New Delhi, Jun 26: With looming uncertainty and no likelihood of an early economic recovery in sight, the bull run in gold prices is here to stay. Analysts expect domestic futures to touch ₹ 52,000 per 10 grams in the next few months, till Diwali.
Experts also predict that with the current trend, gold may reach historic levels around ₹ 65,000 per 10 grams in two years time.
Futures of the yellow metal have touched new highs in India off late. On Wednesday, the August contract of gold futures on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) touched an all-time high of Rs 48,589 per 10 grams.
It has, however corrected since and is currently trading at ₹ 48,057 on the MCX, higher by ₹ 116 or 0.24 per cent from its previous close.
Market experts are of the view that both domestic and international gold prices are yet not done breaching records and will touch new highs in days to come.
The resurgence in the number of new cases of coronavirus infection across the globe has added to the uncertainty and fears.
Speaking to media persons, Anuj Gupta, DVP for Commodities and Currencies Research at Angel Broking, noted: "In short term we are expecting it to reach ₹ 48,800-49,000 and for long term, we are expecting ₹ 51,000-Rs 52,000 till Diwali."
On the prices in the international market, he said that it may reach around $1,790 per ounce in the near term from the current levels of $1,762 and the long term, it is likely to be around $1,820-1,850 per ounce.
Gupta noted that with International Monetary Fund's (IMF) latest downward revision of economic outlook, both global and of India, and the rising number of cases and high demand by gold exchange traded funds (ETF) have led to this record breaking rise in gold prices.
Covid-19 battered India's economy is projected to contract by 4.5 per cent this fiscal, according to the IMF and the global output is projected to decline by 4.9 per cent in 2020, 1.9 percentage points below the IMF's April forecast.
Hareesh V, Head of Commodity Research at Geojit Financial Services, said that gold's safe haven appeal will remain on the higher side as there is little hope of a quick global economic recovery amid rising virus cases across the world.
"Increased geopolitical instability and an under-performing dollar also lift the metal's sentiments," he added.
According to Prathamesh Mallya, AVP Research, Non-Agro Commodities & Currencies at Angel Broking, said that with the global output to contract and the economies in a deeper recession than most anticipate, gold as an asset class is a safe bet for investors across the globe.
"Although, the physical demand has declined drastically due to the restrictions and lockdowns, the activity of global central banks and their net purchases of gold signal that uncertainty will continue for most of 2020," he said.
He was also of the view that in the international market price of the metal may move towards $1,850 per ounce and in the domestic market it is likely to move higher towards Rs 50,000 per 10 grams.
"The investment demand as seen in the net additions of ETF holdings also signals that gold will shine for a much longer time even if the pandemic is under control. Till then, keep buying gold, if not in physical form, but in digital form," Mallya added.
Industry insiders like Aditya Pethe, Director, WHP Jewellers said: "I basically feel that the current trend for the gold is bullish and for the coming next 2 years, it is likely to move upwards. No one can predict the exact price as currently the trend is on rise but it might change after 6 months. In general for the coming 6 months to one year, the gold prices are likely to cross $2,000 which comes to roughly Rs 55,000. For a temporary moment it may reduce, basically fluctuate as well but overall trend of gold is going to be bullish."
On his part, Ishu Datwani, Founder, Anmol Jewellers said: "Yes - it's very likely that the gold price could easily go up to Rs 60,000-Rs 65,000 in the next two years. There is also a possibility of it going up even more."
"A lot of banks have been buying gold and there is also a possibility that the Indian rupee will depreciate against the dollar. This and geopolitical reasons will cause bullishness in gold."
According to the reports, Shahnawaz, a resident of Uttar Pradesh's Saharanpur district, about 500 km from here, called his wife a few days ago and pronounced the word talaq' thrice and severed all relations with her.
Comments
He is a crazy without having any knowledge of islam. He only knows Talaq but does not know how to implement or follow it. such people are bringing shame to muslims and Islam. He should apologise for this great mistake and ask for pardon from Allah. May Allah give him right knowledge of Islam.
Rikacha ....idu democracy kanappa ....sumne avara paadige avaranna bidakke agalla ...crimes ge nimge non sharia beku ...kabbaddi adakke personal laws beku ...haha......hogappa ...eradu peg haaki ...bidko ...ohh ivattu yaava college hathra nu beat hogilla anths kanuthe raja Alva adikke....
I don't understand why non Muslims are more interested then Muslims to discuss about this subject. Mind your own business guys....don't disturb Muslims...they know what is good for them....
Very bad ...women are considered as property and I met one divorcee but well educated ..her husband left her just becoz she had baby girl ..he is roaming freely in India and she was in trauma ...later one good hearted married her ..of course he is a Hindu ...now they stay in Singapore only ...to send sexual abuse and polygamy ..govt must bring strong rules ....
Request everyone to watch video on triple talaq by Br.Imran. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MwNAgNNE-lI
This is an ignorant act to Claim a divorce, Divorce, in Islam is the most uncalled act for any man or women. The conditions and procedures are highly thoughtful & very clearly mentioned in Quran. A short example of one of the conditions: A triple Talaq doesnt mean reciting the word thrice & done, but, Giving a waiting period of 1 month to resolute and try to improve in between each claim of Talaq.
I would wish the commentators here just go through what the Quran says from the right source and understand the integrity of Justice given to both gender. This holds good for generations that's passed and for future to come.
When such incidents happens..
its a way Non Muslims & Some ignorant Muslims will know the reality of the divine law.
We Muslims know that Devils are most happy when couple part...
So a true Muslims will try to stay together as much as they can save their marriage form splitting each other.. and There is an option for the couple who could not go along with the partner.. (For eg : if the husband is dunkard and wife have a chance to give khula (talaq) or if the wife is dunkard and husband can have the option of giving talaq despite several warnings to quit the habit)
WE see compared to other religions, Muslim divorce rate is very less...
I would request the Non Muslims and the ignorant muslims who misuse this divine law to look the answers from the source or please check below video
\Br.imran Answering About Triple Talaq To a Non Muslim Sister\"
Well EXPLAINED .."
I don't know why the other part of women's right in Islam is not highlighted to public....they forgot how sita was left back in the jungle with luv and kush....can we know the reason please.......
If there is rift between couples, if every ways of compromise failed to unite them... is there any other solution other than divorce ? whether he proclaimed thru phone or writing letter or any other valid means , discussion on 'way of talaq' is second option.. discussion on 'condition of couple's relationship' should be first option for discussion...
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