The Social Democratic Party of India, which had only succeeded in contributing to the vote split in a few constancies in 2013 legislative assembly polls in Karnataka, is now making all possible efforts to make a greater impact in the state and register victory at least in one of the minority strongholds.
The Muslim dominant party, which portrays itself as the voice of Ahinda communities, is yet to formally announce its poll plans and list of candidates for the looming assembly polls. However, the party has confirmed the candidacy of its state general secretary Abdul Majeed K H, who had finished second in 2013 polls at Narasimharaja constituency of Mysuru district. Sources say that the Abdul Majeed, who hails from Kodagu’s Kodlipete, had begun preparations for the 2018 polls, the very next day of his defeat five years ago.
Earlier known as Mysore North, the Narasimharaja constituency is comprised of ward number 44 to 60, 64 and 65 of Mysuru City Corporation. In fact the constituency is a bastion of Ahinda communities (minorities, backward classes and Dalits). The Muslim votes always played a decisive role here since the first election in 1952.
Tanveer Sait, the Minister for Primary and Secondary Education, has been representing the constituency in the assembly for 16 years following the demise of his father Azeez Sait in December 2001. Senior Sait’s death had led to a feud in his family as his grandson (Tanveer Sait’s nephew) Tariq Sait campaigned for the Janata Dal (Secular) candidate E Maruthi Rao Pawar in the 2002 by-election. However, Tanveer Sait managed to defeat Pawar by a margin of over 10,000 votes. In 2004 state election Sait defeated same candidate by a margin of 20,000 votes. In the 2008 Sait beat S Nagaraju alias Sandesh of JD(S) by about 6,000 votes.
Sait retained the seat again in the 2013 with a victory margin of 8,370 votes in a constituency with 2.11 lakh voters, which recorded a polling of 54.7% and a total of 1,15,764 valid votes. Interestingly, his nearest rival was political novice SDPI’s Abdul Majeed who secured 29,667 votes. JD(S) candidate Sandesh Swamy aka Sathish bagged 29,180 votes while BJP’s B P Manjunath got only 12,443 votes. There were a total 16 candidates in the fray including nine Muslims, some of who were allegedly fielded by JD(S) and BJP for vote split.
Prior to Tanveer Sait, his father had registered six victories in the constituency between 1967 and 1999. In 1985 Mukthar-unisa Begum was elected from Narasimharaja as the senior Sait was elected to the Lok Sabha from Dharwad South the previous year. In 1994 Sait tasted a defeat at the hands of E Maruthi Rao Pawar, who was then a BJP candidate.
Rumours are doing the rounds that Tanveer Sait, who is riding on a severe anti-incumbency wave, may refrain from contesting this time. If sources are to be believed, the Congress may also field a Dalit candidate who can attract both Dalit and moderate Muslim votes. Political pundits believe that if the voters’ turnout crosses 85% the strategy of Congress may yield a positive result and if the turnout dips below 60% SDPI may spring a surprise.
The SDPI cadres have in fact been engaged in poll campaign in the constituency since June 2017. The party has set up ‘contact centres’ across the constituency to reach-out to the people. Everyday, separate teams of SDPI activists begin their campaign after Fajr prayers. They visit various wards, interact with the people and seek their support. Already three wards in this constituency are represented by SDPI corporators. Abdul Majeed says that he is confident of victory.
On the other hand, the JD(S) and BJP have not yet finalised their candidates. While, Sandesh Swamy, who had finished third in 2013, is hopeful of getting JD(S) ticket again, a former Congress leader who recently changed the party is also reportedly lobbying for the ticket. The saffron has nearly a dozen ticket aspirants in the constituency including Maruthi Rao Pawar, returned from JD(S) after a couple of years ago, B M Nataraj, R Raveendra Kumar, Premkumar and HG Giridhar.
