New Delhi, Jun 26: With looming uncertainty and no likelihood of an early economic recovery in sight, the bull run in gold prices is here to stay. Analysts expect domestic futures to touch ₹ 52,000 per 10 grams in the next few months, till Diwali.
Experts also predict that with the current trend, gold may reach historic levels around ₹ 65,000 per 10 grams in two years time.
Futures of the yellow metal have touched new highs in India off late. On Wednesday, the August contract of gold futures on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) touched an all-time high of Rs 48,589 per 10 grams.
It has, however corrected since and is currently trading at ₹ 48,057 on the MCX, higher by ₹ 116 or 0.24 per cent from its previous close.
Market experts are of the view that both domestic and international gold prices are yet not done breaching records and will touch new highs in days to come.
The resurgence in the number of new cases of coronavirus infection across the globe has added to the uncertainty and fears.
Speaking to media persons, Anuj Gupta, DVP for Commodities and Currencies Research at Angel Broking, noted: "In short term we are expecting it to reach ₹ 48,800-49,000 and for long term, we are expecting ₹ 51,000-Rs 52,000 till Diwali."
On the prices in the international market, he said that it may reach around $1,790 per ounce in the near term from the current levels of $1,762 and the long term, it is likely to be around $1,820-1,850 per ounce.
Gupta noted that with International Monetary Fund's (IMF) latest downward revision of economic outlook, both global and of India, and the rising number of cases and high demand by gold exchange traded funds (ETF) have led to this record breaking rise in gold prices.
Covid-19 battered India's economy is projected to contract by 4.5 per cent this fiscal, according to the IMF and the global output is projected to decline by 4.9 per cent in 2020, 1.9 percentage points below the IMF's April forecast.
Hareesh V, Head of Commodity Research at Geojit Financial Services, said that gold's safe haven appeal will remain on the higher side as there is little hope of a quick global economic recovery amid rising virus cases across the world.
"Increased geopolitical instability and an under-performing dollar also lift the metal's sentiments," he added.
According to Prathamesh Mallya, AVP Research, Non-Agro Commodities & Currencies at Angel Broking, said that with the global output to contract and the economies in a deeper recession than most anticipate, gold as an asset class is a safe bet for investors across the globe.
"Although, the physical demand has declined drastically due to the restrictions and lockdowns, the activity of global central banks and their net purchases of gold signal that uncertainty will continue for most of 2020," he said.
He was also of the view that in the international market price of the metal may move towards $1,850 per ounce and in the domestic market it is likely to move higher towards Rs 50,000 per 10 grams.
"The investment demand as seen in the net additions of ETF holdings also signals that gold will shine for a much longer time even if the pandemic is under control. Till then, keep buying gold, if not in physical form, but in digital form," Mallya added.
Industry insiders like Aditya Pethe, Director, WHP Jewellers said: "I basically feel that the current trend for the gold is bullish and for the coming next 2 years, it is likely to move upwards. No one can predict the exact price as currently the trend is on rise but it might change after 6 months. In general for the coming 6 months to one year, the gold prices are likely to cross $2,000 which comes to roughly Rs 55,000. For a temporary moment it may reduce, basically fluctuate as well but overall trend of gold is going to be bullish."
On his part, Ishu Datwani, Founder, Anmol Jewellers said: "Yes - it's very likely that the gold price could easily go up to Rs 60,000-Rs 65,000 in the next two years. There is also a possibility of it going up even more."
"A lot of banks have been buying gold and there is also a possibility that the Indian rupee will depreciate against the dollar. This and geopolitical reasons will cause bullishness in gold."
Comments
ALWYN,,,,THERE R SOME WHO WANT TO EXPLORE,,EVEN PARENTS ARE FINE ABOUT THIS BUT SOCIETY IS NOT ,SOMETIMES IT IS OTHERWISE,,,,ONE SHUD NOT INTERFERE TO THE CERTAIN EXTENT,,IN SOCIETY ONE SHUD KNOW HOW TO ACT AND TALK,,,,,ONE SHUD NOT HURT OTHERS,,,,LOVE JIHAD IS SERIOUS,,,THERE ARE INDIVIDUALS WHO DO IT FOR FUN,,,AND SOME FOR DEMEANING THE GIRLS REPUTATION AND SOMETIMES EVEN THE COMMUNITY,,,,,,,SOME SOCIETIES ARE VERY REGRESSIVE LIKE MUSLIM COUNTRIES,,,,,,OURS IS OK,,,ONE SHUD NOT FEEL EVERYTIME IT IS THE CASE,,,,,WHEN A COUPLE ACTUALLY LOVES EACH OTHER THEY SHUD BE ALLOWED,,,,THATS THE WHOLE POINT.......
Doorway to Haven AK47 please help us, many of our girls are victim of Love jihad, this is other example. we are help less
NO DC OR BC CAN STOP THIS,,,,,,ITS HAPPENING EVERYWHERE IN THE WORLD,,,,THIS TIME THE MALE WAS SAVED BECAUSE GIRL IS CHRISTIAN,,,UNTIL NEXT TIME,,,WEN GIRL IS HINDU,,,HE WILL GET IT FOR SURE,,,,,THEN WE WILL C WHAT DC DOES,,,,,NONESENSE PEOPLE TALKING COURAGE ON WEB FORUMS,,,ITS SO MANLY
Koti-an & other chaddis, BURNOL BODA
CHADDIGALIGE BURNOOL BAGHYA....
Shame !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! on dirty mind people...........
its not coming from their back ..its coming from Hindutwa Activists mouth
These shameless goondas have no job but to create disturbance in society. Police should book them for wasting time and trying to create communal disturbance. Arrest the leaders of these goonda parties.
One who act against country's CONSTITUTION and tamperning the rules and contents of CONSTITUTION and playing against law and attacking on any particular community or conducting group clash; igniting communal clash is a terrorist and Government and Supreme Court must announce to whole nation and implement.
Then no one dare to show off with DHARMA;SENA; BHAKT BRIGADE etc.
respected deputy commission,
dear sir,
it has been a practice in dakshina kannada that , the sangha pariwar goons always accompany policemen for any raid , which was complained by them.
why you need sangha pariwar goons along with your police men? your police men are not enough to handle the situation? or the police men are also involved in sangha pariwar activities?
this is specially when they raid \minority houses, church, mosque and commercial places only. entire muslims in dakshina kannada knows this routine. thus the minorities are losing faith in police.
kindly requesting your good selves to stop this practice to show that your team is capable to handle any situation, and your team is not supported by the sangha pariwar goons."
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