New Delhi, Jun 26: With looming uncertainty and no likelihood of an early economic recovery in sight, the bull run in gold prices is here to stay. Analysts expect domestic futures to touch ₹ 52,000 per 10 grams in the next few months, till Diwali.
Experts also predict that with the current trend, gold may reach historic levels around ₹ 65,000 per 10 grams in two years time.
Futures of the yellow metal have touched new highs in India off late. On Wednesday, the August contract of gold futures on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) touched an all-time high of Rs 48,589 per 10 grams.
It has, however corrected since and is currently trading at ₹ 48,057 on the MCX, higher by ₹ 116 or 0.24 per cent from its previous close.
Market experts are of the view that both domestic and international gold prices are yet not done breaching records and will touch new highs in days to come.
The resurgence in the number of new cases of coronavirus infection across the globe has added to the uncertainty and fears.
Speaking to media persons, Anuj Gupta, DVP for Commodities and Currencies Research at Angel Broking, noted: "In short term we are expecting it to reach ₹ 48,800-49,000 and for long term, we are expecting ₹ 51,000-Rs 52,000 till Diwali."
On the prices in the international market, he said that it may reach around $1,790 per ounce in the near term from the current levels of $1,762 and the long term, it is likely to be around $1,820-1,850 per ounce.
Gupta noted that with International Monetary Fund's (IMF) latest downward revision of economic outlook, both global and of India, and the rising number of cases and high demand by gold exchange traded funds (ETF) have led to this record breaking rise in gold prices.
Covid-19 battered India's economy is projected to contract by 4.5 per cent this fiscal, according to the IMF and the global output is projected to decline by 4.9 per cent in 2020, 1.9 percentage points below the IMF's April forecast.
Hareesh V, Head of Commodity Research at Geojit Financial Services, said that gold's safe haven appeal will remain on the higher side as there is little hope of a quick global economic recovery amid rising virus cases across the world.
"Increased geopolitical instability and an under-performing dollar also lift the metal's sentiments," he added.
According to Prathamesh Mallya, AVP Research, Non-Agro Commodities & Currencies at Angel Broking, said that with the global output to contract and the economies in a deeper recession than most anticipate, gold as an asset class is a safe bet for investors across the globe.
"Although, the physical demand has declined drastically due to the restrictions and lockdowns, the activity of global central banks and their net purchases of gold signal that uncertainty will continue for most of 2020," he said.
He was also of the view that in the international market price of the metal may move towards $1,850 per ounce and in the domestic market it is likely to move higher towards Rs 50,000 per 10 grams.
"The investment demand as seen in the net additions of ETF holdings also signals that gold will shine for a much longer time even if the pandemic is under control. Till then, keep buying gold, if not in physical form, but in digital form," Mallya added.
Industry insiders like Aditya Pethe, Director, WHP Jewellers said: "I basically feel that the current trend for the gold is bullish and for the coming next 2 years, it is likely to move upwards. No one can predict the exact price as currently the trend is on rise but it might change after 6 months. In general for the coming 6 months to one year, the gold prices are likely to cross $2,000 which comes to roughly Rs 55,000. For a temporary moment it may reduce, basically fluctuate as well but overall trend of gold is going to be bullish."
On his part, Ishu Datwani, Founder, Anmol Jewellers said: "Yes - it's very likely that the gold price could easily go up to Rs 60,000-Rs 65,000 in the next two years. There is also a possibility of it going up even more."
"A lot of banks have been buying gold and there is also a possibility that the Indian rupee will depreciate against the dollar. This and geopolitical reasons will cause bullishness in gold."
Comments
Sick person....
Ivan D'souza should not go for it when Hindus don't like it.
Regarding religion, when all religious group agree there is only 1God, then that God will not permit to follow different religion.
So, why don't all people search for that true 1religion.
Don't follow any religion just because our ancestors followed it.
Dare to find and follow the truth.
Puranik keep ur diwali in ur temple it self dont bring it to our masjid. But u r welcome to our masjid as a human being bt not as a communal mongar
Any Master Blaster Puranik, which part of the world he is leaving, Like this Buffoons started Destroying the Hindustan, I do not understand, Temple, Church or Mosque all the place to worship for the Human being, in between there is religious wise, Cultural wise, Language wise all we Human made but God is same to all, it was happening before, why nowadays doing like this?????
What these Criminal Minded Puranik Climbing up some one, he Looted, he did alot of crimes and stored a lot for him and his belongs, all these Criminalism effects the Poor people, they will suffer, while coming to Poor there is no Bajjis, Raniss VHPS will not help. mind it all these Criminals only await to loot only.
In my Elder time I Entered all these places, no one said anything.
While I was is South Africa I see there are Two Foot path one For White One For Black, looks like, These Goondas looking to make like Hindustan, this is Destroying our God's own Country, That means all are sufferers okay Gentle Mans of Hindustan.
Purnikanna Do not bring your Personal Enmity to destroy our beautiful country.
Jai Hoo Hindustan
Jai Hoo Siddaramanna
Jai Hoo Moodiji.
Jai Bharath Matha.
Baratha mathe kayyalle, baratha dvaja illa....Desha drohigalu yaru?
Muslimaru yava baratha mathe ge jai helbeku? RSS!?
Jai hind, jai bharath. We are proud to be indian.
RSS, VHP, Bajrangdal should be BANNED. they are real trouble maker and anti national, those killed our Gandhiji.
Dear VHP Brothers
A true Muslims never entertain idol worship, Either it is DARGA OR DURGA. Dont dream of a Muslim converting to other religion. Rather we heartly welcomes you people to the true religion ISLAM, in sha Allah which you will realize one day. And the day is not far.
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