New Delhi, Jun 26: With looming uncertainty and no likelihood of an early economic recovery in sight, the bull run in gold prices is here to stay. Analysts expect domestic futures to touch ₹ 52,000 per 10 grams in the next few months, till Diwali.
Experts also predict that with the current trend, gold may reach historic levels around ₹ 65,000 per 10 grams in two years time.
Futures of the yellow metal have touched new highs in India off late. On Wednesday, the August contract of gold futures on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) touched an all-time high of Rs 48,589 per 10 grams.
It has, however corrected since and is currently trading at ₹ 48,057 on the MCX, higher by ₹ 116 or 0.24 per cent from its previous close.
Market experts are of the view that both domestic and international gold prices are yet not done breaching records and will touch new highs in days to come.
The resurgence in the number of new cases of coronavirus infection across the globe has added to the uncertainty and fears.
Speaking to media persons, Anuj Gupta, DVP for Commodities and Currencies Research at Angel Broking, noted: "In short term we are expecting it to reach ₹ 48,800-49,000 and for long term, we are expecting ₹ 51,000-Rs 52,000 till Diwali."
On the prices in the international market, he said that it may reach around $1,790 per ounce in the near term from the current levels of $1,762 and the long term, it is likely to be around $1,820-1,850 per ounce.
Gupta noted that with International Monetary Fund's (IMF) latest downward revision of economic outlook, both global and of India, and the rising number of cases and high demand by gold exchange traded funds (ETF) have led to this record breaking rise in gold prices.
Covid-19 battered India's economy is projected to contract by 4.5 per cent this fiscal, according to the IMF and the global output is projected to decline by 4.9 per cent in 2020, 1.9 percentage points below the IMF's April forecast.
Hareesh V, Head of Commodity Research at Geojit Financial Services, said that gold's safe haven appeal will remain on the higher side as there is little hope of a quick global economic recovery amid rising virus cases across the world.
"Increased geopolitical instability and an under-performing dollar also lift the metal's sentiments," he added.
According to Prathamesh Mallya, AVP Research, Non-Agro Commodities & Currencies at Angel Broking, said that with the global output to contract and the economies in a deeper recession than most anticipate, gold as an asset class is a safe bet for investors across the globe.
"Although, the physical demand has declined drastically due to the restrictions and lockdowns, the activity of global central banks and their net purchases of gold signal that uncertainty will continue for most of 2020," he said.
He was also of the view that in the international market price of the metal may move towards $1,850 per ounce and in the domestic market it is likely to move higher towards Rs 50,000 per 10 grams.
"The investment demand as seen in the net additions of ETF holdings also signals that gold will shine for a much longer time even if the pandemic is under control. Till then, keep buying gold, if not in physical form, but in digital form," Mallya added.
Industry insiders like Aditya Pethe, Director, WHP Jewellers said: "I basically feel that the current trend for the gold is bullish and for the coming next 2 years, it is likely to move upwards. No one can predict the exact price as currently the trend is on rise but it might change after 6 months. In general for the coming 6 months to one year, the gold prices are likely to cross $2,000 which comes to roughly Rs 55,000. For a temporary moment it may reduce, basically fluctuate as well but overall trend of gold is going to be bullish."
On his part, Ishu Datwani, Founder, Anmol Jewellers said: "Yes - it's very likely that the gold price could easily go up to Rs 60,000-Rs 65,000 in the next two years. There is also a possibility of it going up even more."
"A lot of banks have been buying gold and there is also a possibility that the Indian rupee will depreciate against the dollar. This and geopolitical reasons will cause bullishness in gold."
Comments
he is the brother of mangalore information officer Khader shah, i think.
Good boy.. keep it up.. but don't exchange phone numbers ok??
THIS IS CALLED HUMANITY......PLEASE DONT MIX THIS INCIDENT WITH RELIGION....WELL DONE ASHRAF HATS OFF TO YOU..
PROUD TO BE MANGALUREAN....
something fishy is going around on this story... so I am confused with this story
Ma Sha Allha... Job well Done... Dear Haris Bhai,
He is the One Brother of My Close Friend he is Also well Social Worker,
KEEP IT UP BRO...
Mashallah... Well done Haris ,You gave a good lesson for humanity, when someone needs help caste,religion,gender will not come into consideration its only helping each other what it counts.. UR PERFECT EXAMPLE FOR BROTHERHOOD... :) ALLAH GIVE U SAFE HEALTH
The lady may be from a middle class or poor family, that is the reason she may be working as a sales girl. A gold chain may be for her a big asset, it is her hard earned saving money.
so good job done by Haris. Keep it up good work.
couple of Mangaloreans we may find thieves, robbers but 95% of Mangaloreans are good hearted people, who always help each other whenever any difficultly arrives to one another.
If every Mangaloreans do this act then the some particular groups who are jobless will need to find a respectful job. there are lot of looters who loot people in the name of a religion...
BRAVE WORK, APPRECIATED!!!
#7, ALTAF, DOHA, WHY U SEEING EVERY ACTIVITY IN COMMUNAL ANGLE????
chain snatcher trained by job less chaddi & sanghis how can they tolerate my dear brother althaf doh....
Robbery Jihad.. Some may be not happy by his bravery act..
This is how a Muslim should be.This is also Jihad
Where is Thief Photo?
Muslim guy helping Hindu Lady.. Chaddi & Sanghis can not tolerate this.
Excellent work by Mohammed Haris . keep it up
Good job Haris, you are brave.
The name Haris meaning itself is Guardian or Guard.
May Allah bless you
great example for those who Entertained in this kind of situation.
wow we must encourage this, govt should give the reward for his work so more people can come forward to help in these type situation.
because of this people we can roam freely in public. keep it up
appreciable good work haris.
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