New Delhi, Jun 26: With looming uncertainty and no likelihood of an early economic recovery in sight, the bull run in gold prices is here to stay. Analysts expect domestic futures to touch ₹ 52,000 per 10 grams in the next few months, till Diwali.
Experts also predict that with the current trend, gold may reach historic levels around ₹ 65,000 per 10 grams in two years time.
Futures of the yellow metal have touched new highs in India off late. On Wednesday, the August contract of gold futures on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) touched an all-time high of Rs 48,589 per 10 grams.
It has, however corrected since and is currently trading at ₹ 48,057 on the MCX, higher by ₹ 116 or 0.24 per cent from its previous close.
Market experts are of the view that both domestic and international gold prices are yet not done breaching records and will touch new highs in days to come.
The resurgence in the number of new cases of coronavirus infection across the globe has added to the uncertainty and fears.
Speaking to media persons, Anuj Gupta, DVP for Commodities and Currencies Research at Angel Broking, noted: "In short term we are expecting it to reach ₹ 48,800-49,000 and for long term, we are expecting ₹ 51,000-Rs 52,000 till Diwali."
On the prices in the international market, he said that it may reach around $1,790 per ounce in the near term from the current levels of $1,762 and the long term, it is likely to be around $1,820-1,850 per ounce.
Gupta noted that with International Monetary Fund's (IMF) latest downward revision of economic outlook, both global and of India, and the rising number of cases and high demand by gold exchange traded funds (ETF) have led to this record breaking rise in gold prices.
Covid-19 battered India's economy is projected to contract by 4.5 per cent this fiscal, according to the IMF and the global output is projected to decline by 4.9 per cent in 2020, 1.9 percentage points below the IMF's April forecast.
Hareesh V, Head of Commodity Research at Geojit Financial Services, said that gold's safe haven appeal will remain on the higher side as there is little hope of a quick global economic recovery amid rising virus cases across the world.
"Increased geopolitical instability and an under-performing dollar also lift the metal's sentiments," he added.
According to Prathamesh Mallya, AVP Research, Non-Agro Commodities & Currencies at Angel Broking, said that with the global output to contract and the economies in a deeper recession than most anticipate, gold as an asset class is a safe bet for investors across the globe.
"Although, the physical demand has declined drastically due to the restrictions and lockdowns, the activity of global central banks and their net purchases of gold signal that uncertainty will continue for most of 2020," he said.
He was also of the view that in the international market price of the metal may move towards $1,850 per ounce and in the domestic market it is likely to move higher towards Rs 50,000 per 10 grams.
"The investment demand as seen in the net additions of ETF holdings also signals that gold will shine for a much longer time even if the pandemic is under control. Till then, keep buying gold, if not in physical form, but in digital form," Mallya added.
Industry insiders like Aditya Pethe, Director, WHP Jewellers said: "I basically feel that the current trend for the gold is bullish and for the coming next 2 years, it is likely to move upwards. No one can predict the exact price as currently the trend is on rise but it might change after 6 months. In general for the coming 6 months to one year, the gold prices are likely to cross $2,000 which comes to roughly Rs 55,000. For a temporary moment it may reduce, basically fluctuate as well but overall trend of gold is going to be bullish."
On his part, Ishu Datwani, Founder, Anmol Jewellers said: "Yes - it's very likely that the gold price could easily go up to Rs 60,000-Rs 65,000 in the next two years. There is also a possibility of it going up even more."
"A lot of banks have been buying gold and there is also a possibility that the Indian rupee will depreciate against the dollar. This and geopolitical reasons will cause bullishness in gold."
Comments
If you and your chelas are feeling un safe in Karnataka, suggest to leave Karnataka with your note counting machine to Gujarat.
2 or 3 goondas got killed because of their misdeeds and this Eshwarappa is saying Hindus are not safe in Karnataka. For him Hindus means few goondas???
JOKE OF THE YEAR .... MR ISWARAPPA..
DONT SAY BIG JOKE LIKE THIS BEC 2U R THE PROBLEM CREATER IN KARNATAKA BJP RSS BD VHP ALL ARE CHILDREN OF ONE MOTHER .. THIER INTENSION THIER GOAL ARE SAME ..
WHAT YOU TRYING TO SAY US MULSIM ARE SAFE IN KARNATAKA THEN HINDHU OH NOOO
But we will never tell Hndus to go to Pakistan.
Let us live together.
Those who politicize, let them go to ......
Jai Hind, Jai Duniya
Pokkade Police Eswaranna....
Joke of the year Award goes to Mr.Eshwarappa.
Next Bharathna Award conform by Modi Sarakar for Cracking Such Jokes.
Aged people should leave Politics Need rest Now.
I think this guy dont know what happening in Karnataka.
may be he only killed that BJP worker.
Mr. Ibrahim, Nepalis are not accepted that their country is a Hindu Country. For this person only option there to jump into sea.
Ibrahim,
Nepal has changed their status now, its not a HINDU country... cos they came to know the reality of Idol worship which is a sin and mentioned in VEDAS that those who worship sambhuti will fall in DARKNESS... They are coming out of DARKNESS and I request our hindu brothers to learn about IDOL worship in VEDAS and also other religious scriptures... Please come out of DARKNESS. U will understand how many people are making money out of this false god concept.
U guys are involved in instigating the public to violence, now U want to increase the compensation for the victim from our TAX money... if your agenda (which will never succeed) to kill the innocent and the oppressed by LIES and deception, then keep some funds for those who are dying for your cause for nothing... their family is suffering from your LIes and deception.
A bus agent/conductor become a MLA/MLC made huge properties and money. Certainly he is afraid of what will happen to him tomorrow. He has a case of money laundering with ED and Lokayukta. If himself not secured in Karnataka, better to emigrate to Nepal, a lone Hindu country in the world.
ESHWARAPPA,,,YENAPPA......IF HINDUS ARE NOR SAFE IN KARNATAKA, THEN WE MUSLIMS ARE NOT SAFE IN INDIA BECOZ OF RSS GOONDAS.
WE LOVE INDIA....
WE LIVE IN INDIA....
WE WILL DIE IN INDIA.....IF ALLAH WILLS.
Eshawaranna Eath Podige Unda Nekleg ................ Enkulu Nikleg Dala malpuji mare.............. Nikulu Enkeleg Updra Malpade
Anti nationals (BJP and Sangh pariwars) are saying this....shame on you stupids...everybody is fine....just keep quite...
Y do the BJP leaders think that WE the public of Karnataka are STupids.... what makes him to give such statements when things are happening the opposite.. Recognize the leaders who OPENLY LIES to the public for the KURSI. if they can give LIES openly , Surely they will never benefit in developing our state...
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