The fast-paced developments in Karnataka are taking even the shrewdest of political pundits by surprise and the latest twist in the drama has only added to the intrigue and mystery. In an unprecedented move the Karnataka governor has in a gesture of "kindness" given chief minister BS Yeddyurappa another chance to prove his majority in the Assembly. After initial hesitation, the BJP government has agreed to take the floor test on Thursday to placate an aggrieved HR Bharadwaj.
The latest turn in the ongoing crisis reminds one of the unpredictable spin and bounce on the fourth and fifth day pitches in India. The picture-perfect parallel one can draw in the present situation is the ongoing series against Australia, where fall of a couple of wickets in the post-tea session on the fourth day suddenly springs the draw-bound Test into life. Similarly, the act of the governor has set the stage for a grand final day of the political Test in Karnakata, with all four parties (read batsmen, bowlers, fielders and also substitutes) getting interested in the game. The only deviation one can think of is the role of the governor, who in this instance has been getting more importance than a Billy Bowden or an Assad Rauf.
The highlight of the present drama is the ever-changing fortunes of each group and as in a cricket match the pendulum of luck continues to oscillate from one end to the other. The Congress, which was upbeat, following the governor's reported recommendation for the president's rule in Karnataka on Monday night is now a picture of utter dejection and frustration. The BJP, whose celebration of 106-0 confidence vote victory was cut short by the governor's missive to the centre, is beginning to see an opportunity in adversity. HD Kumaraswamy, who had been effusive in his praise of the governor, has turned a staunch critic overnight. The refusal to impose "follow-on" (read giving opposition another chance to bat on) has irked him and the jargons used against Yeddyurappa are now conveniently directed at the Rajbhavan.
Any ordinary observer of Karnataka politics knew very well that the governor would take the centre-stage once the real drama begins to unfold. Bharadwaj had been dropping hints throughout that he is the real king-maker and accordingly kept cards close to his chest. The missive to the speaker to maintain the numerical composition of the Assembly had sparked mixed reactions, but the way he has reacted after the dramatic trust-vote has only prodded him to hog the limelight even more vigorously. You may be surprised to know that the number of calls the governor's office received in the past 10 days was more than the volume of calls during his entire 18-month stay in Bangalore.
The governor, who has been accused of being pro-Congress, now has exposed himself to the wrath of almost all the parties, including JDS, BJP and the rebels. The decision by the Karnataka High Court not to deliver the verdict on the disqualification proceedings until 18th of October has forced Congress to change their stance vis a vis Bharadwaj. RV Deshpande has gone to the extent of saying that the governor has taken an "unconstitutional" stand and there might have been some people in the Centre who might have prompted the present move.
Given the present numerical composition, the government would scrape through with 105 members expected to support it as against the joint strength of the JDS and Congress, which is 101. Whether this will happen without the ugly and obscene scenes being played all over again remains to be seen. But, what looks certain for now is that the mercurial governor will continue to hit the headlines, even after Thursday's vote as the state looks destined to undergo another spell of political uncertainty.
The governor's move has once again given credence to the theory of Congress leaders working at cross interests. According to one report, some "important leaders" from Karnataka holding important posts in the Union cabinet have 'influenced' Bharadwaj's decision. There are also rumours that people who do not want to see Siddaramaiah as chief minister are behind this 'plot'. According to another theory, the move is to deny any sympathy wave for the BJP in the event of state going for another mid-term election. The leaders in Delhi know it too well that Kumaraswamy's "betrayal" two and a half years ago had handed BJP the power on a platter.
It is quite evident that the BJP does not trust Rajbhavan, but the fresh challenge has come as a blessing in disguise for them. They will be more than willing to show to the world that they can win the trust vote without resorting to strong arm tactics and the help by Shankar Bidari and his colleagues. The BJP might also look for some redemption for speaker, who has set a storm by his alleged arbitrary moves.
However, for ordinary people like you and me, the experience of the past couple of weeks is nothing less than traumatic. Our legislators have set an ignominious new precedent through their collective misbehavior during the free-for-all Assembly session on Monday. The shameless display of hooliganism and rowdy behavior by MLAs cutting across party lines has forced the ordinary voters to bow their heads in shame. Will our MLAs be ready to spend time in their offices in Vidhana Saudha after pocketing the insane slush money and treating themselves to freebies at seven-star comforts in Chennai, Goa, Bangalore, Kochi and Pune?
Comments
Add new comment