe has added to the uncertainty and fears.
Speaking to media persons, Anuj Gupta, DVP for Commodities and Currencies Research at Angel Broking, noted: "In short term we are expecting it to reach ₹ 48,800-49,000 and for long term, we are expecting ₹ 51,000-Rs 52,000 till Diwali."
On the prices in the international market, he said that it may reach around $1,790 per ounce in the near term from the current levels of $1,762 and the long term, it is likely to be around $1,820-1,850 per ounce.
Gupta noted that with International Monetary Fund's (IMF) latest downward revision of economic outlook, both global and of India, and the rising number of cases and high demand by gold exchange traded funds (ETF) have led to this record breaking rise in gold prices.
Covid-19 battered India's economy is projected to contract by 4.5 per cent this fiscal, according to the IMF and the global output is projected to decline by 4.9 per cent in 2020, 1.9 percentage points below the IMF's April forecast.
Hareesh V, Head of Commodity Research at Geojit Financial Services, said that gold's safe haven appeal will remain on the higher side as there is little hope of a quick global economic recovery amid rising virus cases across the world.
"Increased geopolitical instability and an under-performing dollar also lift the metal's sentiments," he added.
According to Prathamesh Mallya, AVP Research, Non-Agro Commodities & Currencies at Angel Broking, said that with the global output to contract and the economies in a deeper recession than most anticipate, gold as an asset class is a safe bet for investors across the globe.
"Although, the physical demand has declined drastically due to the restrictions and lockdowns, the activity of global central banks and their net purchases of gold signal that uncertainty will continue for most of 2020," he said.
He was also of the view that in the international market price of the metal may move towards $1,850 per ounce and in the domestic market it is likely to move higher towards Rs 50,000 per 10 grams.
"The investment demand as seen in the net additions of ETF holdings also signals that gold will shine for a much longer time even if the pandemic is under control. Till then, keep buying gold, if not in physical form, but in digital form," Mallya added.
Industry insiders like Aditya Pethe, Director, WHP Jewellers said: "I basically feel that the current trend for the gold is bullish and for the coming next 2 years, it is likely to move upwards. No one can predict the exact price as currently the trend is on rise but it might change after 6 months. In general for the coming 6 months to one year, the gold prices are likely to cross $2,000 which comes to roughly Rs 55,000. For a temporary moment it may reduce, basically fluctuate as well but overall trend of gold is going to be bullish."
On his part, Ishu Datwani, Founder, Anmol Jewellers said: "Yes - it's very likely that the gold price could easily go up to Rs 60,000-Rs 65,000 in the next two years. There is also a possibility of it going up even more."
"A lot of banks have been buying gold and there is also a possibility that the Indian rupee will depreciate against the dollar. This and geopolitical reasons will cause bullishness in gold."
Comments
I'm a Gujrati Brahmin settled in Bangalore. I come from a family which has been in the RSS for three generations. Being from RSS, I and my family were big supporters of the Modi Government when it came to power in the early 2000. We are middle class people, my father being the owner of a small printing press in Amdbd. We had Muslim employees working in the press. All of them were killed in 2002. This openned my father's and my eyes to the reality of BJP, RSS and Modi. My father winded up the business and by 2004 we quit Gujarat and settled in Bangalore. RSS is the most fascist organization in India. BJP is the most corrupt party. Gujrat model is nothing but a web of lies corruption and photoshop. Forget Hindus, Modi will harm the business class too. Modi only works for a few selected business houses rest all should fend for themselves. Living in the considerably freee and cosmopolitan environs of Bangalore I've realized that there is no progress if it is limited to a caste, a religious majority or minority or any other group. Progress has to be for all. RSS and its cronies will not last long. Country is getting sick and tired of their threats and abuses. Their inciting of riots at the drop of a hat. Woe to them when the 80% of the population take a leaf out of their book and hunt them down like dogs that they are.
@ SUNIL RAO
FRIST NEED TO CLARIFY IS BHARATH IS MATHA OR PITHA MALE OR FEMALE ....
THEN WE WIL DECIDE WHAT TO DO KILL HER OR SEND HER
RSS STARTED TO ATTACK THE GRILS ALSO THEY HAVE VERY GOOD REASON SLOGAN PAKISTAN ZINDABAD,
FILE CRIMINAL CASE OR BAN RSS
Typical Sanghi behaviour. It will be absurd if people think that the justice will be done to that girl. In any case, Doomsday for VHP and its allies is coming soon...
and #ModiLovesKarachiBiryani.
India Zindabad, Pakistan Zindabad, And whole world Zindabad
What is the problem in wishing everybody's welfare.
Are we loosing anything. Should we be jealous in others prosperity.
Narrow minded never develop nor allow others to develop.
First govt should ban ABVP kind, this group is really threat to our society.
These are Anti nationals who always will take law in hands ....and claim to be the protectors of LAW....only way is to shake the base....that is RSS
this abvp people dont have any work if she want to call anything let her call it is her karma of death, why are we simply Popularizing such a kind.
Pakistan Zinadabad, I am not saying this one your own swami, sri sri...something like that said...go and beat him too if you have guts...
Bharath Mata Ki Jai, Kill her she must not be allowed to enter india.
Add new comment