New Delhi, May 22: The number of COVID-19 cases averted due to the lockdown is in the range of 14-29 lakh, while the number of lives saved is between 37,000 and 78,000, the government said on Friday citing various studies, and asserted that the unprecedented shutdown has paid “rich dividends” in the fight against the pandemic.
The lockdown in India has been a timely, graded, proactive and pre-emptive public health measure to fight the COVID-19 pandemic and has been part and parcel of the government’s overall strategy, Dr V K Paul, Member (Health), NITI Aayog, and Chairman, Empowered Group 1, said at a media briefing on the COVID-19 situation.
The government imposed the nationwide lockdown from March 25 to prevent the spread of the novel coronavirus and it is currently in its fourth phase.
Like the number of cases, the growth rate of number of COVID-19 deaths too has fallen significantly due to the lockdown, marking a notable difference between pre-lockdown and post-lockdown situations, he said.
At the briefing, Pravin Srivastava, Secretary, Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation gave model-based estimates on COVID-19 cases and deaths which have been prevented due to the lockdown.
As per Boston Consulting Group's model, the lockdown saved between 1.2 lakh and 2.1 lakh lives, while the number of COVID-19 cases averted is between 36 lakh and 70 lakh, he said.
According to Public Health Foundation of India, nearly 78,000 lives have been saved due to the lockdown, Srivastava said.
Citing a model by two independent economists, he said that around 23 lakh COVID-19 cases and 68,000 deaths have been averted due to the lockdown.
Some independent experts, including retired scientists, have calculated that around 15.9 lakh cases and 51,000 deaths have been averted due to the lockdown, Srivastava said.
A joint study by the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation and the Indian Statistical Institute found that around 20 lakh COVID-19 cases and 54,000 deaths were averted due to lockdown, he said.
The number of COVID-19 cases averted due to the lockdown is in the range of 14-29 lakh, while the number of lives saved is between 37,000 and 78,000, the official said.
“We are fully confident that the lockdown, with full public cooperation, has reaped rich dividends,” Srivastava said.
The strong defence of the lockdown, comes a day after the health ministry said the period of lockdown has been gainfully utilized to ramp up the health infrastructure, with around 3,027 dedicated COVID-19 hospitals and 7,013 care centres being readied across the country to fight the disease.
The announcement on Thursday came after some media reports questioned the country's preparedness to deal with the highly infectious disease.
"There are reports in a section of the media about some decisions of the government regarding the lockdown implementation and response to COVID-19 management. The period of the lockdown has been gainfully utilised to ramp up the health infrastructure in the country," the ministry had said.
Addressing the press briefing on Friday, joint secretary in the health ministry Lav Agarwal said 48,534 COVID-19 patients, which is about 41 per cent of the total cases, have recovered so far. As many as 3,234 patients have recovered in the last 24 hours, he said’
The COVID-19 mortality rate has dropped from 3.13 per cent on May 19 to 3.02 per cent as focus was on containment measures andclinical management of cases, Agarwal said.
An ICMR official said 27,55,714 tests for COVID-19 have been conducted till 1 pm Friday with 1,03,829 tests done in one day. Over 1 lakh tests for COVID-19 have been done each day for the last four days, the official said.
The growth rate of novel coronavirus cases witnessed a steep decline from Apr 4 when lockdown put a brake on the speed of increase of cases, V K Paul said.
The number of COVID-19 cases would have risen exponentially had the lockdown not been implemented, he said, adding that the doubling rate of cases was 3.4 days when the lockdown started and it is 13.3 days at present.
The COVID-19 outbreak in India has remained confined to limited areas with 80 per cent of active cases in just five states, Paul said
He said around 80 pc of COVID-19 deaths have been in Maharashtra, Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, West Bengal and Delhi.
Comments
Really feeling sad for both of them. This is indeed a tragedy.
ನನ್ನ ಮಗ ತುಂಬಾ ಪಾಪ, ಅಮ್ಮ ನಾನು ಕೆಲಸಕ್ಕೆ ಗಲ್ಫ್ ಗೆ ಹೋಗುತ್ತೇನೆ ಎಂದಿದ್ದ, ನಾನೇ ಬೇಡ ಎಂದು ತಪ್ಪು ಮಾಡಿದೆ, - ದೀಪಕ್ ರಾವ್ ತಾಯಿಯ ಮಾತು RT ريبورتر ನನ್ನ ಅಪ್ಪ ಗಲ್ಫಲ್ಲಿದ್ದರು..ಅವರಿಗೆ ಊರಲ್ಲಿ ಸೆಟ್ಲ್ ಆಗುವುದು ಇಷ್ಟವಿರಲಿಲ್ಲ..ಆದರೂ ನಮ್ಮ ಒತ್ತಾಯದ ಮೇರೆಗೆ ಕಳೆದ ಒಂದು ವರ್ಷದಿಂದ ಪಾಸ್ಟ್ ಫುಡ್ ಅಂಗಡಿ ನಡೆಸುತ್ತಿದ್ದರು.. ಬಷೀರ್ ರವರ ಮಗ.. whats app feed!
