New Delhi, Jun 26: With looming uncertainty and no likelihood of an early economic recovery in sight, the bull run in gold prices is here to stay. Analysts expect domestic futures to touch ₹ 52,000 per 10 grams in the next few months, till Diwali.
Experts also predict that with the current trend, gold may reach historic levels around ₹ 65,000 per 10 grams in two years time.
Futures of the yellow metal have touched new highs in India off late. On Wednesday, the August contract of gold futures on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) touched an all-time high of Rs 48,589 per 10 grams.
It has, however corrected since and is currently trading at ₹ 48,057 on the MCX, higher by ₹ 116 or 0.24 per cent from its previous close.
Market experts are of the view that both domestic and international gold prices are yet not done breaching records and will touch new highs in days to come.
The resurgence in the number of new cases of coronavirus infection across the globe has added to the uncertainty and fears.
Speaking to media persons, Anuj Gupta, DVP for Commodities and Currencies Research at Angel Broking, noted: "In short term we are expecting it to reach ₹ 48,800-49,000 and for long term, we are expecting ₹ 51,000-Rs 52,000 till Diwali."
On the prices in the international market, he said that it may reach around $1,790 per ounce in the near term from the current levels of $1,762 and the long term, it is likely to be around $1,820-1,850 per ounce.
Gupta noted that with International Monetary Fund's (IMF) latest downward revision of economic outlook, both global and of India, and the rising number of cases and high demand by gold exchange traded funds (ETF) have led to this record breaking rise in gold prices.
Covid-19 battered India's economy is projected to contract by 4.5 per cent this fiscal, according to the IMF and the global output is projected to decline by 4.9 per cent in 2020, 1.9 percentage points below the IMF's April forecast.
Hareesh V, Head of Commodity Research at Geojit Financial Services, said that gold's safe haven appeal will remain on the higher side as there is little hope of a quick global economic recovery amid rising virus cases across the world.
"Increased geopolitical instability and an under-performing dollar also lift the metal's sentiments," he added.
According to Prathamesh Mallya, AVP Research, Non-Agro Commodities & Currencies at Angel Broking, said that with the global output to contract and the economies in a deeper recession than most anticipate, gold as an asset class is a safe bet for investors across the globe.
"Although, the physical demand has declined drastically due to the restrictions and lockdowns, the activity of global central banks and their net purchases of gold signal that uncertainty will continue for most of 2020," he said.
He was also of the view that in the international market price of the metal may move towards $1,850 per ounce and in the domestic market it is likely to move higher towards Rs 50,000 per 10 grams.
"The investment demand as seen in the net additions of ETF holdings also signals that gold will shine for a much longer time even if the pandemic is under control. Till then, keep buying gold, if not in physical form, but in digital form," Mallya added.
Industry insiders like Aditya Pethe, Director, WHP Jewellers said: "I basically feel that the current trend for the gold is bullish and for the coming next 2 years, it is likely to move upwards. No one can predict the exact price as currently the trend is on rise but it might change after 6 months. In general for the coming 6 months to one year, the gold prices are likely to cross $2,000 which comes to roughly Rs 55,000. For a temporary moment it may reduce, basically fluctuate as well but overall trend of gold is going to be bullish."
On his part, Ishu Datwani, Founder, Anmol Jewellers said: "Yes - it's very likely that the gold price could easily go up to Rs 60,000-Rs 65,000 in the next two years. There is also a possibility of it going up even more."
"A lot of banks have been buying gold and there is also a possibility that the Indian rupee will depreciate against the dollar. This and geopolitical reasons will cause bullishness in gold."
Comments
Kotiaan brothers did not see the carrot saffron shakes video of aseemanada and Nithyananda rapes....ha ha...he loves Arab porn...like all sangheez even watch in Parliament....
Piece loving nation ..haha. ..I also saw the video where Arab milk shakes raping indian women maids from Hyderabad ..
Dear Satya Vishwas...
U are right but what We muslims need to Present the TRUE message of ISLAM to the public as well as the cheddis .. cos they are carrying in their mind the ISLAM which is taught by the Cheddis.. which is dumping them deep into darkness (hate, jealousy, crime, looting, lies and etc) as well as the society.
So we should educate whatever way to spread the real msg of ISLAM to the cheddis as well as the non muslims ...
When we present the true message atleast few may reflect who are honest.. in their hearts. ALLAH guides those who are honest in looking for God.
