New Delhi, Jun 26: With looming uncertainty and no likelihood of an early economic recovery in sight, the bull run in gold prices is here to stay. Analysts expect domestic futures to touch ₹ 52,000 per 10 grams in the next few months, till Diwali.
Experts also predict that with the current trend, gold may reach historic levels around ₹ 65,000 per 10 grams in two years time.
Futures of the yellow metal have touched new highs in India off late. On Wednesday, the August contract of gold futures on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) touched an all-time high of Rs 48,589 per 10 grams.
It has, however corrected since and is currently trading at ₹ 48,057 on the MCX, higher by ₹ 116 or 0.24 per cent from its previous close.
Market experts are of the view that both domestic and international gold prices are yet not done breaching records and will touch new highs in days to come.
The resurgence in the number of new cases of coronavirus infection across the globe has added to the uncertainty and fears.
Speaking to media persons, Anuj Gupta, DVP for Commodities and Currencies Research at Angel Broking, noted: "In short term we are expecting it to reach ₹ 48,800-49,000 and for long term, we are expecting ₹ 51,000-Rs 52,000 till Diwali."
On the prices in the international market, he said that it may reach around $1,790 per ounce in the near term from the current levels of $1,762 and the long term, it is likely to be around $1,820-1,850 per ounce.
Gupta noted that with International Monetary Fund's (IMF) latest downward revision of economic outlook, both global and of India, and the rising number of cases and high demand by gold exchange traded funds (ETF) have led to this record breaking rise in gold prices.
Covid-19 battered India's economy is projected to contract by 4.5 per cent this fiscal, according to the IMF and the global output is projected to decline by 4.9 per cent in 2020, 1.9 percentage points below the IMF's April forecast.
Hareesh V, Head of Commodity Research at Geojit Financial Services, said that gold's safe haven appeal will remain on the higher side as there is little hope of a quick global economic recovery amid rising virus cases across the world.
"Increased geopolitical instability and an under-performing dollar also lift the metal's sentiments," he added.
According to Prathamesh Mallya, AVP Research, Non-Agro Commodities & Currencies at Angel Broking, said that with the global output to contract and the economies in a deeper recession than most anticipate, gold as an asset class is a safe bet for investors across the globe.
"Although, the physical demand has declined drastically due to the restrictions and lockdowns, the activity of global central banks and their net purchases of gold signal that uncertainty will continue for most of 2020," he said.
He was also of the view that in the international market price of the metal may move towards $1,850 per ounce and in the domestic market it is likely to move higher towards Rs 50,000 per 10 grams.
"The investment demand as seen in the net additions of ETF holdings also signals that gold will shine for a much longer time even if the pandemic is under control. Till then, keep buying gold, if not in physical form, but in digital form," Mallya added.
Industry insiders like Aditya Pethe, Director, WHP Jewellers said: "I basically feel that the current trend for the gold is bullish and for the coming next 2 years, it is likely to move upwards. No one can predict the exact price as currently the trend is on rise but it might change after 6 months. In general for the coming 6 months to one year, the gold prices are likely to cross $2,000 which comes to roughly Rs 55,000. For a temporary moment it may reduce, basically fluctuate as well but overall trend of gold is going to be bullish."
On his part, Ishu Datwani, Founder, Anmol Jewellers said: "Yes - it's very likely that the gold price could easily go up to Rs 60,000-Rs 65,000 in the next two years. There is also a possibility of it going up even more."
"A lot of banks have been buying gold and there is also a possibility that the Indian rupee will depreciate against the dollar. This and geopolitical reasons will cause bullishness in gold."
Comments
KAR-NATAKA...
:(
Most of the picture shows they are laughing also the police.. Which raises question of understanding!
Der was a statement frm our Dept regarding d stiff action. Is dis called stiff action?
Stiff action wud b a reality if scenario was different, if muslims was protest without permission.
Double standard
why laathi is not working here ??
Enough drama...Dirty politics...
Wah eth maryadeyna janaklu.. and oh my deware what a huge huge dozens of crowds.. oh my deware i cant even count how many they are :D
You foolish guys, Tippu did not destroy temples but in fact he built them and renovated them all....
In fact you destroyed babri masjid a few years back....how bad you guys are....moreover killing innocent muslims at that time and as well during modi's regime in Gujrath...bad people....
Tippu Zindabad!
How they laugh each other like children are playing. this is nothing else they know each other very well because both are chaddis.
In delhi how they drag Najeeb's mother .
well done BJP protest till end.
Kateel is a elected Member of Parliament. He should keep it in mind that all community from his constituency voted for his current position.
Every indian can protest. Then why Mr. Kateel is not participating in Muslim or Christian community protest?? Amazing
discrimination.
Wa/ Wa Master Kateel you Criminal looters thought to do some Loot Pat because of the Great Warriors Name!!!!!! Bap Ray Bap Which Part of the world you are in??? when you Criminal Looters thinking what?? we all understand you are all workless and how long you can leave this type of Life???? what you think being MP??
Never ever see like you Buffoon!!!
\Every Dog has its own day Kateelanna\"
Jai Hoo Siddanna,
Jai Hoo Parmarashwaranna."
let them do jayanthi or kabur whats the problem for u guys. please leave the place and queue up in the bank to exchange the notes.
Most of pics.. laughing each other. Protesters & Police.
conspiracy between Protesters and Police \YOU PRETEND LIKE BEATEN UP AND I PRETEND LIKE BEATING UP\""
Why police released all of this Gundas. Police should have done lati charge and put all of them behind bar under gunda act. Instead of carrying them like babies police could have beaten them with lati. Because of these anti national elements ad terrorists our india is in danger. Please punish them all including our useless MP.
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