New Delhi, Jun 26: With looming uncertainty and no likelihood of an early economic recovery in sight, the bull run in gold prices is here to stay. Analysts expect domestic futures to touch ₹ 52,000 per 10 grams in the next few months, till Diwali.
Experts also predict that with the current trend, gold may reach historic levels around ₹ 65,000 per 10 grams in two years time.
Futures of the yellow metal have touched new highs in India off late. On Wednesday, the August contract of gold futures on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) touched an all-time high of Rs 48,589 per 10 grams.
It has, however corrected since and is currently trading at ₹ 48,057 on the MCX, higher by ₹ 116 or 0.24 per cent from its previous close.
Market experts are of the view that both domestic and international gold prices are yet not done breaching records and will touch new highs in days to come.
The resurgence in the number of new cases of coronavirus infection across the globe has added to the uncertainty and fears.
Speaking to media persons, Anuj Gupta, DVP for Commodities and Currencies Research at Angel Broking, noted: "In short term we are expecting it to reach ₹ 48,800-49,000 and for long term, we are expecting ₹ 51,000-Rs 52,000 till Diwali."
On the prices in the international market, he said that it may reach around $1,790 per ounce in the near term from the current levels of $1,762 and the long term, it is likely to be around $1,820-1,850 per ounce.
Gupta noted that with International Monetary Fund's (IMF) latest downward revision of economic outlook, both global and of India, and the rising number of cases and high demand by gold exchange traded funds (ETF) have led to this record breaking rise in gold prices.
Covid-19 battered India's economy is projected to contract by 4.5 per cent this fiscal, according to the IMF and the global output is projected to decline by 4.9 per cent in 2020, 1.9 percentage points below the IMF's April forecast.
Hareesh V, Head of Commodity Research at Geojit Financial Services, said that gold's safe haven appeal will remain on the higher side as there is little hope of a quick global economic recovery amid rising virus cases across the world.
"Increased geopolitical instability and an under-performing dollar also lift the metal's sentiments," he added.
According to Prathamesh Mallya, AVP Research, Non-Agro Commodities & Currencies at Angel Broking, said that with the global output to contract and the economies in a deeper recession than most anticipate, gold as an asset class is a safe bet for investors across the globe.
"Although, the physical demand has declined drastically due to the restrictions and lockdowns, the activity of global central banks and their net purchases of gold signal that uncertainty will continue for most of 2020," he said.
He was also of the view that in the international market price of the metal may move towards $1,850 per ounce and in the domestic market it is likely to move higher towards Rs 50,000 per 10 grams.
"The investment demand as seen in the net additions of ETF holdings also signals that gold will shine for a much longer time even if the pandemic is under control. Till then, keep buying gold, if not in physical form, but in digital form," Mallya added.
Industry insiders like Aditya Pethe, Director, WHP Jewellers said: "I basically feel that the current trend for the gold is bullish and for the coming next 2 years, it is likely to move upwards. No one can predict the exact price as currently the trend is on rise but it might change after 6 months. In general for the coming 6 months to one year, the gold prices are likely to cross $2,000 which comes to roughly Rs 55,000. For a temporary moment it may reduce, basically fluctuate as well but overall trend of gold is going to be bullish."
On his part, Ishu Datwani, Founder, Anmol Jewellers said: "Yes - it's very likely that the gold price could easily go up to Rs 60,000-Rs 65,000 in the next two years. There is also a possibility of it going up even more."
"A lot of banks have been buying gold and there is also a possibility that the Indian rupee will depreciate against the dollar. This and geopolitical reasons will cause bullishness in gold."
Comments
Good to see new names occurring to defame Minorities.. Keep going guys.. I guess many new names are on the way still to mock Minorities.. Good luck.. God Bless you..
Some in this thread are proud of being Hindu Nationalist and people like me are proud being Indian Muslim...
And thats why my country name comes first.....
Nevertheless, the so called fake bajrangis. chaddis etc... can't be called patriots of our country. because they dont beleive in unity and they always want to divide country in the name of religion and no matter how much they try.....they will never be successful
As a Hindu, I am proud of Nikhithraj , who had expressed anger against those who raise anti-national slogans and backstab motherland. Whatever my friend Nikhithraj had said that is 100% correct.
