New Delhi, Jun 26: With looming uncertainty and no likelihood of an early economic recovery in sight, the bull run in gold prices is here to stay. Analysts expect domestic futures to touch ₹ 52,000 per 10 grams in the next few months, till Diwali.
Experts also predict that with the current trend, gold may reach historic levels around ₹ 65,000 per 10 grams in two years time.
Futures of the yellow metal have touched new highs in India off late. On Wednesday, the August contract of gold futures on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) touched an all-time high of Rs 48,589 per 10 grams.
It has, however corrected since and is currently trading at ₹ 48,057 on the MCX, higher by ₹ 116 or 0.24 per cent from its previous close.
Market experts are of the view that both domestic and international gold prices are yet not done breaching records and will touch new highs in days to come.
The resurgence in the number of new cases of coronavirus infection across the globe has added to the uncertainty and fears.
Speaking to media persons, Anuj Gupta, DVP for Commodities and Currencies Research at Angel Broking, noted: "In short term we are expecting it to reach ₹ 48,800-49,000 and for long term, we are expecting ₹ 51,000-Rs 52,000 till Diwali."
On the prices in the international market, he said that it may reach around $1,790 per ounce in the near term from the current levels of $1,762 and the long term, it is likely to be around $1,820-1,850 per ounce.
Gupta noted that with International Monetary Fund's (IMF) latest downward revision of economic outlook, both global and of India, and the rising number of cases and high demand by gold exchange traded funds (ETF) have led to this record breaking rise in gold prices.
Covid-19 battered India's economy is projected to contract by 4.5 per cent this fiscal, according to the IMF and the global output is projected to decline by 4.9 per cent in 2020, 1.9 percentage points below the IMF's April forecast.
Hareesh V, Head of Commodity Research at Geojit Financial Services, said that gold's safe haven appeal will remain on the higher side as there is little hope of a quick global economic recovery amid rising virus cases across the world.
"Increased geopolitical instability and an under-performing dollar also lift the metal's sentiments," he added.
According to Prathamesh Mallya, AVP Research, Non-Agro Commodities & Currencies at Angel Broking, said that with the global output to contract and the economies in a deeper recession than most anticipate, gold as an asset class is a safe bet for investors across the globe.
"Although, the physical demand has declined drastically due to the restrictions and lockdowns, the activity of global central banks and their net purchases of gold signal that uncertainty will continue for most of 2020," he said.
He was also of the view that in the international market price of the metal may move towards $1,850 per ounce and in the domestic market it is likely to move higher towards Rs 50,000 per 10 grams.
"The investment demand as seen in the net additions of ETF holdings also signals that gold will shine for a much longer time even if the pandemic is under control. Till then, keep buying gold, if not in physical form, but in digital form," Mallya added.
Industry insiders like Aditya Pethe, Director, WHP Jewellers said: "I basically feel that the current trend for the gold is bullish and for the coming next 2 years, it is likely to move upwards. No one can predict the exact price as currently the trend is on rise but it might change after 6 months. In general for the coming 6 months to one year, the gold prices are likely to cross $2,000 which comes to roughly Rs 55,000. For a temporary moment it may reduce, basically fluctuate as well but overall trend of gold is going to be bullish."
On his part, Ishu Datwani, Founder, Anmol Jewellers said: "Yes - it's very likely that the gold price could easily go up to Rs 60,000-Rs 65,000 in the next two years. There is also a possibility of it going up even more."
"A lot of banks have been buying gold and there is also a possibility that the Indian rupee will depreciate against the dollar. This and geopolitical reasons will cause bullishness in gold."
Comments
IFF getting credit by the main person from Ullal struggled a lot behind this issue. nobody remember him. Finally the credit goes to IFF
Mashaallah great job done by iff
Masha allah great job done by. IFF.
ALHAMDULILLAH...
Tremended work done by INDIA FRATERNITY FORUM.
financially support from donors is highly appreciated.
may ALLAH accept all good deeds from all.
One of the noble act by India Fraternity Forum. And we must appreciate the NRI business personalities who responded positively to IFF call. Thank you CDi for the news..!!
From the bottom of my heart I really thank and pray with Almighty Allah to bless each of them whoever helped these fellow brothers to get release from the jail.
May Allah accept all our good deeds- Ameen.
Well done IFF and team! Following up a case for last 7 years is not an easy task. It is victory for team work, determination and patience.
Financial support from donors and victims family is highly appreciated.
May Allah accept the good deed from all.
Masha Allah. Great job
Masha Allah .great job
Al Hamdulillah after so many years of relentless efforts from IFF finally Allah has helped us in getting positive result. Hats off to IFF, we are with you.
Really great work May Allah accept our good deeds
Dear CD
Why did u edited the report. It seems that u dont want to highlight the efforts of Iff brothers in the report
My special thanks to India fraternity forum and business man for this great noble cause. Keep it up.
Great work by India Fraternity Forum (IFF), Jeddah, May Allah reward for your humanitarian Service. We have to appreciate IFF efforts because they are following this case since more than 7 years for this particular case. IFF team achieved this goal by the grace of Allah and well wishers as well as Indian Consulate service.
My special thanks to IFF and business man who supported for this great noble cause. Allah will bless you for this great job. Keep it up.
EIFF good work
http://www.daijiworld.com/news/news_disp.asp?n_id=377876
http://www.daijiworld.com/news/news_disp.asp?n_id=377876
Correct report ..
IFF good work , keep the good work
IFF doing a great work in GCC , ..
Alhamdulilha may Allah reward all the people who worked for it and even the donors who supported well specially Indian Faternity Forum.
Great Work by I.F.F
Great job done IFF jeddah Team..
Keep it up...
Great work by iff because struggling behind the case from 7 year is not so easy. This case finalized by iff without any political support . And one who donated for this will be appreciated and will get reward in sha Allah
Al hamdulillah
Tremended work done by IFF from last 7 years they are following case in filed work documentation every thing great...without IFF efforts it was not possible to release this case..they have done major case like Nelaydi Sulaiman 3 years back got released and Kakkepadau Tahaliah Case they fought with insurance company 5 years back.. finally insurance payed Orphans family SR 1.25 lakh. may almighty allah accept good deeds...special thanks to welwisher team
Good job IFF
Iff is doing great work throughout gulf countries. As I closely watched social work which doing by iff for Indian expatriates is really good and appreciable. In above case Aslo iff have done wonderful job and get great success to release them from jail. Congratulation to iff to get great success. Keep on serve Indian community. Good luck
Great work IFF....
Good work.
Alhamdulillah
Masha Allah Good job IFF
Keep it up IFF. Your effort is really appreciable.
Thanks IFF, Hats off for your efforts, several tried but you guys succeed. some times need extra power than money, hats off again.
Congrats.. Thanks to the authority
Should thank to the authority or the people who tried for the release made that possible
Allah's grace. Those who are believing in Allah, will not get suffered.
Al Hamdulillah
THANKS FOR IFF AND BUSINESS MAN
Congrats. Al Hamdulillah. May almighty reward all the donors including CD boss. the efforts of IFF is also appreciable.
Good news.
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