The student-activist, who was allowed to talk on stage, suddenly raised pro-Pakistan slogans. She was arrested by police after All India Majlis-e-Ittehadul Muslimeen (AIMIM) chief Asaduddin Owaisi snatched her mike.
Comments
Vote either to SDPI or congress. They both have formed coalition.But think twice before giving ur vote to JDS, it may form coalition with BJP as it did in the previous time
Maa shaa Allah,
It's already confirmed in NR that Next MLA is Abdul Majeed Mysore form SDPI.
BJP is winning - Congress - SDPI - JDS for 2,3,4th places
Just save this
Yes SDPI has good chances of Winning NR as I have seen around here SDPI members are working more than any other party's, And as traditional Supporter of Congress I Have not voted for SDPI last time Surely even I was thinking SDPI will hardly get 10 to 15K votes but the result surprised me and this time in My friend circle what I can say is we are going to Vote for SDPI. Not Bcz we are Congress Haters but we think someone else also should get a chance Bcz Sait Saab has done very little we are still last in many thinks.Just google NR development works you can see Chamudeshwari has grown lot then US in a few years of time.anthore Important think i want to mention is all Anti Tanveer sait votes which last time JDS did take will go to SDPI, So I strongly belive that SDPI has a good chance of winning.
Dear Shaji, it is NOT the responsibility of ONLY Sdpi, MIM and Muslims to stop ANTI-NATIONALS & Communals taking power. Let the SECULAR parties and Congress, secular Hindus join with us too to defeat Fascists. SDPI is sure of winning atleast 4 seats in Karnataka, let JDS, Congress help the nation by NOT fielding their candidates here. This is true participative democracy.
My sincere request to SDPI to contest only if they have 100 percent sure to win. If not, it will split the votes and anti national +_ communalist party will gain. Our votes should not be divided + wasted. SDPI should coordinate with other parties except bjp to fight and keep away communal party. We should have common opponent. Please dont help the hate mongers and trouble makers. My same sincere request with Owaisi also. You should coordinate with other parties and come to a agreement. dont contest without agreement thereby giving benefit to anti national + communal party.
SDPI - Pls take MYSOREAN comment in 100% POSITIVE way and as a WARNING. God forbid, if the scenario is as he said, what should be our plan from the scratch, let us concentrate here. Our political opponents use all gimmicks to stop us reaching our goal. Untill the last hour of voting we neither stop nor relax from our work. Above all, it is God who grants victory!!
This time amam al going to Mysore for SDPI election campaign
SDPI only hope for social changes for all communities
Learn politics and comment, better dont think congress will be leading muslims anyware. They just, use us as a vote bank. This time, in kar minorities have gained enough political knowledge and they know what is the need of karnataka
Nicely analysed, comments by mysorean shows us that he dont even have basic knwldg. How come 90% ??? So, better understand what is poll turnout. SDPI politics is for cause and not for career. This election you will understand what is sdpi's future. Mysorean for SDPI
If voter turnout is good. We will sweep the seat, just wait and watch.
Meaningless analysis. Am 200% sure that SDPI will not win. In 2013 Majeed kodipete got second place just because voters turnout was very less. This time voters turnout will cross 90% and for sure Tanveer Sait will win with a huge margin of 40 thousand votes. SDPI will lose deposit.
Political awareness is need of the hour for all communities. When common people become politically aware communal outfits will not will polls. In a country like India we need parties and leaders that represent all sections of people and care for all – minorities and majorities – without any differentiation. But, will it happen in India?
Hahaha. If BJP falls short of one candidate to form government after election then SDPI will definitely get home minister’s post.
Good analysis by CD. Finally media has recognized the growth of SDPI.
Yes. SDPI may enter Karnataka Assembly this time from Narasimharaja. Communal outfits naturally grow rapidly in turbulent times. The example of BJP, which hardly had a handful of seats three decades ago in India, is before us. Yes. Communalism has future in India. But there is no future for India if it fails to defeat communalism.
Add new comment