A SIMPLE TRUTH
80% of JNU students are Hindus, that is also from Northern India, where Northern India called as Hub of Hinduism.
How these people can be anti national or committed sedition.
The students and staff both are against the central gov't. They are indeed intelligent students, staff in JNU, unlike some others.
You Bhajees label yourself as the only Patriots and others as anti nationals. If you are a true patriot, be obedient to the National constitution. Even you are not a pure Hindu. You are spoiling the name and image of Hindu culture. Because of your ideology Hinduism is very faster diminishing and other religions like Christianity and Islam is growing at the fastest rate which was never before.
Any way, if not you, at least your offspring are coming out from your clutches and following the right path but not your portrayed Hindu culture. They will be real Hindus. If they are real Hindus, then they will choose what they have to be.
Its nice to see so many Hindu brothers and sisters are gathered in colourful function ...what is the main agenda behind this kind of gathering to prove what ? Provoke one community against another ? .. Its true government should take an proper action against goons who had called anti national slogan .. and its clearly shown who were there behind this drama.
As we all seen SDPI or any of its wing never done something wrong which divide india or effect our Indian democracy and it seems they are the who trying to save indian secularism, but we feel RSS and its wings always tried to divide india by religion or cast and they always raise their saffron flag instead of Tricolour Indian Flag.
People should think about political , religious or any party leaders, they are getting their daily bread from where ? Look at the past history of MP, MLA and other members ..they all given hate speech and recognized by people and later they forget them as well.
here we should use our common sense.. regardless of religion for our daily bread and other things we common man should work hard.. there is no logic behind hate one another ... no single common person will get tax free life, no one will wave up our utility bills or supply daily food ... so we all should stand as Indian to show the power of India ..
Hindu Samavesha - only hate and politics speech????
No any good message from the Hindu religion??
IF RSS AND BD HAS REAL LOVE TO OUR MOTHER LAND INDIA THEY NEED TO RAISE THE NATIONAL FLAG NOT THEIR SAFFRON FLAG ..
Y R U RAISING THE SAFFRON COLOR FLAG PLEASE DONT TEACH US THE TO LOVE THE NATION WE KNOW VERY WELL THAN UU
WE MUSLIMS AND CHRISTIANS AND OTHER RELIGIONS WE KNOW.. WE LOVE OUR INDIA MORE THAN UUUU ,
YOU ARE ACTING LIKE THAT U R THE ONE RSS AND BD WHO DIRECTLY FIGHT WITH BRITISH AND MADE INDIA INDEPENDENT..
.
U R ANTI NATIONALS ATTACKING CLUB, LADIE, BAR , COLLEGES SCHOOLS, BEEF EATERS, CHURCHES, MOSQUE ..
DID U HEAR TILL NOW THAT CHRISTIAN AND MUSLIM COMMUNITY ATTACKED THE TEMPLE, BARS, CLUBS? AND BECAUSE OUR RELIGION DOES NOT TEACH US THAT TO ATTACK THE INNOCENT ..
U R THE ONE WHO EDITED THE AUDIO OF JNU TO ANTI SLOGAN NOT US AND IT PROVED......
THIS IS U R ACCHE DIN WHA WHA WHA... U RECIEVED BIHAR RESULT RIGHT WAIT AND SEE IN FUTURE,,
SDPI is a part of BJP, they help gain more seats in recently held election....
oppose modi, oppose BJP, oppose RSS but dont support Pakistanis or who wants to divide India whose slogans are anti national.
anti-national elements who shouted anti-India slogans, should be detained quickly.
Anti-national slogans r not at all good.. But what our govt.is doing? shoot them to kill.
totally wrong statement.
My heart cries after seeing those people who shouted anti national slogans. Shame on you.
who gave rights to univ students to endorse anti India slogans, congress gaining, but still loosing, truth always stand next to BJP
Anti National Slogans are Minor Issues\ - Paid MSMS YET they all are barking endlessly over this issue!! Strange!"
Freedom of speech doesn't mean you raise anti-national slogans.
If anti-national slogans are raised & then they are supported,I think there can be nothing worse than that
I feel angry over anti-national slogans raised in some universities. this people should be in jail for life time.
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