Will the BS Yeddyurappa government once again be forced to take floor test? Is the veteran leader who has already created a record of sorts by seeking confidence vote five times braced for one more Agnipariksha? The developments of Thursday suggest that the BJP’s first chief minister from South will have to climb one more mountain before he can heave a sigh of relief.
The ruling party got a shot in the arm on a windy Thursday by proving its majority in the upper house of the legislature by a slender margin of six votes. The government sailed through with 106 people voting in favour of the government while 100 MLAs registered their opposition.
The result of the trust was a foregone conclusion once the High Court declined to pass an interim order on the petitions filed by the five independent MLAs and the 11 rebel MLAs of the BJP against the disqualification order passed by Speaker KG Bopaiah.
But there was one more twist in the tale as BJP MLA L M Vajjal and JDS MLA MC Ashwath were absent during the 30-minute session. This could not have affected the outcome of the result since the absence meant each side lost a vote each. But the vote that helped the BJP to turn the tide in their favour was that of MP Renukacharya, the former rebel leader and that of Kolar independent MLA Varthur Prakash, who had distanced himself from the ruling party.
Given the numerical composition of both the groups in the House following the disqualification of 12 BJP rebel MLAs and five independent MLAs, Mr Yeddyurappa would any way have scraped through. But, the threat of having to face the floor test after the High Court gives its ruling over the disqualification petition still looms over his head. The chief minister himself appreciates this predicament and this was evident in one of his statements immediately after the trust vote. “As per constitutional provisions I need not have to seek a confidence vote for the next six months,” the chief minister had said at the press conference.
The fact that the Congress and JDS have formalized their alliance by holding a joint legislative party meeting following the trust vote shows that the trouble for the ruling party is far from over. If there had been any doubt about the success of their mission they would not have forged such an alliance, which would obviously weaken their traditional support base. Though Siddaramaiah and HD Revanna addressed the media jointly in their capacities as the legislative party leaders of Congress and JDS respectively, nobody could falt journalists if they were made to believe that the two sitting before them were indeed the future chief minister and the future deputy chief minister.
One should not lose sight of the fact that the two parties were not among the greatest of friends even as recently as last month’s by-elections to Gulbarga South and Kadur in Chickmagalur district. Both JDS and Congress had fielded their own candidates during the election and a truck between the two had appeared a very distant possibility. Even after the outbreak of present crisis, the two had maintained a safe distance, though there had been some bonhomie in the form of secret meetings between Kumaraswamy and Siddarmaiah.
But the extreme confidence and positive energy exuded by the leaders of both the parties despite the setback in the trust motion shows that the honeymoon is set to continue. Considering the presence of leaders of divergent ideological moorings in the Congress, it would be very difficult to have an understanding with the JDS unless the move is backed fully by the high command. The body language of Siddaramaiah and Revanna on Thursday indicated just that. It appeared as if the two parties had struck a deal and it was just a matter of time before the two got an oppotunity to enjoy their place in the sun.
Another significant development of the day was the softened stand of both Congress and JDS against the governor, who had provided one more chance to Yeddyurappa to prove his majority. The move had been dubbed as unconstitutional and unlawful by Siddaramaiah until Wednesday, but the tone of criticism changed by Thursday. Speaker Bopaiah was the villain number one for both JDS and Congress.
On the other hand BJP continued its tirade against the governor despite being given another chance to prove a majority in a legitimate manner. The governor had also climbed down from his earlier stand of seeking presidential rule or intervention, which would have been catastrophic for the BJP. The party leaders, both in Delhi and Bangalore, reiterated their demand to recall the “Congress agent” HR Bharadwaj.
Everybody knew that the vote of trust would not end the present stalemate and with judiciary also getting involved in the muddle, the uncertainty is set to drag on for quite some time. Will the governor ask Yeddyurappa to prove his majority once again if the five independent MLAs and 11 rebels win their appeal against disqualification? According to political pundits, the possibility of independent MLAs getting a chance to retain their Assembly membership is far greater than the rebel BJP MLAs? What happens if these five independent MLAs win back their right of vote?
These questions will continue to hog the limelight even as both the sides seek to add few more members to their side in the coming days. The allegation by HD Kumaraswamy about his party MLA CS Ashwath being taken hostage by the BJP activists on the orders of Yeddyurappa and the independent MLA Varthur Prakash being offered Rs 50 Crore to switch loyalty is only the indicator of the things that will follow. But all said and done, all the parties, Congress, JDS and the ruling BJP need a big round of applause for maintaining the decorum of the House during the trust motion. One would have wondered if these were the same set of people who had turned the House into a battle field just three days ago?
Is this a real change of heart? Or is this just a lull before the big storm?
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