New Delhi, Jun 26: With looming uncertainty and no likelihood of an early economic recovery in sight, the bull run in gold prices is here to stay. Analysts expect domestic futures to touch ₹ 52,000 per 10 grams in the next few months, till Diwali.
Experts also predict that with the current trend, gold may reach historic levels around ₹ 65,000 per 10 grams in two years time.
Futures of the yellow metal have touched new highs in India off late. On Wednesday, the August contract of gold futures on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) touched an all-time high of Rs 48,589 per 10 grams.
It has, however corrected since and is currently trading at ₹ 48,057 on the MCX, higher by ₹ 116 or 0.24 per cent from its previous close.
Market experts are of the view that both domestic and international gold prices are yet not done breaching records and will touch new highs in days to come.
The resurgence in the number of new cases of coronavirus infection across the globe has added to the uncertainty and fears.
Speaking to media persons, Anuj Gupta, DVP for Commodities and Currencies Research at Angel Broking, noted: "In short term we are expecting it to reach ₹ 48,800-49,000 and for long term, we are expecting ₹ 51,000-Rs 52,000 till Diwali."
On the prices in the international market, he said that it may reach around $1,790 per ounce in the near term from the current levels of $1,762 and the long term, it is likely to be around $1,820-1,850 per ounce.
Gupta noted that with International Monetary Fund's (IMF) latest downward revision of economic outlook, both global and of India, and the rising number of cases and high demand by gold exchange traded funds (ETF) have led to this record breaking rise in gold prices.
Covid-19 battered India's economy is projected to contract by 4.5 per cent this fiscal, according to the IMF and the global output is projected to decline by 4.9 per cent in 2020, 1.9 percentage points below the IMF's April forecast.
Hareesh V, Head of Commodity Research at Geojit Financial Services, said that gold's safe haven appeal will remain on the higher side as there is little hope of a quick global economic recovery amid rising virus cases across the world.
"Increased geopolitical instability and an under-performing dollar also lift the metal's sentiments," he added.
According to Prathamesh Mallya, AVP Research, Non-Agro Commodities & Currencies at Angel Broking, said that with the global output to contract and the economies in a deeper recession than most anticipate, gold as an asset class is a safe bet for investors across the globe.
"Although, the physical demand has declined drastically due to the restrictions and lockdowns, the activity of global central banks and their net purchases of gold signal that uncertainty will continue for most of 2020," he said.
He was also of the view that in the international market price of the metal may move towards $1,850 per ounce and in the domestic market it is likely to move higher towards Rs 50,000 per 10 grams.
"The investment demand as seen in the net additions of ETF holdings also signals that gold will shine for a much longer time even if the pandemic is under control. Till then, keep buying gold, if not in physical form, but in digital form," Mallya added.
Industry insiders like Aditya Pethe, Director, WHP Jewellers said: "I basically feel that the current trend for the gold is bullish and for the coming next 2 years, it is likely to move upwards. No one can predict the exact price as currently the trend is on rise but it might change after 6 months. In general for the coming 6 months to one year, the gold prices are likely to cross $2,000 which comes to roughly Rs 55,000. For a temporary moment it may reduce, basically fluctuate as well but overall trend of gold is going to be bullish."
On his part, Ishu Datwani, Founder, Anmol Jewellers said: "Yes - it's very likely that the gold price could easily go up to Rs 60,000-Rs 65,000 in the next two years. There is also a possibility of it going up even more."
"A lot of banks have been buying gold and there is also a possibility that the Indian rupee will depreciate against the dollar. This and geopolitical reasons will cause bullishness in gold."
Comments
Naren is born in India his father is jews who was visited once upon a time Padubidri. He met a lady there and they had a sex. After nine month she deliver a baby devil his name Naren Kotian. After his birth she traveled with jews to Thailand there she met one muslim guy from pakistan and they loved each other. They droped naren in Thailand untill now he is begging in Thailands streets. And also he is hating Muslims.
If he is a BANGHA PARIVAR person like Toghadia, Bhat then it is fake news and no problem.
Police is maintaining double standard by not arresting bhat, muthalik, sharan kind of people...they still loitering giving hate speeches around...these crooks are the real terrorists....
this moulana could have said something...but he could not succeed in his mission....but others (bajrangy leaders) did succeed.....
Look at him ,traitor .. ... shoot to kill is the only solution for back stabbing the nation which gave him shelter and food ... mostly many are not reading what is written , simply chummah sorry ummah gang member antha kirchadtha idave ... report clearly says he was abusing other religions and he was mentioning other countries ( USA and our beloved israel ) , so this comes under act of terrorism ... . we must adopt a policy of deporting these types of rogue elements along with families to kaaliplate ( hahaha caliphate ruled by his elder brother rapist baghdadi ) by giving one way ticket ... well done police .. keep it up... hahahaha
#7 Sathish Kulal , Mangalore
You are right ..............Indresh who gave ISI our secrets ....Muthalik who hoisted PAK flag in Sindhagi .......... Prajna singh who blasted and killed ................Aseemanand who conspired against an INDIAN..............Vajapeyi who ate beef outside INDIA...........Yashpal suvarna who betrayed fishermen and expelled.........Maya kodnani who killed indian citizenz.....babu bajarangi who killed a preganant Indian women after raping .................
is it enough
This is the technique of Politicians they want to divert public concentration one to other thing they keep him at jail for some time after some year they wont able to find sufficient evidence then release him this is what happening we muslims have lots of similar cases.
Wht the hell .....keep a watch n arrest who are innocent but let free those openly bark haterate. ...this is our government and this is called tolerance
if no evidence why arrested him ? sick police
i heard his speech. hatred about hindu community.
i request to delhi police please release him immediately.
why this police are targeting only muslims, totally injustice to our community in this country,
desh drohi must be put inside the jail.
they are just investigating the matter. its their rights to investigate each and everyone with whom they get doubt.
Indian People Please understand the situation, dont support this kind of people they only speech to divert the mind into communal violence.
this police are only targeting innocent people all the time, i request the government to release him in the respective manner.
hang him to death, desh drohi
Delhi police is known for its atrocities against innocents. Even chief minister Arvind Kerjriwal is not safe from Delhi police, which follows the order of Modi govt.
Only in CD this kind of rubbish news reports we can find. All other news portals have come up with clear details and evidences against this cleric. but CD reporters playing games endangering national security.
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