Phailin likely to hit coast at 6 p.m. tomorrow

October 11, 2013

cyclone11

Bhubaneswar, Oct 11: Odisha and Andhra Pradesh on braced for the “very severe” cyclone that is expected to hit the east coast with winds gusting up to 220 kmph tomorrow evening, as lakhs of people were being evacuated to safer places and the military kept on standby.

Cyclone Phailin — the biggest cyclone in years to hit Odisha — is expected to make landfall near Gopalpur in Ganjam district in the eastern State after crossing an area between Paradip in Odisha and Kalingapatnam in Andhra Pradesh.

Five districts were in the eye of the storm with IMD chief Dr. L.S. Rathore identifying Ganjam, Khurda, Puri and Jagatsinghpur districts in Odisha and Srikakalum in Andhra Pradesh as those that is likely to be worst hit.

Mr. Rathore said the cyclone storm over east central Bay of Bengal currently lay 450 km southeast of Gopalpur and warned that it will be accompanied by a storm surge of up to three metres in the districts that will bear the brunt.

“Cyclone Phailin is a very severe cyclone,” Mr. Rathore said in Delhi. Mr. Rathore said the storm, which will hit the coast at 6 p.m., is unlikely to develop into a super cyclone. Phailin was named by Thailand and it means sapphire in Thai.

“The U.S. Navy has also forecast that the wind speed will be above 240 kmph. Therefore, the cyclone is not less than any super cyclone for us,” Special Relief Commissioner P.K. Mohapatra told reporters in Bhubaneshwar.

Mr. Mohapatra said the IMD had declared the 1,999 calamity as a super cyclone as the wind speed had crossed 220 kmph. An estimated 9,885 persons were killed in the super cyclone that pummelled Odisha.

“This time around, the wind speed is not much different than the previous super cyclone,” he said.

Squalls with a wind speed of 45-55 kmph to 65 kmph have already started along Odisha coast since morning under the impact of Phailin. About 25 cm of rain has been predicted in the 24 hours starting October 11 night in the affected districts due to the cyclone.

The Odisha health department cancelled holidays and leaves of all doctors in view of the impending situation even as the State government set a target of “zero casualty” and ordered speedy evacuation of people in seven coastal districts.

The East Coast Railway planned to regulate and cancel about 24 passenger trains between Visakhapatnam and Bhadrak on the Howrah-Chennai Main Line route on Saturday.

64,000 evacuated in A.P.

Authorities began evacuating 64,000 people from the low-lying areas of three vulnerable districts in Andhra Pradesh, State Revenue Minister N. Raghuveera Reddy said.

Emergency food supplies and shelters for people expected to flee the heavy winds and rains were also being readied in the vulnerable districts. Disaster management teams were also kept in readiness.

Odisha government set a target of “zero casualty” and ordered speedy evacuation of people in low-lying areas in seven coastal districts which is home to lakhs of people.

Defence Minister A.K. Antony ordered the Armed Forces to be ready to move in to Odisha and Andhra Pradesh.

Two IAF IL-76 aircraft have already airlifted NDRF teams and equipment to Bhubaneshwar.

Odisha sets zero casualty target

“The Collectors of all seven districts like Ganjam, Gajapati, Puri, Jagatsingpur, Kendrapara, Nayagarh and Khurda have been directed to start evacuation and ensure 100 per cent evacuation of people to cyclone and flood shelters and other safe places by today evening,” said Revenue and Disaster Management Minister S.N. Patro.

The Collectors of Bhadrak and Balasore districts have also been alerted, the Minister said.

As at least 9,885 persons were killed in the super cyclone of 1999, the State government was concerned about the safety of the people. “Our first priority is zero casualty,” Mr. Patro said.

Mr. Patro directed the district authorities said relief teams to be ready with relief material and necessary means of transportation. “Fuel like diesel, kerosene, LPG should be kept reserved in the district and block locations,” he said.

Odisha govt. to open free kitchens

Chief Secretary J.K. Mohapatra said the government has also directed opening of free kitchens from this evening for the people who would be evacuated to safe shelters. “Dry food should be kept reserved for the next day,” he said adding that the teams for clearing of roads must be kept ready with all required equipment.

“They (road clearing team) must be visible on roads just after the cyclone passes away and they should clear the roads within 12 hours of cyclone,” Mr. J.K. Mohapatra said in his directive.

