New Delhi, Jun 26: With looming uncertainty and no likelihood of an early economic recovery in sight, the bull run in gold prices is here to stay. Analysts expect domestic futures to touch ₹ 52,000 per 10 grams in the next few months, till Diwali.
Experts also predict that with the current trend, gold may reach historic levels around ₹ 65,000 per 10 grams in two years time.
Futures of the yellow metal have touched new highs in India off late. On Wednesday, the August contract of gold futures on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) touched an all-time high of Rs 48,589 per 10 grams.
It has, however corrected since and is currently trading at ₹ 48,057 on the MCX, higher by ₹ 116 or 0.24 per cent from its previous close.
Market experts are of the view that both domestic and international gold prices are yet not done breaching records and will touch new highs in days to come.
The resurgence in the number of new cases of coronavirus infection across the globe has added to the uncertainty and fears.
Speaking to media persons, Anuj Gupta, DVP for Commodities and Currencies Research at Angel Broking, noted: "In short term we are expecting it to reach ₹ 48,800-49,000 and for long term, we are expecting ₹ 51,000-Rs 52,000 till Diwali."
On the prices in the international market, he said that it may reach around $1,790 per ounce in the near term from the current levels of $1,762 and the long term, it is likely to be around $1,820-1,850 per ounce.
Gupta noted that with International Monetary Fund's (IMF) latest downward revision of economic outlook, both global and of India, and the rising number of cases and high demand by gold exchange traded funds (ETF) have led to this record breaking rise in gold prices.
Covid-19 battered India's economy is projected to contract by 4.5 per cent this fiscal, according to the IMF and the global output is projected to decline by 4.9 per cent in 2020, 1.9 percentage points below the IMF's April forecast.
Hareesh V, Head of Commodity Research at Geojit Financial Services, said that gold's safe haven appeal will remain on the higher side as there is little hope of a quick global economic recovery amid rising virus cases across the world.
"Increased geopolitical instability and an under-performing dollar also lift the metal's sentiments," he added.
According to Prathamesh Mallya, AVP Research, Non-Agro Commodities & Currencies at Angel Broking, said that with the global output to contract and the economies in a deeper recession than most anticipate, gold as an asset class is a safe bet for investors across the globe.
"Although, the physical demand has declined drastically due to the restrictions and lockdowns, the activity of global central banks and their net purchases of gold signal that uncertainty will continue for most of 2020," he said.
He was also of the view that in the international market price of the metal may move towards $1,850 per ounce and in the domestic market it is likely to move higher towards Rs 50,000 per 10 grams.
"The investment demand as seen in the net additions of ETF holdings also signals that gold will shine for a much longer time even if the pandemic is under control. Till then, keep buying gold, if not in physical form, but in digital form," Mallya added.
Industry insiders like Aditya Pethe, Director, WHP Jewellers said: "I basically feel that the current trend for the gold is bullish and for the coming next 2 years, it is likely to move upwards. No one can predict the exact price as currently the trend is on rise but it might change after 6 months. In general for the coming 6 months to one year, the gold prices are likely to cross $2,000 which comes to roughly Rs 55,000. For a temporary moment it may reduce, basically fluctuate as well but overall trend of gold is going to be bullish."
On his part, Ishu Datwani, Founder, Anmol Jewellers said: "Yes - it's very likely that the gold price could easily go up to Rs 60,000-Rs 65,000 in the next two years. There is also a possibility of it going up even more."
"A lot of banks have been buying gold and there is also a possibility that the Indian rupee will depreciate against the dollar. This and geopolitical reasons will cause bullishness in gold."
Comments
Dear Brothers in Islam,
let us sit together and have good refreshment and decide right day to demolish this Darga without any trace than we can start worship only Allah and Following the sunnah of prophet this will unite us forever.
the best solution to solve the issue is, demolish the grave and worship none other than almighty allah. in'sha allah you may succeed hereafter...........may allah give us all the strength to understand islam.aameen
Trust ALLAH and follow Prophet Muhammad... if we look back to the time of Prophet Muhammad pbuh ... there was no such thing as accepting Barakah from the GRAVE...
What prophet Muhammad pbuh taught us was \ in the early stages of ISLAM prophet did not allow to visit Graves... But in the end times of his life , when the Sahabas understood the knowledge & the POWER OF ALLAH and his attributes... He allowed to visit Graves to remember our death and Pray for the dead (Not ask from the dead)
Those who depend on ALLAH are successful... When you do that ..YOU will experience the help of ALLAH in all the matters of your LIFE.
Its a greatest blessings one can have in this life...
When you experience that even a normal MUSLIM like me Never need anybody to get BARAKAH. ALLAH Guides those who really TRUST him.
ALLAH is enough for those who rely on HIM alone. It doesnt mean that we dont love the Auliya of ALLAH... its the misconception most Dargah visitors fallen to the WASWASA....
May ALLAH keep our faith in him to deal with the matters of our LIFE even if it is small one. ( ALLAH is MOST FORGIVING and MOST MERCIFUL)"
This is one of the Sign of Qiyaamath Day.
No one can stop or Change the Word of Allah And his Prophet Muhammed (PBUH).
Final Day is next to your Door, Be prepared for that Day.
It is not clash between SSF and SKSSF BUT it is clash between SSF against rest.
Easiest solution for current situation is calling all 49 member together and electing a president who has majority. Khader and his govt should tender its support to newly elected president with majority
Add new comment