New Delhi, Jun 26: With looming uncertainty and no likelihood of an early economic recovery in sight, the bull run in gold prices is here to stay. Analysts expect domestic futures to touch ₹ 52,000 per 10 grams in the next few months, till Diwali.
Experts also predict that with the current trend, gold may reach historic levels around ₹ 65,000 per 10 grams in two years time.
Futures of the yellow metal have touched new highs in India off late. On Wednesday, the August contract of gold futures on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) touched an all-time high of Rs 48,589 per 10 grams.
It has, however corrected since and is currently trading at ₹ 48,057 on the MCX, higher by ₹ 116 or 0.24 per cent from its previous close.
Market experts are of the view that both domestic and international gold prices are yet not done breaching records and will touch new highs in days to come.
The resurgence in the number of new cases of coronavirus infection across the globe has added to the uncertainty and fears.
Speaking to media persons, Anuj Gupta, DVP for Commodities and Currencies Research at Angel Broking, noted: "In short term we are expecting it to reach ₹ 48,800-49,000 and for long term, we are expecting ₹ 51,000-Rs 52,000 till Diwali."
On the prices in the international market, he said that it may reach around $1,790 per ounce in the near term from the current levels of $1,762 and the long term, it is likely to be around $1,820-1,850 per ounce.
Gupta noted that with International Monetary Fund's (IMF) latest downward revision of economic outlook, both global and of India, and the rising number of cases and high demand by gold exchange traded funds (ETF) have led to this record breaking rise in gold prices.
Covid-19 battered India's economy is projected to contract by 4.5 per cent this fiscal, according to the IMF and the global output is projected to decline by 4.9 per cent in 2020, 1.9 percentage points below the IMF's April forecast.
Hareesh V, Head of Commodity Research at Geojit Financial Services, said that gold's safe haven appeal will remain on the higher side as there is little hope of a quick global economic recovery amid rising virus cases across the world.
"Increased geopolitical instability and an under-performing dollar also lift the metal's sentiments," he added.
According to Prathamesh Mallya, AVP Research, Non-Agro Commodities & Currencies at Angel Broking, said that with the global output to contract and the economies in a deeper recession than most anticipate, gold as an asset class is a safe bet for investors across the globe.
"Although, the physical demand has declined drastically due to the restrictions and lockdowns, the activity of global central banks and their net purchases of gold signal that uncertainty will continue for most of 2020," he said.
He was also of the view that in the international market price of the metal may move towards $1,850 per ounce and in the domestic market it is likely to move higher towards Rs 50,000 per 10 grams.
"The investment demand as seen in the net additions of ETF holdings also signals that gold will shine for a much longer time even if the pandemic is under control. Till then, keep buying gold, if not in physical form, but in digital form," Mallya added.
Industry insiders like Aditya Pethe, Director, WHP Jewellers said: "I basically feel that the current trend for the gold is bullish and for the coming next 2 years, it is likely to move upwards. No one can predict the exact price as currently the trend is on rise but it might change after 6 months. In general for the coming 6 months to one year, the gold prices are likely to cross $2,000 which comes to roughly Rs 55,000. For a temporary moment it may reduce, basically fluctuate as well but overall trend of gold is going to be bullish."
On his part, Ishu Datwani, Founder, Anmol Jewellers said: "Yes - it's very likely that the gold price could easily go up to Rs 60,000-Rs 65,000 in the next two years. There is also a possibility of it going up even more."
"A lot of banks have been buying gold and there is also a possibility that the Indian rupee will depreciate against the dollar. This and geopolitical reasons will cause bullishness in gold."
Comments
Your topic is outdated... people know your evil intention to make peaceful hindus and muslims fight each other..
It would be better for you to look Who is our CREATOR and how he wants our life to be lived rather than only creating evils in the society...
the word 'Hind' in arabic means 'India\.. in that context , what he said is correct.. all indian nationals are Hindu nationals , irrespective of their religion.. there is no religion named 'Hinduism\"
Name 'hinduism' term used by british for easy survey.. other than Muslims and christans, all others included under 'hindu' label."
Mr. Chaddi guru please shut up your mouth. Suggest to think at least 5 times before your speak
India does not belong to any communal group. Only freedom fighters and their alliance permitted to give any comments advise. chaddi desh drohi has no right to talk about HINDUSTAN.
Jai Hind!
Who r u to decide who is who?
If u go to Kerala and Tamilnadu they don't understand word Hindusthan....He He He....
So Modi slogan India First will change to Hindu First. Eventually it will turn to sangha first. Looks like he is on drug. RSS has accumulated and looted large sum of Indian money since Modi came to power. CBI has to investigate every RSS member account.
I dont find anything wrong in this . Ofcourse we can also be called Hindus .as Hindusim is not a religion , it is a way of life and people staying in a geographical area ..we Muslims have lot of tradition and culture imbibed by our hindu ancestors , dargah worhsip is also one among that ... we are hindus Mr Mohan bhagwath ... hindus or bharatiya is fine with me . you guys belongs to sanathan dharma ... we belong to islam .. but i strongly believe we are hindus ...
WHO IS THE HELL YOU TO DICIDE, YOU ARE A JUST TERRORIST GO AND FIGHT IN BORDER,
I am working is Gulf.... and every Indian here is called HINDI irrespective of which religion he belongs to... So what's a big deal...
By the way Hindu/Hindus is not the real name of the religion. It is called Sanathana Dharm... Unfortunately loads don't know this fact.
Hindu/Hindus is the name given by foreign invaders who came to India in the past.
Correct me if I am wrong
Which nationality his balls belong ???????????????????
Ajjer na posa raaga surand.......aklakulu benpunu aklakul thinpunu hindu aanda daane muslim aanda daane ? .ajjere jankle badhkare budle...chaddi nuppu korpujji....
Its Great to hear from him Mr. Bhagavat about Hinduism why he reminded only about Muslims( may be upcoming UP Election) why not Dalit and Cristians why he spared them from Hinduism by the way if you study the deep root of Hinduism you will never find its a religion its a practice of all culture and morals of the land called Hindustan those who were living in the bank of Sindh and mohanjedaro in the earlier centuries used to calls Hindus people. Now RSS want to re write the history of Mughal kings are may be called Hindu emperors the easy example like Akbar the great.
In the first place this person and his RSS supported British rule in India then what the hell is he knows about Hindu culture.....afterwards his party man killed Mahathma Gandhi....terrible people......but he does not have any right to teach Muslims what to do and what not to do.....Muslims know how to respect one another's religion and tradition....He should mind his own business....
Mohan Bhagwat should be an Indian and respect all Indians first. He should denounce statements from various sanghis on patriotism of non-Hindus. Mohan Bhagwat should respect Indian constitution and urge all the hate mongers to respect it.
Poor old man does not know what & who is a HINDU. It is nowhere mentioned in the so called scriptures they believe. After all the name HINDU was given by MUSLIMS. Pack of Jokers!!!
People live in France are called French
People live in Briton are called British
People live in Indonesia are called Indonesians.
This Sanghi have no idea at all what we call ourself?
Those live in India are called as Indians
Those live in Bharath are called as Bharatiya
Those live in Hindustan are called as Hindustani
Not all Hindus. But, we have a majority population who are Hindus.
Do not forget that all mankind born as Muslim... (Adam A.S)
Take time to study about Islam....
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