New Delhi, Jun 26: With looming uncertainty and no likelihood of an early economic recovery in sight, the bull run in gold prices is here to stay. Analysts expect domestic futures to touch ₹ 52,000 per 10 grams in the next few months, till Diwali.
Experts also predict that with the current trend, gold may reach historic levels around ₹ 65,000 per 10 grams in two years time.
Futures of the yellow metal have touched new highs in India off late. On Wednesday, the August contract of gold futures on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) touched an all-time high of Rs 48,589 per 10 grams.
It has, however corrected since and is currently trading at ₹ 48,057 on the MCX, higher by ₹ 116 or 0.24 per cent from its previous close.
Market experts are of the view that both domestic and international gold prices are yet not done breaching records and will touch new highs in days to come.
The resurgence in the number of new cases of coronavirus infection across the globe has added to the uncertainty and fears.
Speaking to media persons, Anuj Gupta, DVP for Commodities and Currencies Research at Angel Broking, noted: "In short term we are expecting it to reach ₹ 48,800-49,000 and for long term, we are expecting ₹ 51,000-Rs 52,000 till Diwali."
On the prices in the international market, he said that it may reach around $1,790 per ounce in the near term from the current levels of $1,762 and the long term, it is likely to be around $1,820-1,850 per ounce.
Gupta noted that with International Monetary Fund's (IMF) latest downward revision of economic outlook, both global and of India, and the rising number of cases and high demand by gold exchange traded funds (ETF) have led to this record breaking rise in gold prices.
Covid-19 battered India's economy is projected to contract by 4.5 per cent this fiscal, according to the IMF and the global output is projected to decline by 4.9 per cent in 2020, 1.9 percentage points below the IMF's April forecast.
Hareesh V, Head of Commodity Research at Geojit Financial Services, said that gold's safe haven appeal will remain on the higher side as there is little hope of a quick global economic recovery amid rising virus cases across the world.
"Increased geopolitical instability and an under-performing dollar also lift the metal's sentiments," he added.
According to Prathamesh Mallya, AVP Research, Non-Agro Commodities & Currencies at Angel Broking, said that with the global output to contract and the economies in a deeper recession than most anticipate, gold as an asset class is a safe bet for investors across the globe.
"Although, the physical demand has declined drastically due to the restrictions and lockdowns, the activity of global central banks and their net purchases of gold signal that uncertainty will continue for most of 2020," he said.
He was also of the view that in the international market price of the metal may move towards $1,850 per ounce and in the domestic market it is likely to move higher towards Rs 50,000 per 10 grams.
"The investment demand as seen in the net additions of ETF holdings also signals that gold will shine for a much longer time even if the pandemic is under control. Till then, keep buying gold, if not in physical form, but in digital form," Mallya added.
Industry insiders like Aditya Pethe, Director, WHP Jewellers said: "I basically feel that the current trend for the gold is bullish and for the coming next 2 years, it is likely to move upwards. No one can predict the exact price as currently the trend is on rise but it might change after 6 months. In general for the coming 6 months to one year, the gold prices are likely to cross $2,000 which comes to roughly Rs 55,000. For a temporary moment it may reduce, basically fluctuate as well but overall trend of gold is going to be bullish."
On his part, Ishu Datwani, Founder, Anmol Jewellers said: "Yes - it's very likely that the gold price could easily go up to Rs 60,000-Rs 65,000 in the next two years. There is also a possibility of it going up even more."
"A lot of banks have been buying gold and there is also a possibility that the Indian rupee will depreciate against the dollar. This and geopolitical reasons will cause bullishness in gold."
Comments
Hindu leaders are afraid of their population going down as people following the true God.... then who will support their party? How will they gain votes....anyhow Islam is growing and growing as much People try to defame it.......can any mai ka laal can say no and prove it....
Why the BD, VHP RSS all these are not banned. They are openly making provocative speaches. Mr. Zakir Naik has never done provocative speaches. But the people like thogadia and many more are creating lot of tensions among people. This also should be equally done.
Allahumma Aizzal Islama wal Muslimeen, Wa azillal kufra wal kafireen,
Ya Allah protect the ummath of prophet Muhammad(P.B.U.H).And save us from the Kufr of the Kafiroon.
Still if we muslims don't get United they will ban Nikah,5 Times prayer, Zakath.
very good decision .. love u modi ...he supported bin laden .... he backed terrorism .. he encouraged love jihad.. bholo bharath mata ki jai... hara hara modi ... jai jai modi .
i heard that zakir naik followers are not celebrating their prophet birthday!!!!!!!
if they are not happy in their own religion then its better to ban all over the universe.. what you say guys?
After 9/11 many reverted to Islam, the same will happen now.
No evidence is produced so far, It is not possible because, he speaks very carefully the truth, that is also without hurting others.
This is their BIASED ruling, they can do anything. Now all specially Hindus will start studying ISLAM and will accept it.
In history many DECEIVERS had temporary happiness.. and they thought they have victory by using the power wrongly ... Time is running and it will end your power too and dont think this evil power will be for eternity...
We will see INSHAA ALLAH (God willing) how your evil power will collapse..
As expected, there is a hidden conspiracy behind it these people are thinking that they can prevent spreading of Islam by this type of drama, Allah need no organization to spread his deen,
ALLEGED terror activities... Still not proven and will never be proved..
\And the disbelievers planned, but Allah planned. Allah is the best of Planners\" Holy Quran: 3:54
I request entire believers not to be panic, everything is moving as per Allah's direction.
Please don't spread rumors, don't be a part of any unlawful activities, don't be panic. Please help the needy irrespective of caste and creed, give your best for the sake of Allah. Whoever does corruption on the face of earth for him a great torment of Allah is waiting. This is Allah's promise. Ya Allah protect your believing slaves from all types of tests & trials, give us patience, give us the strength to face the trials of this world, Aameen. Please make dua for entire believing brothers and sisters of this world."
Good move by government ... so many muslim brothers are saved from brainwashing NGO...
hopefully people will coordinate with government and stops funding this unlawfull NGO
don't worry Dr. Zakir naik Allah is with you. you are not first person who faced such acts of kaafir but take patience and keep trust.
May Allah subhana bless you and our prayer is with you
very sad part is without understanding anything our own religious people making fun of you and celebrating this as their victory..may Allah guide them
A very good decision from Namo.
This is one of the scripted hidden agenda of the communal govt. which was fabricated through Dhaka blast to reach this day. VHP and RSS are two giant terrorist organizations getting foreign funds to create instabilities still at large for years.
Insha Allah IRF will fight legal battle to overcome it.
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