New Delhi, Jun 26: With looming uncertainty and no likelihood of an early economic recovery in sight, the bull run in gold prices is here to stay. Analysts expect domestic futures to touch ₹ 52,000 per 10 grams in the next few months, till Diwali.
Experts also predict that with the current trend, gold may reach historic levels around ₹ 65,000 per 10 grams in two years time.
Futures of the yellow metal have touched new highs in India off late. On Wednesday, the August contract of gold futures on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) touched an all-time high of Rs 48,589 per 10 grams.
It has, however corrected since and is currently trading at ₹ 48,057 on the MCX, higher by ₹ 116 or 0.24 per cent from its previous close.
Market experts are of the view that both domestic and international gold prices are yet not done breaching records and will touch new highs in days to come.
The resurgence in the number of new cases of coronavirus infection across the globe has added to the uncertainty and fears.
Speaking to media persons, Anuj Gupta, DVP for Commodities and Currencies Research at Angel Broking, noted: "In short term we are expecting it to reach ₹ 48,800-49,000 and for long term, we are expecting ₹ 51,000-Rs 52,000 till Diwali."
On the prices in the international market, he said that it may reach around $1,790 per ounce in the near term from the current levels of $1,762 and the long term, it is likely to be around $1,820-1,850 per ounce.
Gupta noted that with International Monetary Fund's (IMF) latest downward revision of economic outlook, both global and of India, and the rising number of cases and high demand by gold exchange traded funds (ETF) have led to this record breaking rise in gold prices.
Covid-19 battered India's economy is projected to contract by 4.5 per cent this fiscal, according to the IMF and the global output is projected to decline by 4.9 per cent in 2020, 1.9 percentage points below the IMF's April forecast.
Hareesh V, Head of Commodity Research at Geojit Financial Services, said that gold's safe haven appeal will remain on the higher side as there is little hope of a quick global economic recovery amid rising virus cases across the world.
"Increased geopolitical instability and an under-performing dollar also lift the metal's sentiments," he added.
According to Prathamesh Mallya, AVP Research, Non-Agro Commodities & Currencies at Angel Broking, said that with the global output to contract and the economies in a deeper recession than most anticipate, gold as an asset class is a safe bet for investors across the globe.
"Although, the physical demand has declined drastically due to the restrictions and lockdowns, the activity of global central banks and their net purchases of gold signal that uncertainty will continue for most of 2020," he said.
He was also of the view that in the international market price of the metal may move towards $1,850 per ounce and in the domestic market it is likely to move higher towards Rs 50,000 per 10 grams.
"The investment demand as seen in the net additions of ETF holdings also signals that gold will shine for a much longer time even if the pandemic is under control. Till then, keep buying gold, if not in physical form, but in digital form," Mallya added.
Industry insiders like Aditya Pethe, Director, WHP Jewellers said: "I basically feel that the current trend for the gold is bullish and for the coming next 2 years, it is likely to move upwards. No one can predict the exact price as currently the trend is on rise but it might change after 6 months. In general for the coming 6 months to one year, the gold prices are likely to cross $2,000 which comes to roughly Rs 55,000. For a temporary moment it may reduce, basically fluctuate as well but overall trend of gold is going to be bullish."
On his part, Ishu Datwani, Founder, Anmol Jewellers said: "Yes - it's very likely that the gold price could easily go up to Rs 60,000-Rs 65,000 in the next two years. There is also a possibility of it going up even more."
"A lot of banks have been buying gold and there is also a possibility that the Indian rupee will depreciate against the dollar. This and geopolitical reasons will cause bullishness in gold."
Comments
Mr. Udbhav,
Please mind your own business, we are demanding a flag for whole state not for any extremist group like shivasene.
Religion, : Everyone should know clearly about the basic of religion.
1)What is religion,
2)Why is it required.
3) What will happen if not followed it.
1) The religion is not invention of mankind. It is set of instructions prescribed by the creator of this universe.
2) It is required how to lead the entire in this world. Also to succeed in other part of the life which is after the death.
