New Delhi, May 17: Following the COVID-19-induced economic disruptions, up to 135 million jobs could be lost and 120 million people might be pushed back into poverty in India, all of which will have a hit on consumer income, spending and savings, says a report.
According to a new report by international management consulting firm Arthur D Little, the worst of COVID-19's impact will be felt by India's most vulnerable in terms of job loss, poverty increase and reduced per-capita income, which in turn will result in a steep decline in the Gross Domestic Product (GDP).
"Given the continued rise of COVID-19 cases, we believe that a W-shaped recovery is the most likely scenario for India. This implies a GDP contraction of 10.8 per cent in FY 2020-21 and GDP growth of 0.8 per cent in FY 2021-22," the report said.
India's COVID-19 tally has crossed 90,000 and the nationwide death toll has touched nearly 2,800 so far.
The report titled "India: Surmounting the economic challenges posed by COVID-19: A 10-point programme to revive and power India's post-COVID economy" said the 'collateral damage' of the forecasted GDP slowdown, will be felt most acutely in employment, poverty alleviation, per-capita income and overall nominal GDP.
"Unemployment may rise to 35 per cent from 7.6 per cent resulting in 136 million jobs lost and a total of 174 million unemployed. Poverty alleviation will receive a set-back, significantly changing the fortunes of many, putting 120 million people into poverty and 40 million into abject poverty," the report said.
"India is headed towards a W-shaped economic recovery with a potential GDP contraction of 10.8 per cent in FY21. An opportunity loss of USD 1 trillion is staring India in its face," said Barnik Chitran Maitra, lead author of the report and Managing Partner & CEO of Arthur D Little, India and South Asia.
Maitra further said "for its USD 5 trillion vision, a radical economic approach is needed, centred on an immediate stimulus and structural reforms. The Prime Minister's visionary 'Atma Nirbhar Bharat Abhiyan' is a good start to this new approach."
The report lauded the steps taken by the government and the Reserve Bank of India, but said a far more assertive approach may be required given the magnitude of the adverse economic output.
The report suggested a 10-point programme to accelerate the recovery which include strengthening the 'safety net' significantly for the most vulnerable, enable survival of small and medium businesses, restarting the rural economy and providing targeted assistance to at-risk sectors.
It further said the government should launch "Make in India 2.0" to capture global opportunities, build 'Modern India', accelerate Digital India and Innovation, strengthen global investment corridors with the US, UAE, Saudi Arabia, Japan and the UK, debottleneck land and labour and transform banking and financial markets in a bid to secure a sustainable economic future for 1.3 billion Indians.
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He had Children
He had good Job
He had Wealth
He had Status
He had Worldly Power
He had House
He had Assets.
He had almost everything that this world can keep him happy.
But his whole family ended up in killing themselves...
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Prophet Muhammad pbuh is the light for Mankind... if We doesnt know about him then U are living in darkness with all those thing which world can Give U ... its a temporay need in this life but Get the life of contentment ... U need to look into the guidance for Mankind that is the QURAN (thequranproject) and the teachings of Prophet Muhammad pbuh...
Know the REALITY of worshiping the man made gods... U will understand what going on in this life.
Allah says in Qur'an, \we have not created mankind and Jinn except to worship me\".
\" the life of this world is nothing but quick passing time\".
so know your true lord,purpose of his creation and lead a blissful life and strive for hereafter.
\"whatever u missed in this world was never gonna reach u and whatever has reached u was never gonna miss u\".
give thanks to allah when u receive something and have patience when u lose it.
to allah we belong and to him is our return."
The more you try to know about the TRUE GOD who created all that exists.. the less U will take such henious steps...
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