New Delhi, Jun 26: With looming uncertainty and no likelihood of an early economic recovery in sight, the bull run in gold prices is here to stay. Analysts expect domestic futures to touch ₹ 52,000 per 10 grams in the next few months, till Diwali.
Experts also predict that with the current trend, gold may reach historic levels around ₹ 65,000 per 10 grams in two years time.
Futures of the yellow metal have touched new highs in India off late. On Wednesday, the August contract of gold futures on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) touched an all-time high of Rs 48,589 per 10 grams.
It has, however corrected since and is currently trading at ₹ 48,057 on the MCX, higher by ₹ 116 or 0.24 per cent from its previous close.
Market experts are of the view that both domestic and international gold prices are yet not done breaching records and will touch new highs in days to come.
The resurgence in the number of new cases of coronavirus infection across the globe has added to the uncertainty and fears.
Speaking to media persons, Anuj Gupta, DVP for Commodities and Currencies Research at Angel Broking, noted: "In short term we are expecting it to reach ₹ 48,800-49,000 and for long term, we are expecting ₹ 51,000-Rs 52,000 till Diwali."
On the prices in the international market, he said that it may reach around $1,790 per ounce in the near term from the current levels of $1,762 and the long term, it is likely to be around $1,820-1,850 per ounce.
Gupta noted that with International Monetary Fund's (IMF) latest downward revision of economic outlook, both global and of India, and the rising number of cases and high demand by gold exchange traded funds (ETF) have led to this record breaking rise in gold prices.
Covid-19 battered India's economy is projected to contract by 4.5 per cent this fiscal, according to the IMF and the global output is projected to decline by 4.9 per cent in 2020, 1.9 percentage points below the IMF's April forecast.
Hareesh V, Head of Commodity Research at Geojit Financial Services, said that gold's safe haven appeal will remain on the higher side as there is little hope of a quick global economic recovery amid rising virus cases across the world.
"Increased geopolitical instability and an under-performing dollar also lift the metal's sentiments," he added.
According to Prathamesh Mallya, AVP Research, Non-Agro Commodities & Currencies at Angel Broking, said that with the global output to contract and the economies in a deeper recession than most anticipate, gold as an asset class is a safe bet for investors across the globe.
"Although, the physical demand has declined drastically due to the restrictions and lockdowns, the activity of global central banks and their net purchases of gold signal that uncertainty will continue for most of 2020," he said.
He was also of the view that in the international market price of the metal may move towards $1,850 per ounce and in the domestic market it is likely to move higher towards Rs 50,000 per 10 grams.
"The investment demand as seen in the net additions of ETF holdings also signals that gold will shine for a much longer time even if the pandemic is under control. Till then, keep buying gold, if not in physical form, but in digital form," Mallya added.
Industry insiders like Aditya Pethe, Director, WHP Jewellers said: "I basically feel that the current trend for the gold is bullish and for the coming next 2 years, it is likely to move upwards. No one can predict the exact price as currently the trend is on rise but it might change after 6 months. In general for the coming 6 months to one year, the gold prices are likely to cross $2,000 which comes to roughly Rs 55,000. For a temporary moment it may reduce, basically fluctuate as well but overall trend of gold is going to be bullish."
On his part, Ishu Datwani, Founder, Anmol Jewellers said: "Yes - it's very likely that the gold price could easily go up to Rs 60,000-Rs 65,000 in the next two years. There is also a possibility of it going up even more."
"A lot of banks have been buying gold and there is also a possibility that the Indian rupee will depreciate against the dollar. This and geopolitical reasons will cause bullishness in gold."
Comments
LOL...kuchbee, he is the biggest shit of india..GOD is pure, mercfull & good, this man try to show off that he is with hindus, becarful my dear hindu brother he may change his mind based on the situation. like this people are called marons of 21st century.
words cannot express for this man s. statement , he was dreaming in the daylight
Sita came to his dream and she might have told that Rama is fedup of the Jungle life now he need one place to settle down and to have good rest in his rest of the life.
About Shias all are have one openion that shias not considered as Muslims they are another part of Kuffars.
Why this guy is playing with the sentiments of Hindu Brothers, Although i am a Muslim but we should respect other religions too and their sentiments. When More then 100 crores of our hindu brother and sisters pray him and he is so powerfull then why lord Ram will come in his dreams. May be time or place is not perfect for him to stay on that perticular place. if lord Ram would wish he can accept prayers of crores of peoples and settle the matter.
cant expect worse than this from a bhakt.
chacha....fear Allah before its too late
First of all, does the God cry. If he is crying he can not be God.
The one and only true God will never come in dream and will not cry.
The real God is never be seen NOR imaginable to anyone.
This is the attribution of Ture God.
Let us say for the sake of argument, he has dreamed. It does not mean it is credible dream.
The dreams are 2types True dream and fake Shaytani dream.
About this man who is controversial already in the past, has always been trying to get the mercy of Hindus. He wants to be closure with them.
He is selling his Islamic values of true belief for worldly gains. He is Munafiq
God knows how Shiyas have selected him to be their head of waqf board.
This is the true picture of Shiyas. No basic knowledge of Thoheed/ Oneness.
May God guide them.
I think this is the chamatkar of desi brand. If you start drinking foreign brand before going to bed Lord Jesus also may visit you soon!
Please give a bit more explanation about the divine-human encounter. Rama was alone or Sita was also there with him? Did he go soon after expressing his sadness before you or he also had food with you before leaving?
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