New Delhi, Jun 26: With looming uncertainty and no likelihood of an early economic recovery in sight, the bull run in gold prices is here to stay. Analysts expect domestic futures to touch ₹ 52,000 per 10 grams in the next few months, till Diwali.
Experts also predict that with the current trend, gold may reach historic levels around ₹ 65,000 per 10 grams in two years time.
Futures of the yellow metal have touched new highs in India off late. On Wednesday, the August contract of gold futures on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) touched an all-time high of Rs 48,589 per 10 grams.
It has, however corrected since and is currently trading at ₹ 48,057 on the MCX, higher by ₹ 116 or 0.24 per cent from its previous close.
Market experts are of the view that both domestic and international gold prices are yet not done breaching records and will touch new highs in days to come.
The resurgence in the number of new cases of coronavirus infection across the globe has added to the uncertainty and fears.
Speaking to media persons, Anuj Gupta, DVP for Commodities and Currencies Research at Angel Broking, noted: "In short term we are expecting it to reach ₹ 48,800-49,000 and for long term, we are expecting ₹ 51,000-Rs 52,000 till Diwali."
On the prices in the international market, he said that it may reach around $1,790 per ounce in the near term from the current levels of $1,762 and the long term, it is likely to be around $1,820-1,850 per ounce.
Gupta noted that with International Monetary Fund's (IMF) latest downward revision of economic outlook, both global and of India, and the rising number of cases and high demand by gold exchange traded funds (ETF) have led to this record breaking rise in gold prices.
Covid-19 battered India's economy is projected to contract by 4.5 per cent this fiscal, according to the IMF and the global output is projected to decline by 4.9 per cent in 2020, 1.9 percentage points below the IMF's April forecast.
Hareesh V, Head of Commodity Research at Geojit Financial Services, said that gold's safe haven appeal will remain on the higher side as there is little hope of a quick global economic recovery amid rising virus cases across the world.
"Increased geopolitical instability and an under-performing dollar also lift the metal's sentiments," he added.
According to Prathamesh Mallya, AVP Research, Non-Agro Commodities & Currencies at Angel Broking, said that with the global output to contract and the economies in a deeper recession than most anticipate, gold as an asset class is a safe bet for investors across the globe.
"Although, the physical demand has declined drastically due to the restrictions and lockdowns, the activity of global central banks and their net purchases of gold signal that uncertainty will continue for most of 2020," he said.
He was also of the view that in the international market price of the metal may move towards $1,850 per ounce and in the domestic market it is likely to move higher towards Rs 50,000 per 10 grams.
"The investment demand as seen in the net additions of ETF holdings also signals that gold will shine for a much longer time even if the pandemic is under control. Till then, keep buying gold, if not in physical form, but in digital form," Mallya added.
Industry insiders like Aditya Pethe, Director, WHP Jewellers said: "I basically feel that the current trend for the gold is bullish and for the coming next 2 years, it is likely to move upwards. No one can predict the exact price as currently the trend is on rise but it might change after 6 months. In general for the coming 6 months to one year, the gold prices are likely to cross $2,000 which comes to roughly Rs 55,000. For a temporary moment it may reduce, basically fluctuate as well but overall trend of gold is going to be bullish."
On his part, Ishu Datwani, Founder, Anmol Jewellers said: "Yes - it's very likely that the gold price could easily go up to Rs 60,000-Rs 65,000 in the next two years. There is also a possibility of it going up even more."
"A lot of banks have been buying gold and there is also a possibility that the Indian rupee will depreciate against the dollar. This and geopolitical reasons will cause bullishness in gold."
Comments
Naren
terrorism started from Sikhs not Muslims and till today your people only following it. No need to teach matured person like you so understand the logic of your people.
Is constitution said to make illegal relationship with ladies without marrying them to fulfill your desire? Is your community got the message from constitution to rape in the bus and to kill innocent girl? Constitution made for good will of the citizens not to torture them.
there is no deference between you and Israel but remember we fear Almighty.. Not you or them!
rikacha , nimma root navare kanri , foot alla ... hahaha ...
You cannot expect more than these goondas who dont heistate to worship anything. they don't know what is God
Here we cant show patience or silence.
When justice fails, then Tit for tat is only the ultimate solution.
constitution dont say u can marry 4 , constitution dont say u can do terrorism , killings , rapes , but ur community does it . then whats the problem in telling this ... first of these three rogues are not indians , they look like pakistanis ...isis barodakke they are creating launch pads , but nationalist indians are there to protect hindus , sikhs and christians ..nam deshadalli yaava kumda salafist backed isis nadiyalla ... anybody questions our nations integrity will be strongly dealt with . Muzzies are thinking by doing this they can bring down modi from PM post . no ... not at all possible . there is a deep polarisation even in villages it isnow being felt . by 2024 , India will be hindu rashtra for sure . to amend constitution 2/3 majority needed and all states if we make congress mukht we are done . with coopearting with israelis , defintely we can achieve this . ummah is so weak that it is already divided , no body has guts to speak against India if it does so ... even if they speak , millitarily they are not on par with India .gulf countries want USD from India , for their cheap petrol . hahaha
No one can change the faith by forcing anything.
bitter truth for RSS
Very dangerous for the future of India. Rising intolerance, forcing others what one practices, poking nose in other's matters, dictating what to eat what to wear, all these will eventually lead to sectarian fights, genocides, civil war etc., India may end up in situation similar to Iraq and Iran. BJP sarkar and Sangh parivar must control their bhakts before it is too late.
Constitution even did not say to eat or drink :P
By looking at their face they look very papa, but they raised voice against what other side party asked. strange but true.
What if they call Jai Mata Di or not?
accused must be punished who are they to beat the innocents.
my foot....
Its Their Wish any constitution dint asked all the citizen to call anything particularly.
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