New Delhi, Jun 26: With looming uncertainty and no likelihood of an early economic recovery in sight, the bull run in gold prices is here to stay. Analysts expect domestic futures to touch ₹ 52,000 per 10 grams in the next few months, till Diwali.
Experts also predict that with the current trend, gold may reach historic levels around ₹ 65,000 per 10 grams in two years time.
Futures of the yellow metal have touched new highs in India off late. On Wednesday, the August contract of gold futures on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) touched an all-time high of Rs 48,589 per 10 grams.
It has, however corrected since and is currently trading at ₹ 48,057 on the MCX, higher by ₹ 116 or 0.24 per cent from its previous close.
Market experts are of the view that both domestic and international gold prices are yet not done breaching records and will touch new highs in days to come.
The resurgence in the number of new cases of coronavirus infection across the globe has added to the uncertainty and fears.
Speaking to media persons, Anuj Gupta, DVP for Commodities and Currencies Research at Angel Broking, noted: "In short term we are expecting it to reach ₹ 48,800-49,000 and for long term, we are expecting ₹ 51,000-Rs 52,000 till Diwali."
On the prices in the international market, he said that it may reach around $1,790 per ounce in the near term from the current levels of $1,762 and the long term, it is likely to be around $1,820-1,850 per ounce.
Gupta noted that with International Monetary Fund's (IMF) latest downward revision of economic outlook, both global and of India, and the rising number of cases and high demand by gold exchange traded funds (ETF) have led to this record breaking rise in gold prices.
Covid-19 battered India's economy is projected to contract by 4.5 per cent this fiscal, according to the IMF and the global output is projected to decline by 4.9 per cent in 2020, 1.9 percentage points below the IMF's April forecast.
Hareesh V, Head of Commodity Research at Geojit Financial Services, said that gold's safe haven appeal will remain on the higher side as there is little hope of a quick global economic recovery amid rising virus cases across the world.
"Increased geopolitical instability and an under-performing dollar also lift the metal's sentiments," he added.
According to Prathamesh Mallya, AVP Research, Non-Agro Commodities & Currencies at Angel Broking, said that with the global output to contract and the economies in a deeper recession than most anticipate, gold as an asset class is a safe bet for investors across the globe.
"Although, the physical demand has declined drastically due to the restrictions and lockdowns, the activity of global central banks and their net purchases of gold signal that uncertainty will continue for most of 2020," he said.
He was also of the view that in the international market price of the metal may move towards $1,850 per ounce and in the domestic market it is likely to move higher towards Rs 50,000 per 10 grams.
"The investment demand as seen in the net additions of ETF holdings also signals that gold will shine for a much longer time even if the pandemic is under control. Till then, keep buying gold, if not in physical form, but in digital form," Mallya added.
Industry insiders like Aditya Pethe, Director, WHP Jewellers said: "I basically feel that the current trend for the gold is bullish and for the coming next 2 years, it is likely to move upwards. No one can predict the exact price as currently the trend is on rise but it might change after 6 months. In general for the coming 6 months to one year, the gold prices are likely to cross $2,000 which comes to roughly Rs 55,000. For a temporary moment it may reduce, basically fluctuate as well but overall trend of gold is going to be bullish."
On his part, Ishu Datwani, Founder, Anmol Jewellers said: "Yes - it's very likely that the gold price could easily go up to Rs 60,000-Rs 65,000 in the next two years. There is also a possibility of it going up even more."
"A lot of banks have been buying gold and there is also a possibility that the Indian rupee will depreciate against the dollar. This and geopolitical reasons will cause bullishness in gold."
Comments
number 1 fraud cheating waste of money stop beliveing
Television channels shuld be dragged to court by relaying such gimmicks programmes
This era is specialized for fake Swamis, Gurus, Babas, fortune tellers, Vastu specialists and so on.
We have seen thousands of structures constructed before without any Vastu still they stand intact for hundreds of years. In TV chennels they broadcast vastu and fortunes at the expenses of viewers. Chandra Shekar guru a fraudester fooling the public, consultation fee is only 500/- then he charges exorbitantly to his shishyas are trapped in Vastu. This is nothing but a cheating and Section 420 and other CPC to be leveled on this fake guru.
I am surprised why State Government is dilly dallying to bring the legislation on superstition and give permanent full stop for these Gurus, Swamis, and Babes.
Unfortunately, even in this advanced scientific era, people get betrayed.
How can be luck is related to stars and date of birth. No common science will accept where as this so called Guru claims his vastu is scientific.
Why other educated people are not raising their concern on unethical practices by such self proclaimed guru/priests/Swamees.
Secondly there are many TV channels are telecasting the program with live interviews.
He is using Suvarna News. there are horoscope readers in Asia Net Malayalam channel .
This man asks the customer - what is your date of birth. Then he gives so called VASTU consultancy, and asks them to change the direction of door, etc.
Thanks to God Islam outright condemns fortune telling and horoscope reading.
Horoscopes are preventing many a times potential couples from marrying telling them their marriage life will not be successful as their birth date and stars are not matching.
make ur mind and heart clear ... everything wil be fine ... they are all fraud and money maker ,.
they fooled many people first they will tell sarala vastu its free service and after getting the appointment they will call us and ask us to deposit 10000. after reaching to your place all their expenses have to be paid by the customer. totally proud telecasting Zee Kannada Channel should be banned,
No. 1 fraud
Number one fraud.
First we have to ban the channels in which this was shown, channels only want trp, after that people lose their money on putting on them,
everyday new new swamijis are taking birth and making fools out of people, their targets are only poor people and greedy ones.
from the first day i was telling with my mom about him, this will be a big fraud, and the truth s here.
Add new comment