New Delhi, Jun 26: With looming uncertainty and no likelihood of an early economic recovery in sight, the bull run in gold prices is here to stay. Analysts expect domestic futures to touch ₹ 52,000 per 10 grams in the next few months, till Diwali.
Experts also predict that with the current trend, gold may reach historic levels around ₹ 65,000 per 10 grams in two years time.
Futures of the yellow metal have touched new highs in India off late. On Wednesday, the August contract of gold futures on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) touched an all-time high of Rs 48,589 per 10 grams.
It has, however corrected since and is currently trading at ₹ 48,057 on the MCX, higher by ₹ 116 or 0.24 per cent from its previous close.
Market experts are of the view that both domestic and international gold prices are yet not done breaching records and will touch new highs in days to come.
The resurgence in the number of new cases of coronavirus infection across the globe has added to the uncertainty and fears.
Speaking to media persons, Anuj Gupta, DVP for Commodities and Currencies Research at Angel Broking, noted: "In short term we are expecting it to reach ₹ 48,800-49,000 and for long term, we are expecting ₹ 51,000-Rs 52,000 till Diwali."
On the prices in the international market, he said that it may reach around $1,790 per ounce in the near term from the current levels of $1,762 and the long term, it is likely to be around $1,820-1,850 per ounce.
Gupta noted that with International Monetary Fund's (IMF) latest downward revision of economic outlook, both global and of India, and the rising number of cases and high demand by gold exchange traded funds (ETF) have led to this record breaking rise in gold prices.
Covid-19 battered India's economy is projected to contract by 4.5 per cent this fiscal, according to the IMF and the global output is projected to decline by 4.9 per cent in 2020, 1.9 percentage points below the IMF's April forecast.
Hareesh V, Head of Commodity Research at Geojit Financial Services, said that gold's safe haven appeal will remain on the higher side as there is little hope of a quick global economic recovery amid rising virus cases across the world.
"Increased geopolitical instability and an under-performing dollar also lift the metal's sentiments," he added.
According to Prathamesh Mallya, AVP Research, Non-Agro Commodities & Currencies at Angel Broking, said that with the global output to contract and the economies in a deeper recession than most anticipate, gold as an asset class is a safe bet for investors across the globe.
"Although, the physical demand has declined drastically due to the restrictions and lockdowns, the activity of global central banks and their net purchases of gold signal that uncertainty will continue for most of 2020," he said.
He was also of the view that in the international market price of the metal may move towards $1,850 per ounce and in the domestic market it is likely to move higher towards Rs 50,000 per 10 grams.
"The investment demand as seen in the net additions of ETF holdings also signals that gold will shine for a much longer time even if the pandemic is under control. Till then, keep buying gold, if not in physical form, but in digital form," Mallya added.
Industry insiders like Aditya Pethe, Director, WHP Jewellers said: "I basically feel that the current trend for the gold is bullish and for the coming next 2 years, it is likely to move upwards. No one can predict the exact price as currently the trend is on rise but it might change after 6 months. In general for the coming 6 months to one year, the gold prices are likely to cross $2,000 which comes to roughly Rs 55,000. For a temporary moment it may reduce, basically fluctuate as well but overall trend of gold is going to be bullish."
On his part, Ishu Datwani, Founder, Anmol Jewellers said: "Yes - it's very likely that the gold price could easily go up to Rs 60,000-Rs 65,000 in the next two years. There is also a possibility of it going up even more."
"A lot of banks have been buying gold and there is also a possibility that the Indian rupee will depreciate against the dollar. This and geopolitical reasons will cause bullishness in gold."
Comments
My dear Venki...I say that both are not same as u said.. Do u know why?
1. Sadhivi Prachi always gives her hate speech. Like kill them kick them out of India.. Salman khan amir khan.. oh khan yeh khan.. many more as u know...
2. Zakir naik says Islam is pure rest others are not a true.. He doesnt says throw, kick, kill etc etc.. If you have any doubts you check from google bhayya and make it clear.. so dont compare lion and dogs! Lion is lion and dogs are always dogs it will never become lion :D
Zakeer Naik has more Fans - Hindus, Christians than Muslims.
His Fans are mostly highly educated, intellectuals.
He never advocates hatreds, animosities. He says truth which are wrongly practiced not following their own respective scripts like Veda, Geethas.
His knowledge in Hindu scripts are more than any common Swamees, pandiths.
Dear venki,
Your statement shows how much innocent you are. How you can compare prachi with Zakir? Did Zakir hate any religion? he is comapring the religions. He is showing what is in hindu scripts mentioned and what you are practising. Example, in vedas it clearly mention that idol worship should not be done. How many of us worshipping Idol? Did Prachi talk about Veda any time? If you listen her speeches it is spitting venom.
He has working, serving the people even with his all wealth, without seeking any personnel benefit. He has been doing it at least last 30-35years as I know it.
It would have not taken this much time to find any irregular activity if he has been committing such.
If does not need much time to know any anti social activity.
He is very much openly operating his activities obeying all the norms.
He is more popular in Europe and US, other countries than in India.
For some people it is very much difficult to digest his popularity and his fair activities.
Unfortunately those Sanghi brothern or Sanghi sympathizers can understand that he is rescuing them from their unknown mistakes.
Whatever he is doing he is not seeking any worldly benefit.
He has a strong faith in God, his sincere efforts will be rewarded in the other permanent life (which will be after death).
Really every Indian should thank God Almighty for bestowing such sincere person.
May God help us to understand truth and Guide us.
Modi's U turn....
TRUTH PREVAILS AND FALSE WILL PERISH...ALHAMDULILLAH
ZAKIR NAIK BECOMES MORE POPULAR....IN'SHA ALLAH
CHADDIGALIGE BURNOOL BAGYA
It is UNIVERSAL truth that he is innocent and just focusing on ISLAM. May almighty bless with you good always.
It is really good news for Zakir Naik and his followers, I was sure he will come up clean as I follow him last 20 years he always support teaching of Allah and Hadees and prophet's teaching. He never criticize other religion but compares to Islam whenever there was Q&A session anybody asks the question. He respect other religion.
Best of luck ZN and continue your good work.
Where are the saffron mfs who were barking and somebody please shit in mouth......
what is the fate of that Lunatic and his associates who have been shouting from the rooftop 24x7.? Is his Time Now come to an END?
Whenever a genuine Muslim targeted almighty Allah saved them, this is enough to realize a mankind that Allah is only a creator of everything nothing else. So everybody should say in one word that \Allah Hu Akbar, La ilaha Illalah\""
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