New Delhi, Feb 29: India’s economy expanded at its slowest pace in more than six years in the last three months of 2019, with analysts predicting further deceleration as the global Covid 19 coronavirus outbreak stifles growth in Asia’s third-largest economy.
The gross domestic product (GDP) data released yesterday showed government spending, private investment and exports slowing down, while there is a slight upturn in consumer spending and improvement in rural demand lent support.
The quarterly figure of 4.7% growth matched the consensus in a Reuters poll of analysts but was below a revised - and greatly increased - 5.1% rate for the previous quarter.
The central bank has warned that downside risks to global growth have increased as a result of the coronavirus epidemic, the full effects of which are still unfolding.
Prime minister Narendra Modi’s government has taken several steps to bolster economic growth, including a privatisation push and increased state spending, after cutting corporate tax rates last September.
In its annual budget presented this month, the government estimated that annual economic growth in the financial year to March 31 would be 5%, its lowest for last 11 years.
Modi’s government is targeting a slight recovery in growth to 6% for 2020/21, still far below the level needed to generate jobs for millions of young Indians entering the labour market each month.
The annual GDP figure for the September quarter was ramped up from an earlier estimate of 4.5%, while the April-June reading was similarly lifted to 5.6% from 5%, data released by the Ministry of Statistics showed on Friday.
Capital Investment Drop
In the December quarter, private investment grew 5.9%, up from 5.6% in the previous quarter, while government spending rose by 11.8%, against 13.2% in the previous three months.
However, corporate capital investment contracted by 5.2% after a 4.1% decline in the previous quarter, indicating that interest rate cuts by the central bank have failed to encourage new investment. Manufacturing, meanwhile, contracted by 0.2%.
“It appears growth slowdown is not just cyclical but more entrenched with consumption secularly joining the slowdown bandwagon even as the investment story continues to languish,” said Madhavi Arora of Edelweiss Securities in Mumbai.
Many economists said that the government stimulus could take four to six quarters of time before lifting the economy and the impact of those efforts could be outweighed by the global fallout from the coronavirus epidemic that began in China.
“The coronavirus remains the critical risk as India depends on China for both demand and supply of inputs,” said Abheek Barua, chief economist at HDFC Bank.
Indian shares sank on Friday for a sixth session running, capping their worst week in more than a decade. The NSE Nifty 50 index shed 7.3% over the week, while the Sensex dropped 6.8%, the worst weekly declines since the 2008-09 financial crisis.
Separately, India’s infrastructure output rose 2.2% year on year in January, data showed on Friday.
A spike in inflation to a more than 5-1/2 year high of 7.59% in January is expected to make the RBI hold off from further cuts to interest rates for now, while keeping its monetary stance accommodative.
Comments
Be good to believers and non believers.
Only your good characters can attract others. Not your bad attitudes.
So, be good to all.
Our Hindu brothers, know about Islam and they like it. One day, they will come embrace Islam. Islam is natural way of living.
When the girl from Non-hindu family married a Hindu man, she was not accepted in Hindu Community.
They dont want someone to join Hindu religion and also they dont let someone join other religion.
what kind of mentality. Within Hindu community, they dont treat all Hindus equally, A lot of grades, upper, medium, lower, lowest..... 1000 grades.
Is it religion of God. This nothing but Moking the God.
So they have taken the right step, to join Islam which is the real religion, where every teaching goes with science. There is no superstition.
Equal treatment to all and no discrimination between anyone.
What is religion. Religion is set of commands to be successful come from the God, who is the wisest.
Remember a religion can not be a religion if it contradicts science.
The Islam religion is a full of guidance how to live in this world .
It is teaching how to be successful and after the death which is the permenent life for ever (after the death).
Alhamdulillah! Allahu akbar .. let allah give hidayath to all commented brothers and sisters
They just forced to do that. Media hiding the facts
When Modi rules, these things wont amuse people
Foolishness. They jumped from small pothole to deepest well of trap
Fake news.. propaganda
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