New Delhi, Jun 26: With looming uncertainty and no likelihood of an early economic recovery in sight, the bull run in gold prices is here to stay. Analysts expect domestic futures to touch ₹ 52,000 per 10 grams in the next few months, till Diwali.
Experts also predict that with the current trend, gold may reach historic levels around ₹ 65,000 per 10 grams in two years time.
Futures of the yellow metal have touched new highs in India off late. On Wednesday, the August contract of gold futures on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) touched an all-time high of Rs 48,589 per 10 grams.
It has, however corrected since and is currently trading at ₹ 48,057 on the MCX, higher by ₹ 116 or 0.24 per cent from its previous close.
Market experts are of the view that both domestic and international gold prices are yet not done breaching records and will touch new highs in days to come.
The resurgence in the number of new cases of coronavirus infection across the globe has added to the uncertainty and fears.
Speaking to media persons, Anuj Gupta, DVP for Commodities and Currencies Research at Angel Broking, noted: "In short term we are expecting it to reach ₹ 48,800-49,000 and for long term, we are expecting ₹ 51,000-Rs 52,000 till Diwali."
On the prices in the international market, he said that it may reach around $1,790 per ounce in the near term from the current levels of $1,762 and the long term, it is likely to be around $1,820-1,850 per ounce.
Gupta noted that with International Monetary Fund's (IMF) latest downward revision of economic outlook, both global and of India, and the rising number of cases and high demand by gold exchange traded funds (ETF) have led to this record breaking rise in gold prices.
Covid-19 battered India's economy is projected to contract by 4.5 per cent this fiscal, according to the IMF and the global output is projected to decline by 4.9 per cent in 2020, 1.9 percentage points below the IMF's April forecast.
Hareesh V, Head of Commodity Research at Geojit Financial Services, said that gold's safe haven appeal will remain on the higher side as there is little hope of a quick global economic recovery amid rising virus cases across the world.
"Increased geopolitical instability and an under-performing dollar also lift the metal's sentiments," he added.
According to Prathamesh Mallya, AVP Research, Non-Agro Commodities & Currencies at Angel Broking, said that with the global output to contract and the economies in a deeper recession than most anticipate, gold as an asset class is a safe bet for investors across the globe.
"Although, the physical demand has declined drastically due to the restrictions and lockdowns, the activity of global central banks and their net purchases of gold signal that uncertainty will continue for most of 2020," he said.
He was also of the view that in the international market price of the metal may move towards $1,850 per ounce and in the domestic market it is likely to move higher towards Rs 50,000 per 10 grams.
"The investment demand as seen in the net additions of ETF holdings also signals that gold will shine for a much longer time even if the pandemic is under control. Till then, keep buying gold, if not in physical form, but in digital form," Mallya added.
Industry insiders like Aditya Pethe, Director, WHP Jewellers said: "I basically feel that the current trend for the gold is bullish and for the coming next 2 years, it is likely to move upwards. No one can predict the exact price as currently the trend is on rise but it might change after 6 months. In general for the coming 6 months to one year, the gold prices are likely to cross $2,000 which comes to roughly Rs 55,000. For a temporary moment it may reduce, basically fluctuate as well but overall trend of gold is going to be bullish."
On his part, Ishu Datwani, Founder, Anmol Jewellers said: "Yes - it's very likely that the gold price could easily go up to Rs 60,000-Rs 65,000 in the next two years. There is also a possibility of it going up even more."
"A lot of banks have been buying gold and there is also a possibility that the Indian rupee will depreciate against the dollar. This and geopolitical reasons will cause bullishness in gold."
Comments
he dint toook 34 lakhs with me i lied. b7t yeah he is a frnd of mine
i dint think my frnd navneeth would do like this. navneeth was a good frnd of mine he is a cheater nw he took 34 lakhas with me at 26 august cheater navvneeeèth......
Apparently, Navneet is a very ardent follower of Crime Patrol programme on TV. If people can raise fingers at Zakir Naik, and ban him and his teachings, and probe into his involvement in terrorism, then in this case, the channel and producers of Crime Patrol should also be charged with the same. I wonder where Arnab Goswami is hiding now!
What is the use of huge wealth, poor man killed by own people what did people involved achieved. We always talk of development education. What is meaning of education and development ? That old golden days we are far better than now where we did not had cc tv camera no proper road no public transport no powerful education institute but WE WERE SAFE ON THOSE GOLDEN OLD DAYS.
Hang all three ..shameless and merciless people
Tell the world that Naveen is impressed by Zakir Naik Lecture.
Where is the priest....arrest him for terrorizing that family..see which temple he went ..close it down..or ban his school....ha ha.....as you do with muslims
Very bad people, how can we trust this world...poor guy...
These people are family friends... We're all good people... I used to play with that boy as a kid.. I smell something fishy ..
Mage mallaye, Ammeg kullaye
He should have saved his life by staying in Saudi Arabia. India is not safe, people even get killed for having food, for honor, for rupees 15, for nothing, for rights etc.
Father rest in peace...
Someone make mother + Son piece piece...
Bastards.
need to give proper treatment to son and the mother , put inside the jail forever or hang them in public ...
from this incident all need to learn the lesson that even with wife we should not share all the details and income of our business .
Bhasker Shetty, an innocent face. The son built his body from his father's hard earned money.
Every father has to think twice doing any business with their own wife and sons ... Kaala Badalaagide.
Lost a nice husband, a nice father .. now stay in jail without husband, without father mother ... for long years.....
for what ???? for money??? ... thoo nim janma haalaga...
What a son!
What a wife!
What a priest!
What a society!
RIP brother Bhasker. You are gem. they dont deserve you.
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