New Delhi, Jun 26: With looming uncertainty and no likelihood of an early economic recovery in sight, the bull run in gold prices is here to stay. Analysts expect domestic futures to touch ₹ 52,000 per 10 grams in the next few months, till Diwali.
Experts also predict that with the current trend, gold may reach historic levels around ₹ 65,000 per 10 grams in two years time.
Futures of the yellow metal have touched new highs in India off late. On Wednesday, the August contract of gold futures on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) touched an all-time high of Rs 48,589 per 10 grams.
It has, however corrected since and is currently trading at ₹ 48,057 on the MCX, higher by ₹ 116 or 0.24 per cent from its previous close.
Market experts are of the view that both domestic and international gold prices are yet not done breaching records and will touch new highs in days to come.
The resurgence in the number of new cases of coronavirus infection across the globe has added to the uncertainty and fears.
Speaking to media persons, Anuj Gupta, DVP for Commodities and Currencies Research at Angel Broking, noted: "In short term we are expecting it to reach ₹ 48,800-49,000 and for long term, we are expecting ₹ 51,000-Rs 52,000 till Diwali."
On the prices in the international market, he said that it may reach around $1,790 per ounce in the near term from the current levels of $1,762 and the long term, it is likely to be around $1,820-1,850 per ounce.
Gupta noted that with International Monetary Fund's (IMF) latest downward revision of economic outlook, both global and of India, and the rising number of cases and high demand by gold exchange traded funds (ETF) have led to this record breaking rise in gold prices.
Covid-19 battered India's economy is projected to contract by 4.5 per cent this fiscal, according to the IMF and the global output is projected to decline by 4.9 per cent in 2020, 1.9 percentage points below the IMF's April forecast.
Hareesh V, Head of Commodity Research at Geojit Financial Services, said that gold's safe haven appeal will remain on the higher side as there is little hope of a quick global economic recovery amid rising virus cases across the world.
"Increased geopolitical instability and an under-performing dollar also lift the metal's sentiments," he added.
According to Prathamesh Mallya, AVP Research, Non-Agro Commodities & Currencies at Angel Broking, said that with the global output to contract and the economies in a deeper recession than most anticipate, gold as an asset class is a safe bet for investors across the globe.
"Although, the physical demand has declined drastically due to the restrictions and lockdowns, the activity of global central banks and their net purchases of gold signal that uncertainty will continue for most of 2020," he said.
He was also of the view that in the international market price of the metal may move towards $1,850 per ounce and in the domestic market it is likely to move higher towards Rs 50,000 per 10 grams.
"The investment demand as seen in the net additions of ETF holdings also signals that gold will shine for a much longer time even if the pandemic is under control. Till then, keep buying gold, if not in physical form, but in digital form," Mallya added.
Industry insiders like Aditya Pethe, Director, WHP Jewellers said: "I basically feel that the current trend for the gold is bullish and for the coming next 2 years, it is likely to move upwards. No one can predict the exact price as currently the trend is on rise but it might change after 6 months. In general for the coming 6 months to one year, the gold prices are likely to cross $2,000 which comes to roughly Rs 55,000. For a temporary moment it may reduce, basically fluctuate as well but overall trend of gold is going to be bullish."
On his part, Ishu Datwani, Founder, Anmol Jewellers said: "Yes - it's very likely that the gold price could easily go up to Rs 60,000-Rs 65,000 in the next two years. There is also a possibility of it going up even more."
"A lot of banks have been buying gold and there is also a possibility that the Indian rupee will depreciate against the dollar. This and geopolitical reasons will cause bullishness in gold."
Comments
Sandy. you really have sandy mind. PFI is not banned anywhere. you lie as you have no ground to blame PFI and no right to blame. As RSS links to terror already revealed by national media and NIA . just ask your RSS to shift to Pakistan or nepal, As they dont even hoist national flag
i dont think this ibrahim is ibrahim, i think he is not a muslim and uses false name and internet knowledge to give stupid comments and force us to reply to him..
why are you saying baseless things, Its not banned anywhere. Don’t just say the things which come into your mind without understanding them properly. Your message is foolish, ignorant and a comment without any responsibilities
@ sheikh ibrahim,
well said sir, I am sure your qualified and understand the Quran very well.
But atleast they are doing there part -what you are doing. If you have mashallah this concern then work for the cause - teach them quran and do something about it insted of just complaining.
Now please don’t give excuse that you cant ?
Because you haven’t tried.
in 1 hour a week , will also make a difference,
If you can’t then please try and hire an imam for 1 hour a week.
If you can’t even do that then donate 100 rupees a week to help that cause and help them learn Quran.
If 100 rs is to much then try 10 rs. if every one will do something insted of complaining the world will definately be better place.
Insha’Allah
Do you have any proof for your blabbering, or its just coming out forged by your hatred for the community?
As per Israel – it is believed to be anti-Islamic by many, some people support Israel just for its alleged agenda.
But to your allegation of SDPI backing “jihad against kafirs” if your definition of jihad is just like ISIS/RSS -then you are legally obliged to provide proof for your allegation and put the culprits behind bar, serving our great nation. If not then this is just a defamation.
@yogesh , so you haven’t heard about saffron terrorist?
all RSS people are where and will remain Hindus!!. Further many people wear the mask of Muslims but very few are Muslims. Also the leaders name of IS is said to be Simon Elliot. In military standard false flag operation were common by Israeli before , This is just an advance tactic, A
lso if what SDPI is saying in this particular matter is right shouldn’t you say it to be right. D
isagree with them or any one where they are wrong, But not when they are right.
@ unknown( coward/hypocrate) using false identity.
By your logic
I don’t believe this but its just to answer the retard who drew the conclusion
Nathuttam godse = killer of the father of our great nation
Hence, godse = enemy of India
godse = hindu
Hence proved
Hindu = enemy of India ?
Further,
All religion / country have there black sheeps and terrorist.
If you are sensible you can not generalise or sterocast people.
haha biggest joke , 400++ isis sympathisers are having PFI background :) double game dont work . In one side telling isis is israel and anti islam and in other side openly backing jihad against kafirs .
Please watch an interview which was done in 1990 youtube "
ISIS=Israeli Secret Intelligence Service"
In an excerpt from a 1990 C-SPAN interview with Brian Lamb, Dan Raviv and Yossi Melman, authors of the book Every Spy a Prince: The Complete History of Israel’s Intelligence Community, describe how the Israeli Prime Minister’s Office officially refers to its subordinate organization “the Mossad”
HEY cANDY, Tell me which state banned PFI?
Comman can understand it is a propaganda against org. Why PFI should ban for it's uncompromising stand against Fascism? Against Rss terror activities in India?Moth piece of RSs media failed to present a Proper evidence against PFI why?
Many states banned PFI because of their link with terrorists
Rubbish. Total rubbish. Ban PFI
Many of the PFI workers dont know the real meaning of Islam and they didn't read Quran fully or properly
PFI said the truth but these people dont have any right to blame them. Because these people only number one trouble makers.
ISIS=Muslims
PFI+SDPI=Muslims
Hence ISIS=PFI+SDPI ie Muslims
But all IS terrorists are/were Muslims only.
Add new comment