Will the smile on Deveragunda Venkatappa or D V Sadananda Gowda last? From the common man to the political pundit, anyone who has watched the ugly succession drama of the last couple of weeks in the State BJP is asking the same question. But one should not forget that Gowda’s smile cannot be the barometer of his inner feelings. The ‘colgate teeth’ had not deserted him even during the worst times in his personal life, be it his own health problems or the tragic death of his son Kaushik Gowda, in a road accident near Puttur in 2003.
Therefore, only a novice would seek to gauge his state of mind with the expressions on his face. If at all there is anything on his face that would give away the secret, it has to be the cease on his forehead. Even before he has set out on the ardous journey as the 26th chief minister of the state, the number of wrinkles on his forehead has doubled. The drops of sweat on his forehead are becoming increasingly evident. Although it would be too premature to say what the future has in store for him, the Udupi-Chikmagalur MP himself is aware that the challenges are many and varied.
Technically speaking, Sadananda Gowda may be the chief minister of a BJP government, which enjoys absolute majority in the Legislative Assembly. But with the party vertically divided into B S Yeddyurappa and Jagadish Shettar factions, he is literally heading the “BJP’s first coalition government” in the State. With the kind of narrow majority he enjoys (62 MLAs against 55 of the Shettar group) it is definitely going to be a tightrope walk for the man, who is not known for astute political moves or maneuvering abilities.
The first-ever BJP government in the South has been haunted by the number-game ever since its inception in May 2007. BJP finished tantalizingly close to the simple majority in the Assembly election by winning 110 seats and it was but natural that they staked claim to form the government and subsequently cobbled up majority by securing the support of the five independent MLAs. But, in his greed to make it 100 per cent BJP government, Yeddyurappa tried to lure the MLAs from other parties by promising them with ministership. As a result, he got took the strength of the party beyond the magic number of 113, but he hardly realized that this would sow the seeds for a long-lasting feud and discord in the party.
Yeddyurappa’s vengeance towards the opposition parties had blinded him to such an extent that he hardly realized that he was venturing into a dangerous terrain. He had to strike a deal with the powerful Reddy brothers to carry out ‘Operation Kamala’ unmindful of the risk involved in joining hands with the people, who had become a law unto themselves. With the kind of churning sparked off by the Operation Kamala, it was but natural that he had to face successive efforts to topple him by his own party colleagues. The allegations of corruption and nepotism added to his woes. But ultimately it was his links with Reddy brothers, which cost him his chair and the ‘majority’ he had so desperately cobbled up only left the party divided into two factions.
Having emerged as the hand-picked man of Yeddyurappa, it would not be easy for Gowda to come out of his shadow and get rid of the unsolicited legacy. Despite the shameful and unsavory drama the BJP allowed to unfold in the run up to the election of the next chief minister, the leaders seem to be least bothered about the eroding popularity of the party. The boycott of the swearing-in ceremony by a section of MLAs led by Shettar, the conditions being put forward by the dissident group to join the ministry have made life difficult for the new chief minister. He has now openly acknowledged that the political chaos has dented the image of the government, but he can allow it to continue at his own peril.
Unfortunately, Gowda does not have the luxury of a honeymoon period, which is generally granted to an incumbent chief minister. The new dispensation being the ‘remarriage’ the groom has a herculean task of keeping the family afloat without really enjoying the glamour of being a ‘dulha’. He has also not been able to dismiss assertively his mentor Yeddyurappa’s claim that his job was only of a stop-gap chief minister. However, the first big test for Gowda would be the formation of a new cabinet. Although he has tried to reach out to the Shettar camp, it would be naïve to expect the dissidents to forget the humiliation so easily. The least they would expect from Gowda is to come out of the shadow of Yeddyurappa and function independently.
The biggest damage the present crisis had done to the BJP in Karnataka is to give formal recognition to the dissident groups that exist within the party. After the ‘secret ballot’ of August 3rd, it has been officially declared to the world that the state BJP is now a divided house. Although, the anti-Yeddyurappa faction is now clubbed under Shettar, there are further divisions within the group. Ananth Kumar and Eshwarppa have never been great friends in the past either. But, the challenge for Gowda is to at least work out a minimum co-ordination and working relationship with the dissidents and keep the flock together.
If the high command's deal with Yeddyurappa also includes the Lingayat strongman being made the BJP state unit chief, it will definitely be another major flash-point in store for the party. With the challenges and problems dogging him, Mr Gowda will definitely have to slog day in and day out to keep the government afloat and his characteristic smile intact. He has also missed out on an opportunity of sending out a strong signal on his independence and assertiveness by clinging on to the Ranganath and Jairaj combination in the bureaucratic hierarchy. Even though there is no provision for a co-ordination committee, it is advisable to have a representative panel if Gowda has to keep all the factions of the party in good humour. But can he do that and for how long? is the million dollar question
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