3) If not followed, the God should say clearly what is the consequence of violating its teaching.
It is mostly believed by most of the religious people.
the question is which is the right religion.
People might think is there another life after this life. Yes definitely there is. If not why the God has created this world. He has not created for his fun. there is a strong reason, the people will understand if they really read and understand Quran.
Therefore I strongly believe, no need to make new religion.
Also there can not be more than 1religion. Because all of us believe without any dispute there is only 1God. Then how is it possible to have more than 1religion. This is common sense. But people should have patience, wisdom to find the truth.
study some existing religions.
All of them are not true for the reasons above.
Choose the religion, which is the right religion.
Dare to know and follow it. This is your right.
Please dont react Chaddi Naren...Let him do bla, blaaa, blaaaa...when there is no reaction one day he will stop....wuffff....
Modiji thoda yahan bhi dhyan dijiyoo.... instead of giving attention towards cow issues, 3 talaq issues and Women rights in Islam could you please turn towards to improve the quality of Indian Airlines..During the rainy season, to travel by AI or Indian Airlines means, feeling like we are going to committing suicide.
The more someone hate Islam, Islam grows more ,
Alhamdulillah
viren dont b upset ,your statistics are wrong , b a truthful and NIA is busy now wil try later
Every state should have its right to practice whatever deems to be right for them.
Nobody should impose, dictate to say what should they choose for
Food habits, eat, drink, practicing religion, language, etc.,
IT is their right. They have free choice as long as it does not hurt others.
Flag is not a big issue. It can be a symbol of identity.
This man is talking exactly like our Eshwarappa. These people became leaders not on merit, it is at the cost of stupidity of their followers.
Innalilahi wainna ilaihi raajivoon..
A big shock, and unbelievable news.
'Ya Allah' grant him place in jannah Aameen...and grant him magfirat and sabr for his family members..
Exactly Viren...its not a big loss for Hindus
But its a proof that Islam continues to be fastest growing religion
In school assembly they tell us to say...
All Indians are my brothers and sisters... then why we marry Indians.
Teaching us wrong things..
That's why Rajiv Gandhi married a foreigner. But why did Modi married a Indian women.
Masha Allah..... May Allah give Hidaya to Viren Kotian....
Hinduism is fast growing religion in the world or terrorists growing rapidly in Hinduism, please make sure what you have written is correct and in conscious stage?? Apart from India where you can get the majority of your religion viren.. be matured and talk sensibly!
ALLAHU AKBAR FOR GOOD NEWS..SUBHANALLAH
FIRST TELL THEM THE MEANING OF IT. WHICH GOES AGAINST ALL RELIGIOUS BOOKS
Dear Viren,
This is not a fake religion or man made religion.
ISLAM is the TRUTH
YOU should verify by all means to know the TRUTH.
QURAN is a guidance to MANKIND not just Muslims.
Not just indians thru out the world ISLAM will grow day by day...
It is not acceptable in ISLAM to force anybody to become muslim. ALLAH knows what is in our HEART.
Muslim means one who submits to the will of God ALLAH.
There is no God but ALLAH and Muhammad is the messenger of ALLAH who conveyed to Worship One God ALLAH.
Allahu Akbar. If they kill one, Allah(swt) replaces with 13! You plan, but Allah(swt) too plans, and HE is the Best Planner.
Good thinking.
When you are thinking of new religion, don't hurry.
The selection of Religion should have valued criteria and basis.
Otherwise it has no meaning.
What is the religion, not by changing name, temple. You are not dictating the religion. The religion is dictating your entire activity of the life from creed to grave.
The religion is a guidance from the God. You have to search for the right thing around you, which is already existing. When you believe in God, you should also believe the God has sent you guidance to you. It is your duty find where is that guidance.
You don't need to invent the wheels. Just look for the right thing already available around you.
Also please don't look into the people of any group, study its ideology. There are many people who represent the religion but they don't know what to covey and reach it.
May God help and guide properly.
May Allah rest Brother Bashus soul in peace.
Add new comment