New Delhi, Jun 26: With looming uncertainty and no likelihood of an early economic recovery in sight, the bull run in gold prices is here to stay. Analysts expect domestic futures to touch ₹ 52,000 per 10 grams in the next few months, till Diwali.
Experts also predict that with the current trend, gold may reach historic levels around ₹ 65,000 per 10 grams in two years time.
Futures of the yellow metal have touched new highs in India off late. On Wednesday, the August contract of gold futures on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) touched an all-time high of Rs 48,589 per 10 grams.
It has, however corrected since and is currently trading at ₹ 48,057 on the MCX, higher by ₹ 116 or 0.24 per cent from its previous close.
Market experts are of the view that both domestic and international gold prices are yet not done breaching records and will touch new highs in days to come.
The resurgence in the number of new cases of coronavirus infection across the globe has added to the uncertainty and fears.
Speaking to media persons, Anuj Gupta, DVP for Commodities and Currencies Research at Angel Broking, noted: "In short term we are expecting it to reach ₹ 48,800-49,000 and for long term, we are expecting ₹ 51,000-Rs 52,000 till Diwali."
On the prices in the international market, he said that it may reach around $1,790 per ounce in the near term from the current levels of $1,762 and the long term, it is likely to be around $1,820-1,850 per ounce.
Gupta noted that with International Monetary Fund's (IMF) latest downward revision of economic outlook, both global and of India, and the rising number of cases and high demand by gold exchange traded funds (ETF) have led to this record breaking rise in gold prices.
Covid-19 battered India's economy is projected to contract by 4.5 per cent this fiscal, according to the IMF and the global output is projected to decline by 4.9 per cent in 2020, 1.9 percentage points below the IMF's April forecast.
Hareesh V, Head of Commodity Research at Geojit Financial Services, said that gold's safe haven appeal will remain on the higher side as there is little hope of a quick global economic recovery amid rising virus cases across the world.
"Increased geopolitical instability and an under-performing dollar also lift the metal's sentiments," he added.
According to Prathamesh Mallya, AVP Research, Non-Agro Commodities & Currencies at Angel Broking, said that with the global output to contract and the economies in a deeper recession than most anticipate, gold as an asset class is a safe bet for investors across the globe.
"Although, the physical demand has declined drastically due to the restrictions and lockdowns, the activity of global central banks and their net purchases of gold signal that uncertainty will continue for most of 2020," he said.
He was also of the view that in the international market price of the metal may move towards $1,850 per ounce and in the domestic market it is likely to move higher towards Rs 50,000 per 10 grams.
"The investment demand as seen in the net additions of ETF holdings also signals that gold will shine for a much longer time even if the pandemic is under control. Till then, keep buying gold, if not in physical form, but in digital form," Mallya added.
Industry insiders like Aditya Pethe, Director, WHP Jewellers said: "I basically feel that the current trend for the gold is bullish and for the coming next 2 years, it is likely to move upwards. No one can predict the exact price as currently the trend is on rise but it might change after 6 months. In general for the coming 6 months to one year, the gold prices are likely to cross $2,000 which comes to roughly Rs 55,000. For a temporary moment it may reduce, basically fluctuate as well but overall trend of gold is going to be bullish."
On his part, Ishu Datwani, Founder, Anmol Jewellers said: "Yes - it's very likely that the gold price could easily go up to Rs 60,000-Rs 65,000 in the next two years. There is also a possibility of it going up even more."
"A lot of banks have been buying gold and there is also a possibility that the Indian rupee will depreciate against the dollar. This and geopolitical reasons will cause bullishness in gold."
Comments
@Thinker, Of course we(Muslims) are 'minority', but far enough to face 'majority' in the election. As the majority are split according into many caste.
Time is no far to unite the Muslims in 1 platform to gain the ultimate political power and i
MA SHA ALLAH Proud to be a MUSLIM! Many more people are there to revert In Sha Allah.. Its Allah who is helping us..
If you notice the statistics, all these communities belong to Hinduism and further these communities are treated as separate or individuals. The culture including worships are also different.
Where as Muslims have though different languages, they are considered as single community because of single method of worship where singular God is their one and only God.
Surprisingly because of this fact, their share is increasing due to attraction to people of other communities. There is no worry in the end, because gradually everyone will know the truth and everyone will belong to the same (that) community, so no difference and no communal hatred at the end.
\ It is HE who has sent the Messenger with Guidance and the religion of Truth, to manifest it Over ALL RELIGIONS, how much ever the unbeliever might not like it ....\" (Qur'an - Ch 9:33)"
Thinker Hell.....
Come out of hell..So called bramins are less in number but ruling all hindus in the name of God. And what else you want???
Beware dear..chaddeezz....
However the MEDIA malign MUSLIM with false images.... Muslims around the world are increasing and it will increase rapid in the coming Years In Shaa ALLAH. The irony is that Many people understood the MEDIA conspiracy did by the IT professional by Cheddi deceivers. Many people learnt more about ISLAM and the reality and the Fact. Muslims are growing not in their own but also many non muslims are converting to ISLAM by learning & getting knowledge of the CREATOR who created us... Those who worship the creator are successful. Those who worship the created things are need to learn who is our CREATOR who CREATED all that exists.
Frankly speaking I trust this portal (i.e. Coastal Digest) right from the beginning only because it published fact news to convey the readers.
Today when I read the above news I am really surprised to know the facts with figures. Even a common man can understand the political power of each community.
Though we (Muslims) constitute a huge number (75 Lac), Very sad know our M.L.A's are just 11 in number which is equal to nothing. Our community is very much backward in political power.
Currently 'Power of Powers' in one and only i.e. \ POLITICAL POWER\". Let all of us think and act for the uplift of the community & our fellow kannadigas by choose a existing political party in fray."
In sha allah soon it will come to No 1 Place
please convey this messege to other media, they have lack of knowledge in getting news
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