Really Felt heart broke to read this.
ಇನ್ನಾಲಿಲ್ಲಾಹ್, ಅಲ್ಲಾಹುಮ್ಮಗ್ಫಿರ್ಲಹು ವರ್ಹಮ್ಹು...ಆಮೀನ್
Who ever it may be Deepak Rao,Basheer the loss and the pain stand in front of their dependents and not in from of any hate mongers criminal politicians o or with their followers. Normal citizens are really suffering.
Now th time has come in from of all Mangloreans to stand together join hand in hand to kick out these anti communal groups and their supporters. After all we the surroundings to share our apin and grevience with our neigbhours. No one leader from any party will come to help us.
Be unite and stand for our safety first and love each other and share our daily life with our respective neighbours. 100% God's blessings always there lead peace ful life.
Then these political goons will Na Ghar Ka Na Ghar Ka.
ನನ್ನ ಮಗ ಗಲ್ಫ್ ಗೆ ಕೆಲಸ ಕ್ಕೆ ಹೋಗುತ್ತಿದ್ದರೆ ಉಳಿಯುತ್ತಿದ್ದನೋ ಏನೋ? ( ದೀಪಕ್ ರವರ ತಾಯಿ)
ನನ್ನ ತಂದೆ ಗಲ್ಪ್ ನಲ್ಲಿ ಇದ್ದಿದ್ದರೆ ಹೀಗೆ ಆಗುತ್ತಿರಲಿಲ್ಲವೋ ಏನೋ? (ಬಶೀರ್ ರವರ ಮಗ)
ಸಾಮಾನ್ಯ ಭಾರತೀಯರಿಗೆ ತನ್ನ ಸ್ವಂತ ದೇಶದಲ್ಲಿ ಅಭದ್ರತೆಯನ್ನು ಸೃಷ್ಟಿಸಿದ ಈ ಪರಿಸ್ಥಿತಿಗೆ ಕಾರಣ ಕರ್ತರು ಯಾರು? ನಾವು ಆಲೋಚಿಸಬೇಕಾಗಿದೆ.
Inna Lillahi Wa Inna Ilayhi Raaji'oon
"ಪ್ರಭಾಕರ್ ಮೈ ಮುಟ್ಟಿದರೆ ಜಾಗ್ರತೆ..." ಸವಾಲೆಸೆದ ಅಮಾಯಕ ಬಶೀರ್ ಇನ್ನಿಲ್ಲ ____________ 1993 ರಲ್ಲಿ ದ.ಕ.ಜಿಲ್ಲೆ ಕೋಮು ದಳ್ಳುರಿಗೆ ಸಿಲುಕಿತ್ತು. ಸೌದಿ ಅರೇಬಿಯಾಕ್ಕೂ ಇದರ ಬಿಸಿ ತಾಗಿತ್ತು. ಕೆಲ ಮುಸ್ಲಿಮರು ಆ ಸಮಯದಲ್ಲಿ ಸೌದಿಯಲ್ಲಿ ಕೆಲಸ ನಿರ್ವಹಿಸುತ್ತಿದ್ದ ಮಂಗಳೂರಿನ ಪ್ರಭಾಕರ್ ಮೇಲೆ ದಾಳಿಗೆ ಮುಂದಾದರು. ಆಗ ಪ್ರಭಾಕರ್ ಗೆ ರಕ್ಷಣೆ ನೀಡಿ "ಪ್ರಭಾಕರ್ ನಮ್ಮವನು. ಅವನ ಮೈ ಮುಟ್ಟಿದರೆ ಜಾಗ್ರತೆ..." ಎಂದು ಹೇಳಿ ರಕ್ಷಿಸಿದವರು ಮತ್ಯಾರೂ ಅಲ್ಲ. ಕೊಟ್ಟಾರ ಚೌಕಿಯಲ್ಲಿ ಧರ್ಮಾಂಧರ ಮಚ್ಚಿನೇಟಿಗೆ ಸಿಲುಕಿ ಇಂದು ಆಸ್ಪತ್ರೆಯಲ್ಲಿ ನಿಧನರಾದ ಇದೇ ಬಶೀರ್. ಮಂಗಳೂರಿನ ಆಕಾಶಭವನದ ಜನರಿಗೆ ಬಶೀರ್ ಎಂದರೆ ತುಂಬಾ ಪ್ರೀತಿ. ಬಶೀರ್ ತನ್ನೂರಿನ ಪರೋಪಕಾರಿ. ಹಿಂದೂ, ಮುಸ್ಲಿಮ್ ಎನ್ನದೆ ಎಲ್ಲರೊಂದಿಗೆ ಬೆರೆಯುವವರು. ಸೌದಿಯಲ್ಲಿದ್ದಾಗ ಪ್ರಭಾಕರ್ ಮತ್ತು ಬಶೀರ್ ಒಂದೇ ತಟ್ಟೆಯಲ್ಲಿ ಉಂಡವರು. ಪ್ರಭಾಕರ್ ಕುಟುಂಬ ಊರಲ್ಲಿ ಸಂಕಷ್ಟದಲ್ಲಿದ್ದಾಗ ಅವರ ತಾಯಿ ಚಿಕಿತ್ಸೆಗೆ ಬಶೀರ್ ಎಷ್ಟೋ ಬಾರಿ ಆರ್ಥಿಕ ಸಹಾಯ ಚಾಚಿದ್ದಾರೆ. ಧರ್ಮ, ಜಾತಿ ನೋಡದೆ ಯಾರೇ ಸಹಾಯ ಯಾಚಿಸಿದರೂ ಬಶೀರ್ ಇಲ್ಲ ಎಂದವರಲ್ಲ. ಧರ್ಮ ಮೀರಿ ನಿಂತ ಈ ಹಸನ್ಮುಖಿ ಬಶೀರ್ ಗೆ ಎಂಥಾ ಶಿಕ್ಷೆ? ಕಾಟಿಪಳ್ಳ ದೀಪಕ್ ಕೊಲೆಗೆ ಪ್ರತೀಕಾರವಾಗಿ ಅದೇ ದಿನ ರಾತ್ರಿ ಕೊಟ್ಟಾರಚೌಕಿಯಲ್ಲಿ ಅಮಾಯಕ ಆಕಾಶಭವನದ ಬಶೀರ್ ಗೆ ಮತಾಂಧರು ಗಂಭೀರವಾಗಿ ಹಲ್ಲೆ ಮಾಡಿದ್ದರು. ಜೀವನ್ಮರಣ ಹೋರಾಟದಲ್ಲಿದ್ದ ಬಶೀರ್ ಇಂದು ದೇವರ ಅನುಲ್ಲಂಘನೀಯ ವಿಧಿಗೆ ವಿದೇಯರಾದರು. ಪರೋಪಕಾರಿ ಬಶೀರ್ ಅಮರರಾದರು. 25 ವರ್ಷಗಳ ಕಾಲ ವಿದೇಶದಲ್ಲಿ ದುಡಿದು ಕಳೆದೊಂದು ವರ್ಷದಿಂದ ಮಂಗಳೂರಲ್ಲಿ ಫಾಸ್ಟ್ ಫುಡ್ ವ್ಯಾಪಾರ ಮಾಡುತ್ತಾ ಬದುಕು ಕಟ್ಟಿಕೊಳ್ಳುತ್ತಿದ್ದ ಬಶೀರ್ ಇಹಲೋಕ ತ್ಯಜಿಸಿ ಕರಾವಳಿಯನ್ನು ದುಖದ ಕಡಲಲ್ಲಿ ಮುಳುಗಿಸಿದ್ದಾರೆ. ಬಶೀರ್ ನನ್ನು ಉಳಿಸಲು ಉಪವಾಸ, ಪ್ರಾರ್ಥನೆ, ಕುರ್ಆನ್ ಪಠಣ ನಿರ್ವಹಿಸಿದ ಪತ್ನಿ, ಮಕ್ಕಳು, ಕುಟುಂಬಿಕರು, ಸ್ನೇಹಿತರ ಪ್ರಯತ್ನ ಇಹಲೋಕದಲ್ಲಿ ಸಫಲವಾಗಿಲ್ಲವಾದರೂ ಪರಲೋಕದಲ್ಲಿ ಪ್ರತಿಫಲ ಸಿಕ್ಕೀತು. 48 ರ ಹರೆಯದ ಬಶೀರ್ ಸ್ವರ್ಗಸ್ಥರಾಗಲಿ, ಅವರ ಕುಟುಂಬಕ್ಕೆ ದುಖ ಸಹಿಸುವ ಶಕ್ತಿಯನ್ನು ಅಲ್ಲಾಹನು ನೀಡಲಿ. ಹತ್ಯೆಗೈದ ದುಷ್ಕರ್ಮಿಗಳಿಗೆ ದೇವರು ತಕ್ಕ ಶಿಕ್ಷೆ ನೀಡಲಿ. -ರಶೀದ್ ವಿಟ್ಲ.
Inna Lillahi Wa Inna Ilayhi Raaji'oon, i request all my muslim brother to stay calm and pray for his family. let this end here no more fight pls.
Inna Lillahi Wa Inna Ilayhi Raaji'oon
To Allah we belong and to Him is our return!
ارقد في سلام
this s peace loving country, we really dont want to c this blood anymore, govt should punish this goons properly they should not come outside till death. if they come outside they will spread more hatred.
Now because of three murderers each and every one of the community should be blamed
, strict law should be imposed to tackle communal fight, infront of everyone this murderers should be stoned. best solution.
world will be lost if revenge is to murder.
Really Sad! this cannot be a answer for Deepak Rao murder, just mom lost her son, and wife lost her husband, only loss to the families. some 10% of terrorist wont understand this.
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