New Delhi, Jun 26: With looming uncertainty and no likelihood of an early economic recovery in sight, the bull run in gold prices is here to stay. Analysts expect domestic futures to touch ₹ 52,000 per 10 grams in the next few months, till Diwali.
Experts also predict that with the current trend, gold may reach historic levels around ₹ 65,000 per 10 grams in two years time.
Futures of the yellow metal have touched new highs in India off late. On Wednesday, the August contract of gold futures on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) touched an all-time high of Rs 48,589 per 10 grams.
It has, however corrected since and is currently trading at ₹ 48,057 on the MCX, higher by ₹ 116 or 0.24 per cent from its previous close.
Market experts are of the view that both domestic and international gold prices are yet not done breaching records and will touch new highs in days to come.
The resurgence in the number of new cases of coronavirus infection across the globe has added to the uncertainty and fears.
Speaking to media persons, Anuj Gupta, DVP for Commodities and Currencies Research at Angel Broking, noted: "In short term we are expecting it to reach ₹ 48,800-49,000 and for long term, we are expecting ₹ 51,000-Rs 52,000 till Diwali."
On the prices in the international market, he said that it may reach around $1,790 per ounce in the near term from the current levels of $1,762 and the long term, it is likely to be around $1,820-1,850 per ounce.
Gupta noted that with International Monetary Fund's (IMF) latest downward revision of economic outlook, both global and of India, and the rising number of cases and high demand by gold exchange traded funds (ETF) have led to this record breaking rise in gold prices.
Covid-19 battered India's economy is projected to contract by 4.5 per cent this fiscal, according to the IMF and the global output is projected to decline by 4.9 per cent in 2020, 1.9 percentage points below the IMF's April forecast.
Hareesh V, Head of Commodity Research at Geojit Financial Services, said that gold's safe haven appeal will remain on the higher side as there is little hope of a quick global economic recovery amid rising virus cases across the world.
"Increased geopolitical instability and an under-performing dollar also lift the metal's sentiments," he added.
According to Prathamesh Mallya, AVP Research, Non-Agro Commodities & Currencies at Angel Broking, said that with the global output to contract and the economies in a deeper recession than most anticipate, gold as an asset class is a safe bet for investors across the globe.
"Although, the physical demand has declined drastically due to the restrictions and lockdowns, the activity of global central banks and their net purchases of gold signal that uncertainty will continue for most of 2020," he said.
He was also of the view that in the international market price of the metal may move towards $1,850 per ounce and in the domestic market it is likely to move higher towards Rs 50,000 per 10 grams.
"The investment demand as seen in the net additions of ETF holdings also signals that gold will shine for a much longer time even if the pandemic is under control. Till then, keep buying gold, if not in physical form, but in digital form," Mallya added.
Industry insiders like Aditya Pethe, Director, WHP Jewellers said: "I basically feel that the current trend for the gold is bullish and for the coming next 2 years, it is likely to move upwards. No one can predict the exact price as currently the trend is on rise but it might change after 6 months. In general for the coming 6 months to one year, the gold prices are likely to cross $2,000 which comes to roughly Rs 55,000. For a temporary moment it may reduce, basically fluctuate as well but overall trend of gold is going to be bullish."
On his part, Ishu Datwani, Founder, Anmol Jewellers said: "Yes - it's very likely that the gold price could easily go up to Rs 60,000-Rs 65,000 in the next two years. There is also a possibility of it going up even more."
"A lot of banks have been buying gold and there is also a possibility that the Indian rupee will depreciate against the dollar. This and geopolitical reasons will cause bullishness in gold."
Comments
Mr.Bajarangi,Mr.Modi declared 80%of cow vigilantes as hooligans.Hope you know his address so that you can go to his home if you have damm.
It is sad to read some of the above comments. There should not be such low level comments.
Every Hindus are not fake gow rakshakas and every muslims are not cow smugglers.
I request all brothers of DK and Udupi to respect each other and we should live peacefully in our beautiful land.
These cow protectors do not have ba**s.....
@kiran bajarangi nikh popunda maga
Kiran Bajrangi ..... I know that is your DNA... Not a surprise ... Barking dogs do not bite .... There is no need of my address,, Give your address I will come to your home, to make your job easy....
@ kiran bajarangii
u people are good for these type of work only,
naam patha dehta tho thu ayenga kya .. u wil come wen liquer enter ur stomach... dar pok thuu be
We can feel the frustration in Kiran bajarangi's comments. Calm Down Bajarangi. Before you attack Slaughter house please make sure that no one from your group work their as a KASAI.
Kiran Bajrangi,
Gidad ki jab maut aati hai to wo sheher ki taraf baghta hai. Bajrangi Kasai khane ki taraf.
All these self styled gau rakshaks are un employed, uncultured goons
And they always attack one person in a group of 30-50 people... bcos they actually dont have guts to attack in small numbers for fear of their life ...
Congress is in power. Yet they can't take action against cow terrors.??? They are only limited to issuing press release and petitions, then who is controlling the govt.administrations??? CongRSS or BJP..??
Kya hum bewakoof hain..??
Mr.SK pura naam patha bejo darr pok, will come to your home and beat u.
@ Kiran Bajarani Bhaijan,
What a JOKE. We would like to see you in Slaughter House. Sharan Pumpwel please bring your Ambulance not the ARMY to protect your Bajarangis. All the Best. Abb ayega real Maza
abey saaley me dikatha hoon kithna dum he bolke samne ake dekho kuthe.
Kiran Bajrangi......Pls go ahead ....all the BEST.....let us see, who is your real MATHA....
KIran thumare gaand me dum hai tho slaughter house ko attack karkre dikana. Your 10 people attack a single person.
thanks for the information ivan, Next time we will directly attack slaughter houses.
Ivan at his best, agree this is what happening in india,
mainly this bajrangis are eating 90% of beef in india,
all beef business contact should be given to bajrangdal, then they will be happy.
yahh rightly said MLA saab 'Cows ‘rescued’ by vigilantes in coastal Karnataka end up in slaughterhouses'
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