New Delhi, Jun 26: With looming uncertainty and no likelihood of an early economic recovery in sight, the bull run in gold prices is here to stay. Analysts expect domestic futures to touch ₹ 52,000 per 10 grams in the next few months, till Diwali.
Experts also predict that with the current trend, gold may reach historic levels around ₹ 65,000 per 10 grams in two years time.
Futures of the yellow metal have touched new highs in India off late. On Wednesday, the August contract of gold futures on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) touched an all-time high of Rs 48,589 per 10 grams.
It has, however corrected since and is currently trading at ₹ 48,057 on the MCX, higher by ₹ 116 or 0.24 per cent from its previous close.
Market experts are of the view that both domestic and international gold prices are yet not done breaching records and will touch new highs in days to come.
The resurgence in the number of new cases of coronavirus infection across the globe has added to the uncertainty and fears.
Speaking to media persons, Anuj Gupta, DVP for Commodities and Currencies Research at Angel Broking, noted: "In short term we are expecting it to reach ₹ 48,800-49,000 and for long term, we are expecting ₹ 51,000-Rs 52,000 till Diwali."
On the prices in the international market, he said that it may reach around $1,790 per ounce in the near term from the current levels of $1,762 and the long term, it is likely to be around $1,820-1,850 per ounce.
Gupta noted that with International Monetary Fund's (IMF) latest downward revision of economic outlook, both global and of India, and the rising number of cases and high demand by gold exchange traded funds (ETF) have led to this record breaking rise in gold prices.
Covid-19 battered India's economy is projected to contract by 4.5 per cent this fiscal, according to the IMF and the global output is projected to decline by 4.9 per cent in 2020, 1.9 percentage points below the IMF's April forecast.
Hareesh V, Head of Commodity Research at Geojit Financial Services, said that gold's safe haven appeal will remain on the higher side as there is little hope of a quick global economic recovery amid rising virus cases across the world.
"Increased geopolitical instability and an under-performing dollar also lift the metal's sentiments," he added.
According to Prathamesh Mallya, AVP Research, Non-Agro Commodities & Currencies at Angel Broking, said that with the global output to contract and the economies in a deeper recession than most anticipate, gold as an asset class is a safe bet for investors across the globe.
"Although, the physical demand has declined drastically due to the restrictions and lockdowns, the activity of global central banks and their net purchases of gold signal that uncertainty will continue for most of 2020," he said.
He was also of the view that in the international market price of the metal may move towards $1,850 per ounce and in the domestic market it is likely to move higher towards Rs 50,000 per 10 grams.
"The investment demand as seen in the net additions of ETF holdings also signals that gold will shine for a much longer time even if the pandemic is under control. Till then, keep buying gold, if not in physical form, but in digital form," Mallya added.
Industry insiders like Aditya Pethe, Director, WHP Jewellers said: "I basically feel that the current trend for the gold is bullish and for the coming next 2 years, it is likely to move upwards. No one can predict the exact price as currently the trend is on rise but it might change after 6 months. In general for the coming 6 months to one year, the gold prices are likely to cross $2,000 which comes to roughly Rs 55,000. For a temporary moment it may reduce, basically fluctuate as well but overall trend of gold is going to be bullish."
On his part, Ishu Datwani, Founder, Anmol Jewellers said: "Yes - it's very likely that the gold price could easily go up to Rs 60,000-Rs 65,000 in the next two years. There is also a possibility of it going up even more."
"A lot of banks have been buying gold and there is also a possibility that the Indian rupee will depreciate against the dollar. This and geopolitical reasons will cause bullishness in gold."
Comments
Mohammed harish ... (16)
Point to be noted.. For long time people are in Darkness of this false story.. and many hindus are reading it and understanding the deception on this. and they even question.
if God cannot recognise his own son , then how can we accept him as God.
If God cannot fix with human head then how come we accept him as God.
If God cannot act aggressively with his own son, how can we accept him as God
Question to PONDER and know NA TASYA PRATIMA ASTI (There is no image of God) When VEDAS says it then people are mocking at God with such idiotic ideology which doesnt make sense... Please stay away from such ideology and Ponder on who is our CREATOR ... God will Guide those who are honest in their search.
May God help those who are HONEST to find the truth.
Please he his not god he is same like human being same like us.
we need to worship only one god. thats none other than allah. he is the creator all of us and entire world. you guys are worshiping stone. you know stone is created by god. we dont know how god looks. and yu guys celebrating ganesh chathurthi. i read about ganesh story parvathi the wife of shiva was getting ready for her bath and she needed someone to gaurd her. the young boy stand near entrance of the bathroom, while she was bathing shiva returned and was surprised to find little boy standing at the entrance. when shiva tried to enter. the little boy blocked his path. shiva asked who are you why are you blocking my path...? little boy answered no one enters bathroom my mother is taking her bath declared the boy boldly. shiva replied i have right to enter she is my wife . but young boy did not move but stood his ground. shiva not knowing that this was his own son , shiva who was quick anger grew enraged. little boy disobeyed shiva , he cut off the boy head. parvathi returning from her bath saw her son lying dead and overcome with grief. she was filled with both anger and sorrow.
shiva sent his soldiers to fetch the head of the first best they saw. the men rushed and finally come upon with elephant head. then shiva attached it onto the body of the little boy and gave him life once again . i have doubt in this story. y shiva dont know about his son.. is he born to shiva. why they fixed elephant head. why cant fix same human head. god god fighting. ha ha ha ha ha this is crazy. fully confused religion.
Its just an idol. Where is god. God is a creator not a creation.
The one who made the idol. He is more superior than the idol.
Quran says. Only the religion is acceptable is islam. No other religious book says so.
Muslims just deliver the message. They don't benefit anything. At the of end. They will be the loser.Only quran says earth is round. And finger print does not match with another finger.
Even zamzam water. Millions of people drink. It never felt short. Saudi is known for shortage of water. But zamzam water never dropped an inch.
Keep ur ego aside. Come to the true religion.
There is no Hindu God or Muslim God or Christian God or God for any other community...
God is ONE, Who created U ME and all that exists...
From Prophet ADAM to Ibrahim, to Moses to Jesus to Muhammad peace be upon them all are all the prophets of God who conveyed the one message to WORSHIP him alone and dont associate partners with him...
Search for TRUTH, If you are HONEST, U will find the TRUTH ... God's Guidance will reach YOU if U are HONEST and TRUTHFUL in searching for HIM...
Follow VEDAS (NA TASYA PRATIMA ASTI) rather than cheddis script...
(Temple & idols are made to oppose vedas)
U will be successful....
He reached his highest level, he does not need God, even if he teases God people accept it....God was there for him when he was zero....
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