New Delhi, Jun 26: With looming uncertainty and no likelihood of an early economic recovery in sight, the bull run in gold prices is here to stay. Analysts expect domestic futures to touch ₹ 52,000 per 10 grams in the next few months, till Diwali.
Experts also predict that with the current trend, gold may reach historic levels around ₹ 65,000 per 10 grams in two years time.
Futures of the yellow metal have touched new highs in India off late. On Wednesday, the August contract of gold futures on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) touched an all-time high of Rs 48,589 per 10 grams.
It has, however corrected since and is currently trading at ₹ 48,057 on the MCX, higher by ₹ 116 or 0.24 per cent from its previous close.
Market experts are of the view that both domestic and international gold prices are yet not done breaching records and will touch new highs in days to come.
The resurgence in the number of new cases of coronavirus infection across the globe has added to the uncertainty and fears.
Speaking to media persons, Anuj Gupta, DVP for Commodities and Currencies Research at Angel Broking, noted: "In short term we are expecting it to reach ₹ 48,800-49,000 and for long term, we are expecting ₹ 51,000-Rs 52,000 till Diwali."
On the prices in the international market, he said that it may reach around $1,790 per ounce in the near term from the current levels of $1,762 and the long term, it is likely to be around $1,820-1,850 per ounce.
Gupta noted that with International Monetary Fund's (IMF) latest downward revision of economic outlook, both global and of India, and the rising number of cases and high demand by gold exchange traded funds (ETF) have led to this record breaking rise in gold prices.
Covid-19 battered India's economy is projected to contract by 4.5 per cent this fiscal, according to the IMF and the global output is projected to decline by 4.9 per cent in 2020, 1.9 percentage points below the IMF's April forecast.
Hareesh V, Head of Commodity Research at Geojit Financial Services, said that gold's safe haven appeal will remain on the higher side as there is little hope of a quick global economic recovery amid rising virus cases across the world.
"Increased geopolitical instability and an under-performing dollar also lift the metal's sentiments," he added.
According to Prathamesh Mallya, AVP Research, Non-Agro Commodities & Currencies at Angel Broking, said that with the global output to contract and the economies in a deeper recession than most anticipate, gold as an asset class is a safe bet for investors across the globe.
"Although, the physical demand has declined drastically due to the restrictions and lockdowns, the activity of global central banks and their net purchases of gold signal that uncertainty will continue for most of 2020," he said.
He was also of the view that in the international market price of the metal may move towards $1,850 per ounce and in the domestic market it is likely to move higher towards Rs 50,000 per 10 grams.
"The investment demand as seen in the net additions of ETF holdings also signals that gold will shine for a much longer time even if the pandemic is under control. Till then, keep buying gold, if not in physical form, but in digital form," Mallya added.
Industry insiders like Aditya Pethe, Director, WHP Jewellers said: "I basically feel that the current trend for the gold is bullish and for the coming next 2 years, it is likely to move upwards. No one can predict the exact price as currently the trend is on rise but it might change after 6 months. In general for the coming 6 months to one year, the gold prices are likely to cross $2,000 which comes to roughly Rs 55,000. For a temporary moment it may reduce, basically fluctuate as well but overall trend of gold is going to be bullish."
On his part, Ishu Datwani, Founder, Anmol Jewellers said: "Yes - it's very likely that the gold price could easily go up to Rs 60,000-Rs 65,000 in the next two years. There is also a possibility of it going up even more."
"A lot of banks have been buying gold and there is also a possibility that the Indian rupee will depreciate against the dollar. This and geopolitical reasons will cause bullishness in gold."
Comments
Hello there! I could have sworn I've been to this blog
before but after reading through some of the post I realized it's new
to me. Nonetheless, I'm definitely happy I found it and I'll
be book-marking and checking back frequently!
My web-site - digital pianos review: http://www.orchadash.org/component/k2/itemlist/user/521678
Thanks , I have recently been searching for info about this subject for
a long time and yours is the greatest I have came upon till now.
However, what concerning the bottom line? Are you positive about
the source?
my page :: best
digital piano review: http://Www.huadongwinery.com/comment/html/index.php?page=1&id=92046
Its like you read my mind! You seem to understand so much approximately this,
such as you wrote the e book in it or something. I feel that you simply could do with
a few percent to power the message house a bit, however other than that, this is great blog.
A fantastic read. I will definitely be back.
Feel free to visit my page - best cheap digital piano: http://hljkjcx.com/comment/html/index.php?page=1&id=3938
An outstanding share! I've just forwarded this onto a friend who was doing a little homework
on this. And he actually bought me dinner due
to the fact that I found it for him... lol. So allow me to reword this....
Thanks for the meal!! But yeah, thanx for spending time to talk
about this issue here on your blog.
Feel free to visit my website ... yamaha piano 88 keys: http://football.antingonline.com/comment/html/index.php?page=1&id=675
I know this if off topic but I'm looking into starting my own weblog and was curious what all is required to get set up?
I'm assuming having a blog like yours would cost a pretty penny?
I'm not very internet savvy so I'm not 100% certain. Any recommendations or advice would be greatly appreciated.
Appreciate it
Here is my webpage - best digital piano sound: http://www.gensyo.com/comment/html/index.php?page=1&id=4971
I'll immediately snatch your rss as I can't to find
your e-mail subscription link or e-newsletter service.
Do you have any? Kindly permit me understand in order that I may subscribe.
Thanks.
Also visit my homepage - in piano and drums the piano stands for: http://zzjz2.edong.com/comment/html/index.php?page=1&id=91334
Asking questions are in fact good thing if you are not understanding anything fully, but this piece of writing offers pleasant understanding even.
my web blog ... best digital piano: http://Www.inthevendee.com/classifieds/user/profile/1301
I love your blog.. very nice colors & theme. Did you make this website yourself or did
you hire someone to do it for you? Plz reply as I'm looking to construct my own blog and would like to find out where u got
this from. thanks a lot
My web-site; keyboard 88 weighted keys: http://www.feedbackerteam.com/author/francessymo/
You ought to take part in a contest for one of the
best sites on the internet. I am going to recommend this blog!
Feel free to visit my blog :: best casio digital
piano (Lawrence: http://sailingdreamspr.com/sailing/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=us…)
Hi to every one, it's really a good for me to pay a visit this web page, it consists of precious Information.
My blog post :: best digital piano review: http://tp.nayicn.com/comment/html/index.php?page=1&id=2482
Add new comment