Why CD readers bother about this Phycho person;(Phycho Viren) this man must be admitted Kankanady hospital for his brain wash in Vande dot CLOREX muthram.
dear all CD readers : please do not react , or comment to viren kotian just neglect him,BECAUSE HE IS DEPLOYED by RSS to ignite and provoke minorities, so if we react to his inhumane comments he and his dirty mind followers enjoy it.And they are successful in their mission, and also he get highlighted , so why to give him unnecessary (un) popularity.
REMEMBER THAT IF YOU THROW A STONE AT LOOSE SHIT (VIREN) IT SPREADS ALL OVER .
so lets not waste our valuable time by arguing with the inhuman viren.
Viren Kotian , seeing your comments i understand that a deluded understanding is giving such a buncombe, please understand such swaggering appears unarmed for a rational discussion.
kindly refrain
Vande matram means cheddis bow down to the mother land...
What islam says
ALLAH is the lord of all that exists, U me and all that is in between the earth and the skies..
We Muslims bow down to ALLAH alone and nothing else , Even not to our respected prophets or our mother who gave birth to us...
We love our prophets,
We love our mother
We love our mother land
but we will never worship our mother land...
ALLAH created us and We bow down to him alone.. Please dont ask me to bow down to the motherland which is also a creation of ALLAH...
ALLAH forgives every sin with true repentance but associating partners with him is the biggest SIN... which is a way to hell and Please dont drag us Muslims to that destination... Sorry I believe ALLAH as my lord, Muhammad pbuh and all the prophets as my messenger and Islam as my religion....
Please VIREN when U worship the mother land, U actually denying the TRUE GOD ... I request U to look who is our CREATOR which VEDAS also mentions \NA TASYA PRATIMA ASTI\" there is no image of GOD...
IF you are honest in looking for the CREATOR , God will Guide U ... Atleast make some effort to look for the creator of all that exists.. Dont just worship the man made creations and animals and live a life unaware.. QURAN challenges mankind to bring a book like it... Please go thru it."
No one can become patriot just saying vande matram, this is crazy....we Muslims cannot do that...its against our religion...but in fact we will fight for our country without any hesitation.....and save country from our enemies.....
Hello joker Viren......a lot of bharat maa ki jai sons are also living happily with their family's in Muslim countries and they respect and are thankful to those people. Some goons like you will let Islamic nations kick them out of there.......you sick-minded will let people hate each other...saffron pillas....why don't modi offer job and respect to the people who say jai jai and are still working in Islamic nations.......u don't belong to a democratic nation.......go to your country Nepal....ha haa
Viren Kotian, how could you say, the person who doesn't sing Vande Mataram is not be Indian!!!
You must know its not our National Anthem and its an individual personal choice.
I don't understand why CD post such nonsense Viren Kotian comments!!
Viren, I think you don't have any knowledge of our Indian constitution!!
Bharat Mata har ek Hindustani ki hai, aur Akbar ek hindustani hai, apne desh se madad maang raha hai, samajh is baat ko. and
don't ever bring communal things in humanity!!!
Mr. Kotian why so much hatred on muslim relegion, we are human beings, remember that.. we are indians here we don't treat each other as HINDU's or MUSLIM's.. Try to be peace lover My Dear Friend..
Bharath kisi ke baap ka nahi. The slogan made purely illogic for any religion including hindus which is against the holy scriptures. Will you and your millions of hindu brothers say La ilaha illallah mohammedurrasulullah while entering in arab countries to earn their bread and butter.
Dear viper kotian if u sing vande maataram r u getting 15 lac from your govt? Then why u r singing r u mad?
Viren kotian.
Its haraam to say vande mataram according to vedas. Hindu is not a religion. Arabs gave the word hindu. U should be thankful to arabs.
Rama couldnt save his own wife sita from kidnap. How can he save u.
Ask any pandit. He will runaway from u.
The religion is sanatan dharm. Nowadays nobody knows a single word of it.
Habeebi viren, dont worry we will try to help him out.. If you are not sleeping then try to see the problems of those who sing vande mataram and still not came out of it. I doubt the govt helps them.
Indian govt should help this guy.
Viren - stop talking nonsense ( as usual )
What is Indian embassy doing around.....they got a lot money of expatriates collected during passport renewal time....millions of them...couldn't they use part of it to get this person come out of his ordeal...
You are not ready to sing 'vande mataram' but when you get stranded in a Muslim country you need bharat maatha's hindu govt's help. Funny people.
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