NHAI authorities have also been mobilized for clearing of National Highways, officials said adding that police have been asked to strengthen patrolling on NH for smooth passage of vehicles carrying relief materials.

“We are making necessary arrangements for air dropping of food packets. Specific teams have been constituted for the purpose who are busy making food packets for 1 lakh people,” a senior officer at the Special Relief Commission’s office said.

“Apart from road cleaning, power and water supply should also be restored within 24 to 48 hours,” Mr. J.K. Mohapatra said adding that the Food Supply department has been instructed to place enforcement squads in each district to ensure that essential commodities were not hoarded or over priced by unscrupulous business men, retailers and wholesellers.

Energy Secretary Pradeep Kumar Jena informed that all executive engineers have been kept in readiness and all section offices of distribution companies have been kept ready with teams consisting of 15 to 20 members and necessary material for restoration of power supply.

Mr. Patro has also directed that the services of any government officer who remains absent and does not perform the assigned duties, will be terminated with immediate effect.

Meanwhile, the state government held a meeting with NGOs and gave specific responsibilities. “The NGOs are told to to mobilise people for evacuation and to assist in the process of providing them necessary services at safe shelters,” Mr. Patro said.

The minister suggested to the Special Relief Commissioner to spell out the material to be accepted as relief from donor agencies, NGOs and individuals.

Kalinga stadium here is being used as state relief distribution centre.

Meanwhile, the health department cancelled holidays and leaves of all doctors in view of the impending situation.

“The doctors who are on leave are asked to join immediately,” Health Minister Damodar Rout said.

'Not less than a super cyclone'

Cyclone Phailin with a windspeed of 220 kmph is turning into a super cyclone before making landfall on Saturday evening near Gopalpur in Odisha where the government has galvanised its machinery to deal with its impact and is evacuating people from low-lying areas.

“The U.S. Navy has also forecast that the wind speed will be above 240 kmph. Therefore, the cyclone is not less than any super cyclone for us,” Special Relief Commissioner P.K. Mohapatra said.

He said that though the IMD on Thursday indicated that the wind speed would be limited to 185 kmph, it was now forecasting it at 220 kmph.

Mr. P.K. Mohapatra said the IMD had declared the 1999 calamity as a super cyclone as the wind speed had crossed 220 kmph.

“This time around, the wind speed is not much different than the previous super cyclone,” he said.

Squalls with a wind speed of 45-55 kmph to 65 kmph have already started along Odisha coast since morning.

“It would increase in intensity with gale wind speeds reaching 210-220 kmph along and off south Odisha at the time of landfall,” the IMD said in a bulletin categorised as an Orange Message.

It would make landfall near Gopalpur in Ganjam district on Saturday evening after crossing an area between Paradip in Odisha and Kalingapatnam in Andhra Pradesh.

The IMD said the cyclone over east central Bay of Bengal remained stationary and lay 520 km south-southeast of Paradip and 530 km southeast of Gopalpur.

The IMD forecast a storm surge of 2.5 meter to 3.0 meter in Ganjam, Khurda, Puri and Jagatsinghpur districts.

A storm surge is a rise of the sea as a result of atmospheric pressure changes and winds associated with a storm.

Local Cautionary (LC-III) has been hoisted in all the ports in the State.The Navy, the Air Force, the National Disaster Response Force and the Odisha Disaster Rapid Action Force were ready for relief and rescue operations as soon as the cyclone hits the coast, Mr. P.K. Mohapatra said.

A worried State government held meetings and evaluated the changed circumstances.

“At least 28 teams of the National Disaster Response Forces are at the disposal of the Odisha government for evacuation and relief operations,” a senior official said after one such meeting.

So far eight teams of NDRF, reaching having 20 personnel, have been deployed in Puri district, the official said.

Revenue and Disaster Management Minister S.N. Patro said district collectors have been told to complete evacuation of people by Friday evening.

“We do not want to take any chance,” Mr. Patro said, adding that shelters were ready.

Appealing to the people not to panic, Chief Minister Naveen Patnaik asked them to cooperate with the government in relief and rescue operations.

Odisha on high alert as Phailin gains strength

Massive evacuation was undertaken by district administrations of Ganjam, Gajapati, Puri and Jagatsinghpur of Odisha, which are likely to be hit by severe cyclonic storm Phailin – whose wind speed was upgraded 205-215 kmph on Friday morning.

