New Delhi, Jun 26: With looming uncertainty and no likelihood of an early economic recovery in sight, the bull run in gold prices is here to stay. Analysts expect domestic futures to touch ₹ 52,000 per 10 grams in the next few months, till Diwali.
Experts also predict that with the current trend, gold may reach historic levels around ₹ 65,000 per 10 grams in two years time.
Futures of the yellow metal have touched new highs in India off late. On Wednesday, the August contract of gold futures on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) touched an all-time high of Rs 48,589 per 10 grams.
It has, however corrected since and is currently trading at ₹ 48,057 on the MCX, higher by ₹ 116 or 0.24 per cent from its previous close.
Market experts are of the view that both domestic and international gold prices are yet not done breaching records and will touch new highs in days to come.
The resurgence in the number of new cases of coronavirus infection across the globe has added to the uncertainty and fears.
Speaking to media persons, Anuj Gupta, DVP for Commodities and Currencies Research at Angel Broking, noted: "In short term we are expecting it to reach ₹ 48,800-49,000 and for long term, we are expecting ₹ 51,000-Rs 52,000 till Diwali."
On the prices in the international market, he said that it may reach around $1,790 per ounce in the near term from the current levels of $1,762 and the long term, it is likely to be around $1,820-1,850 per ounce.
Gupta noted that with International Monetary Fund's (IMF) latest downward revision of economic outlook, both global and of India, and the rising number of cases and high demand by gold exchange traded funds (ETF) have led to this record breaking rise in gold prices.
Covid-19 battered India's economy is projected to contract by 4.5 per cent this fiscal, according to the IMF and the global output is projected to decline by 4.9 per cent in 2020, 1.9 percentage points below the IMF's April forecast.
Hareesh V, Head of Commodity Research at Geojit Financial Services, said that gold's safe haven appeal will remain on the higher side as there is little hope of a quick global economic recovery amid rising virus cases across the world.
"Increased geopolitical instability and an under-performing dollar also lift the metal's sentiments," he added.
According to Prathamesh Mallya, AVP Research, Non-Agro Commodities & Currencies at Angel Broking, said that with the global output to contract and the economies in a deeper recession than most anticipate, gold as an asset class is a safe bet for investors across the globe.
"Although, the physical demand has declined drastically due to the restrictions and lockdowns, the activity of global central banks and their net purchases of gold signal that uncertainty will continue for most of 2020," he said.
He was also of the view that in the international market price of the metal may move towards $1,850 per ounce and in the domestic market it is likely to move higher towards Rs 50,000 per 10 grams.
"The investment demand as seen in the net additions of ETF holdings also signals that gold will shine for a much longer time even if the pandemic is under control. Till then, keep buying gold, if not in physical form, but in digital form," Mallya added.
Industry insiders like Aditya Pethe, Director, WHP Jewellers said: "I basically feel that the current trend for the gold is bullish and for the coming next 2 years, it is likely to move upwards. No one can predict the exact price as currently the trend is on rise but it might change after 6 months. In general for the coming 6 months to one year, the gold prices are likely to cross $2,000 which comes to roughly Rs 55,000. For a temporary moment it may reduce, basically fluctuate as well but overall trend of gold is going to be bullish."
On his part, Ishu Datwani, Founder, Anmol Jewellers said: "Yes - it's very likely that the gold price could easily go up to Rs 60,000-Rs 65,000 in the next two years. There is also a possibility of it going up even more."
"A lot of banks have been buying gold and there is also a possibility that the Indian rupee will depreciate against the dollar. This and geopolitical reasons will cause bullishness in gold."
Comments
Kirann....you mean to say whoever speaks against any religion to be beaten?
Does it apply to people like kalladka and a guy from pumpwell?
@ Kiran
Very Funny comment by brother Kiran....Brother As you said this cleric speaking against Hindus in the Masjid..Brother what about Prabhakar Bhat,Shakshi Maharaj,Thogadia,Muthaliq,Pumpwel,Sathyajeeth Surathkal,all are speaking Publicly against
what your saying by showing Elder women in photo # 5 ?
Karanataka government, now this is the right time for you to ban bajrangdal.....no one should be allowed to take law in their hands....if they got any issues with moulana, complain it to police...not unnecessary beating in the public...we are not living in jungle raj....
Kiran......that means we can beat anyone who speaks against any religion................we have a list of fanatics like Togadia...katiyar...kamalesh...etc
put them behind the bar for lifetime, goonda act should claim on them.
i dont think so that bajrangdal attacked, look at the property damaged,
very worst place in padil area, faizalnagara, veeranagar, nobody likes to purchase property there. worst people leaving there
Whatever these devils agent do .. They will never succeed.. The Zionist with the help of their masters doing hatred job since long time and they are not able to keep the muslims and Islam in the corner.. RSS & BD are jujubi who are following the zionist deceivers...
Muslims are not worried about this attacks. Fear yourself when Cheddis will kill you guys after all this just like Prashanth...
If U did not study ISLAM ... Dont take panga...its a Waste. and YOU are fools who bring their own destruction and becoming scape goat to the cheddi Gandhi killers...
BD members should help many Dalit research scholar instead of creating a menace in the society.
simply blame on bajrangdal, look at the property damaged by PFI people.
Is it not intolerance.
if not then what else is it.
Where is the media, which does not show it to whole India what has been happening, while blaming Aamir and Sharukh.
British rule was much better than the present name-sake independent India
Simply making non sense in the society.
resident of padil : i know this cleric always speaking against hindus in the masjid thats why he is beaten.
dont know why this people are fighting like this.
AB KI BAARRRR MADHI SARKAARR.....
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