New Delhi, Jun 26: With looming uncertainty and no likelihood of an early economic recovery in sight, the bull run in gold prices is here to stay. Analysts expect domestic futures to touch ₹ 52,000 per 10 grams in the next few months, till Diwali.
Experts also predict that with the current trend, gold may reach historic levels around ₹ 65,000 per 10 grams in two years time.
Futures of the yellow metal have touched new highs in India off late. On Wednesday, the August contract of gold futures on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) touched an all-time high of Rs 48,589 per 10 grams.
It has, however corrected since and is currently trading at ₹ 48,057 on the MCX, higher by ₹ 116 or 0.24 per cent from its previous close.
Market experts are of the view that both domestic and international gold prices are yet not done breaching records and will touch new highs in days to come.
The resurgence in the number of new cases of coronavirus infection across the globe has added to the uncertainty and fears.
Speaking to media persons, Anuj Gupta, DVP for Commodities and Currencies Research at Angel Broking, noted: "In short term we are expecting it to reach ₹ 48,800-49,000 and for long term, we are expecting ₹ 51,000-Rs 52,000 till Diwali."
On the prices in the international market, he said that it may reach around $1,790 per ounce in the near term from the current levels of $1,762 and the long term, it is likely to be around $1,820-1,850 per ounce.
Gupta noted that with International Monetary Fund's (IMF) latest downward revision of economic outlook, both global and of India, and the rising number of cases and high demand by gold exchange traded funds (ETF) have led to this record breaking rise in gold prices.
Covid-19 battered India's economy is projected to contract by 4.5 per cent this fiscal, according to the IMF and the global output is projected to decline by 4.9 per cent in 2020, 1.9 percentage points below the IMF's April forecast.
Hareesh V, Head of Commodity Research at Geojit Financial Services, said that gold's safe haven appeal will remain on the higher side as there is little hope of a quick global economic recovery amid rising virus cases across the world.
"Increased geopolitical instability and an under-performing dollar also lift the metal's sentiments," he added.
According to Prathamesh Mallya, AVP Research, Non-Agro Commodities & Currencies at Angel Broking, said that with the global output to contract and the economies in a deeper recession than most anticipate, gold as an asset class is a safe bet for investors across the globe.
"Although, the physical demand has declined drastically due to the restrictions and lockdowns, the activity of global central banks and their net purchases of gold signal that uncertainty will continue for most of 2020," he said.
He was also of the view that in the international market price of the metal may move towards $1,850 per ounce and in the domestic market it is likely to move higher towards Rs 50,000 per 10 grams.
"The investment demand as seen in the net additions of ETF holdings also signals that gold will shine for a much longer time even if the pandemic is under control. Till then, keep buying gold, if not in physical form, but in digital form," Mallya added.
Industry insiders like Aditya Pethe, Director, WHP Jewellers said: "I basically feel that the current trend for the gold is bullish and for the coming next 2 years, it is likely to move upwards. No one can predict the exact price as currently the trend is on rise but it might change after 6 months. In general for the coming 6 months to one year, the gold prices are likely to cross $2,000 which comes to roughly Rs 55,000. For a temporary moment it may reduce, basically fluctuate as well but overall trend of gold is going to be bullish."
On his part, Ishu Datwani, Founder, Anmol Jewellers said: "Yes - it's very likely that the gold price could easily go up to Rs 60,000-Rs 65,000 in the next two years. There is also a possibility of it going up even more."
"A lot of banks have been buying gold and there is also a possibility that the Indian rupee will depreciate against the dollar. This and geopolitical reasons will cause bullishness in gold."
Comments
Mayank and Ruvan
Thank God these culprits are caught ..... they are just normal people ...they are not worshiped people by Muslims as in yours how Aashram...Nithyananda....and other Godmen runned prostitute institutions.....hundreds of pimps criminals and rapists are caught without burka and beard daily from saffron color goons and goonesses....so what will be your comment.....never saw it on board..
We are always with the law ...we never defend criminals as you do....any saffron criminal caught dharna protest and violence. On streets demanding for release...
Are these buggers followers of Shanawaz Hussain? As his name ends with Hussain.
Burkha Olagina Rahasya!
Dear #2 Mayank, mumbai
There is no Disgrace to muslim community. In all religion there are some people who do bad that does not mean that because of that their religion becomes disgrace. In hindu religion also there are some people who do this type of business and it is not correct to say that hinduism is disgraced. The problem of these people is they do not study and follow their religion. If people study the holy scriptures of their religion then we can avoid these social crimes.
If they did it then they must be punished severely.
Another thing the supply is based on demand, so cant the men control themselves, is their wife not enough for them? or cant they get married to fulfill their desires?
If men can stay away from illegal desires then all this crime can be stopped to a major extent. Respect the women.
Dear Mayank
As soon as the news comes .. Dont judge. Many times we have be deceived...If its proved right, then they should be punished.
But dear,
Owaisi is not a cheddi member. He will not voice for criminals.
Sadhvi prachi, Aseemanand, Kalburgi killers, Ghandhi killers, Nithyananda sex racket ... cheddis tried to save them all but did not get success till date...
I request government of india to investigate this case and if they are found guilty with this filthy act then please hang them in the public. They have no rights to live in this earth.
These people are to be hanged till death
The crime what they have done is totally Unislamic. So do not judge islam by people's name or appearance. Islam strongly condemn such act.
Disgrace to Muslim community. Wonder why Owaisi does not supply lawyers and fight for them.
why is this whore Saira Begum wearing a burka still when she is in the flesh trade business and exploiting minor girls . Is she still a follower of Islam ?
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