“The very severe cyclonic storm, Phailin over east central Bay of Bengal moved west-northwestwards with a speed of 15 kmph and lay centred about 520km south-southeast of Paradip and 530km southeast of Gopalpur,” said S. C. Sahu, director, Bhubaneswar Metrological Centre.

The met office said it would move north-westwards and cross north Andhra Pradesh and Odisha coast between Kalingapatnam and Paradip, close to Gopalpur (Odisha) on Saturday evening. “The wind speed would touch 205-215 kmph.”

Mr. Sahu said the severe cyclonic would intensify further as sea surface temperature was favourable for intensification of the system. Heavy rain would start lashing southern Odisha from Friday afternoon.

State branch secretary of Indian Red Cross Society Mangala Prasad Mohanty said, “We have already evacuated people from low lying areas to our 65 cyclone shelters. Our special emphasis is on destitute women and people with disability.”

“From our experience of 1999 Super Cyclone, it suggests the Phailin would have similar devastating impact on coastal Odisha. We are working in close coordination with the state government officials,” Mr. Mohanty said.

According to government estimates, Super Cyclone killed about 8000 people in the State.

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News Network
June 9,2020

New Delhi, Jun 9: Petrol price on Tuesday was hiked by 54 paise per litre and diesel by 58 paise a litre - the third straight daily increase in rates after oil PSUs ended an 82-day hiatus in rate revision.

Petrol price in Delhi was hiked to Rs 73.00 per litre from 72.46, while diesel rates were increased to Rs 71.17 a litre from Rs 70.59, according to a price notification of state oil marketing companies.

This is the third daily increase in rates in a row. Oil companies had on Sunday restarted revising prices in line with costs, after ending an 82-day hiatus.

Prices were raised by 60 paise per litre each on both petrol and diesel on Sunday as well as on Monday. In all, petrol price has gone up by Rs 1.74 per litre and diesel by Rs 1.78 a litre in three days.

Oil PSUs - Indian Oil Corp (IOC), Bharat Petroleum Corp Ltd (BPCL) and Hindustan Petroleum Corp Ltd (HPCL) - had put daily price revisions on hold soon after the government on March 14, hiked excise duty on petrol and diesel by Rs 3 per litre each.

Oil companies did not pass on that excise duty hike, as well as the May 6 increase in tax on petrol by Rs 10 per litre and Rs 13 a litre hike on diesel by setting them off against the decline in retail prices that should have effected to reflect international oil rates falling to two-decade low.

International rates have since rebounded and oil companies having exhausted all the margin are now passing on the increase to customers, an industry official said.

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Agencies
August 8,2020

Idukki, Aug 8: Nine more bodies have been recovered from the landslide ravaged Pettimudi near Munnar in Idukki on Saturday. With this the death toll in the tragedy reached 26. Around 40 are feared to be still trapped under the debris or washed away.

The rescue operation by NDRF and Fire and Rescue Services that was stopped by Friday evening due to poor light and bad weather resumed by Saturday morning.

Horrifying scene prevailed in the area as relatives of the missing people screamed around in search of their beloved ones. As it is nearly 48 hours since the incident happened, the chances of recovering missing persons alive from the debris is becoming bleak. Three of the bodies recovered on Saturday could not be identified till evening.

Kerala Revenue Minster E Chandrasekharan, who visited the area on Saturday, said that search operation would be carried out until all the missing are recovered.

It was by around 11.30 pm on Thursday that landslide had hit the Nayamakkad estate of Kannan Devan Hills and Plantations. Settlement clusters of plantation workers where 83 persons were staying were reduced to debris as the huge rocks came bulldozing. Five of the residents were reported to be not in the spot while the mishap occured.

Meanwhile, heavy rains led to floods at many parts of the state. Red alert has been issued at Idukki, Malappuram and Wayanad districts for Sunday also. A total of 11,446 persons of 3,530 families were shifted to relief camps across the state, of which major chunk is at Wayanad.

Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan said that water level at most dams is increasing swiftly.

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Agencies
May 23,2020

New Delhi, May 23: The nationwide lockdown will no longer help India in its fight against COVID-19, and in its place community-driven containment, isolation and quarantine strategies have to be brought into play, leading virologist Shahid Jameel said.

