New Delhi, Jun 26: With looming uncertainty and no likelihood of an early economic recovery in sight, the bull run in gold prices is here to stay. Analysts expect domestic futures to touch ₹ 52,000 per 10 grams in the next few months, till Diwali.
Experts also predict that with the current trend, gold may reach historic levels around ₹ 65,000 per 10 grams in two years time.
Futures of the yellow metal have touched new highs in India off late. On Wednesday, the August contract of gold futures on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) touched an all-time high of Rs 48,589 per 10 grams.
It has, however corrected since and is currently trading at ₹ 48,057 on the MCX, higher by ₹ 116 or 0.24 per cent from its previous close.
Market experts are of the view that both domestic and international gold prices are yet not done breaching records and will touch new highs in days to come.
The resurgence in the number of new cases of coronavirus infection across the globe has added to the uncertainty and fears.
Speaking to media persons, Anuj Gupta, DVP for Commodities and Currencies Research at Angel Broking, noted: "In short term we are expecting it to reach ₹ 48,800-49,000 and for long term, we are expecting ₹ 51,000-Rs 52,000 till Diwali."
On the prices in the international market, he said that it may reach around $1,790 per ounce in the near term from the current levels of $1,762 and the long term, it is likely to be around $1,820-1,850 per ounce.
Gupta noted that with International Monetary Fund's (IMF) latest downward revision of economic outlook, both global and of India, and the rising number of cases and high demand by gold exchange traded funds (ETF) have led to this record breaking rise in gold prices.
Covid-19 battered India's economy is projected to contract by 4.5 per cent this fiscal, according to the IMF and the global output is projected to decline by 4.9 per cent in 2020, 1.9 percentage points below the IMF's April forecast.
Hareesh V, Head of Commodity Research at Geojit Financial Services, said that gold's safe haven appeal will remain on the higher side as there is little hope of a quick global economic recovery amid rising virus cases across the world.
"Increased geopolitical instability and an under-performing dollar also lift the metal's sentiments," he added.
According to Prathamesh Mallya, AVP Research, Non-Agro Commodities & Currencies at Angel Broking, said that with the global output to contract and the economies in a deeper recession than most anticipate, gold as an asset class is a safe bet for investors across the globe.
"Although, the physical demand has declined drastically due to the restrictions and lockdowns, the activity of global central banks and their net purchases of gold signal that uncertainty will continue for most of 2020," he said.
He was also of the view that in the international market price of the metal may move towards $1,850 per ounce and in the domestic market it is likely to move higher towards Rs 50,000 per 10 grams.
"The investment demand as seen in the net additions of ETF holdings also signals that gold will shine for a much longer time even if the pandemic is under control. Till then, keep buying gold, if not in physical form, but in digital form," Mallya added.
Industry insiders like Aditya Pethe, Director, WHP Jewellers said: "I basically feel that the current trend for the gold is bullish and for the coming next 2 years, it is likely to move upwards. No one can predict the exact price as currently the trend is on rise but it might change after 6 months. In general for the coming 6 months to one year, the gold prices are likely to cross $2,000 which comes to roughly Rs 55,000. For a temporary moment it may reduce, basically fluctuate as well but overall trend of gold is going to be bullish."
On his part, Ishu Datwani, Founder, Anmol Jewellers said: "Yes - it's very likely that the gold price could easily go up to Rs 60,000-Rs 65,000 in the next two years. There is also a possibility of it going up even more."
"A lot of banks have been buying gold and there is also a possibility that the Indian rupee will depreciate against the dollar. This and geopolitical reasons will cause bullishness in gold."
Comments
Alhamdulillah.
Brother Naren And Viren
We can understand your Frustration.What to do Barking Dogs never bites like Our beloved GO SWAMI.
Try to learn about ISLAM before its too late...so that you can secure you life after Death.
Alhumdulillah Allah is great. Allah knows better how to protect his people and Religion.
Naik given clean shit ?
Chaddi logonko mirchi lage tho hum kya Kare Sanghi chaddi RSS medias were hiding now uriyuttada burnol hachi.........
allahu akbar
Karen and Viren.....dont watch much versions of zakir Naik.....ull change too........you better keep barking so we can have some time pass in CD... every morning.....
Allah is with the true person.....and now need to see what the barking media says.......
Allahu Akbar, After checking all his videos there may be chances of police department convert to Islam.
Naren must be happy in Singapore...... or losing night sleep..... Now this GOO ( human shit ) SAMI should be arrested for defaming innocent Dr Zakir Naik...... Naren wish you happy eid.....
Viren,
Even if the intelligence arrest him. What can they do...
They can deceive People like U to hate more
But Majority of them got what Zakir is preaching to reach the one GOD ...
Dont stay away from ONE GOD who created YOU , ME and all that exists .. U will be a loser in the end.
Learn who is WORTHY Of WORSHIP also NA TASYA PRATIMA ASTI . it will stop hating others
AL HAMDULILLAH, Viren dont bark study islam from zakir dont go by on line, on line may you will get wrong information from Chaddi yahoodi jewish trying to bring bad name to islam, one thing who ever try to bring bad name to islam or hate islam ISLAM IS ISLAM god will defend no one can stop it, terrorism is Jewish culture islam will not support terrorism,
Hahaha. Maharashtra intelligence department is very shrewd. It knows how to trap thieves. Now it will say it cannot arrest. Once he comes to indian, then he will spend rest of his life in prison like abdul naser madani..
Alhamdulillah, Truth always wins. No matter Arnab or any other haters try to malign him.I think IRF should file a case against Times now and Arnab Go swami now, Its time to ban Times Now.
Most of the media is not publishing this news.All the haters of Dr. Naik please apply some Burnol to your A** so that you will get some relief.
Being an hindu. I have gone through many clips. But media showed only half truth. Which is dangerous. Dr naik only wanted hindu and muslims unite and love other. If this is wrong. Then i hate rss vhp...
They opened their own grave by bringing dr naik issue.
Al Hamdulillah....Allahu Akbar
Al Hamdulillah.. Allah is great.. Remember chelas and chaddis.. Dr. Zakir Naik has prayers from All Over the world Muslims.. In Sha Allah he will win because he preaches only n ONLY PEACE.. May Allah give him Afiyath.. Ameen..
Dear State Intteligence Dept. ,(Maharastra)
Please share your Investigation Report with Mr. Arnab Go-Bar Swami, Atleast we can Expect some wise sound from him rather than spiting venom in media.& Mr. Arnab Go-Bar Swami please get well soon.
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