The recipient of Shanti Swarup Bhatnagar Prize for Science and Technology also stressed that testing should be carried out vigorously to identify coronavirus hotspots and isolate those areas.

"Our current testing rate at 1,744 tests per million population is one of the lowest in the world. We should deploy both antibody tests and confirmatory PCR tests. This will tell us about pockets of ongoing infection and past (recovered) infection. This will provide data to open up gradually and let economic activity resume," Jameel told PTI in an interview.

He stressed that testing has to be dynamic to continuously monitor red, orange and green zones and change these based on that data.

About community transmission of COVID-19 in India, Jameel said the country reached that stage long ago.

"We reached community transmission a long time ago. It's just that the health authorities are not admitting it. Even ICMR's own study of SARI (severe acute respiratory illness) showed that about 40 per cent of those who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 did not have any history of overseas travel or contact to a known case. If this is not community transmission, then what is?" he posed.

Lockdown bought India time in its fight against coronavirus, but continuing it is unlikely to yield any further dividend, Jameel said.

"Instead, community-driven local lockdowns, isolations and quarantines have to come into play. Building trust is most important so that people follow rules. A public health problem cannot be dealt with as a law-and-order problem."

The nationwide lockdown, initially imposed from March 25 to April 14, has been extended thrice and will continue at least till May 31. The virus has claimed 3,720 lives and infected over 1.25 lakh people in the country so far.

Jameel has expertise in the fields of molecular biology, infectious diseases, and biotechnology. He is the CEO of Wellcome Trust/Department of Biotechnology's India Alliance and is best known for extensive research in Hepatitis E virus and HIV.

He said COVID-19 will eventually be controlled through herd immunity, which is acquired in two ways – when a sufficient fraction of the population gets infected and recovers, and with vaccination.

"It is estimated that for SARS-CoV-2 at least 60 per cent of the population would have to be infected and recovered, or vaccinated. This will happen over the course of the next few years," Jameel said.

Herd immunity is reached when the majority of a population becomes immune to an infectious disease, either because they have become infected and recovered, or through vaccination. When that happens, the disease is less likely to spread to people who aren't immune, because there just aren't enough infectious carriers.

"India has 1.38 billion people, a population density of about 400/sq km and a healthcare system ranked at 143 in the world. If we allow 60 per cent people to get infected quickly in the hopes of herd immunity, that would mean 830 million infections," Jameel said.

"If 15 per cent need hospitalization that means about 125 million isolation beds (we have 0.3 million). If five per cent need oxygen and ventilatory support, this amounts to about 42 million oxygen support and ICU beds; we have 0.1 million oxygen support beds and 34,000 ICU beds. This would overwhelm the healthcare system causing mayhem," he said.

Jameel said if the population level mortality is 0.5 per cent that would mean 40 lakh deaths. "Are we prepared to pay this price for herd immunity in the short term? Clearly not," he said.

He said it is unlikely that a vaccine would be available by the end of the year.

"Even then, we don't know yet how long it would give protection – weeks, months, one year, a few years? I don't think we will return to pre-coronavirus days for at least the next 3-5 years. This is also a chance to evaluate if we want to return to those unsustainable, environment-damaging ways. COVID-19 is a timely warning to reform our way of living," he said.

Jameel said it is hard to predict but plausible that COVID-19 would return in second or third wave.

"Later waves come when we don't understand the disease and become lax. A comparison to Spanish Flu is not entirely valid because in 1918 no one knew what caused it. No one had seen a virus till the mid-1930s as the electron microscope needed to view those was invented in 1931," he said.

"Today we know a lot more about the pathogen, its genetic makeup, how it transmits and how to prevent it. We need to be sensible and follow expert advice," he said.

If there is any scientific evidence linking deforestation, rapid urbanisation, climate change with pandemics like COVID-19, he said zoonotic viruses -- those that jump from animals to humans -- happen so when wild animal–human contacts increase.

"Deforestation destroys animal habitats bringing them closer to humans. When you cut forests, bats come to roost on trees closer to human habitations. Their viruses in secretions/stool get transmitted to domestic animals and on to humans. This happened clearly with Nipah virus outbreak in Malaysia in 1997-98 from fruit bats to pigs to humans," he said.

"COVID-19 possibly arose in wet animal markets due to dietary habits that bring all kinds of live and dead wild animals in close contact with humans," Jameel added.

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