I am not a superman: RBI governor

October 14, 2013
Washington, Oct 13: With a "little bit of euphoria" surrounding him  with the arrest of the Indian rupee's slide, RBI's new governor, Raghuram Rajan, has sought to temper expectations saying "I am not a superman".

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Portraying himself as a regular guy with "a wife and two kids," he told a  Washington audience Saturday what the country's central bank could do or not do.

"Expectations are high. There is a little bit of euphoria in India," said  Rajan, a former Chief Economist at the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and economic adviser to Prime Minister Manmohan Singh, at an event at the  Institute of International Finance.

But "clearly I am not a superman," said Rajan, who has often been portrayed in the media as a "rock star" of finance.

"We can do more than what a central bank in an industrial country can do.  But we can in some ways do less," he said.

"On where we can do more, clearly there are a lot of low hanging fruit in the financial sector," he said.

Rajan, who was here to attend the just concluded annual Fund-World Bank  annual meetings, said emerging market economies were less understood and  financial sector reforms can be incredibly positive for growth going  forward.

"I think, with the financial sector reforms, coupled with the real sector  reforms, the growth turn around should be on its way," he said.

He noted that the Indian government was doing a "fair amount of reform" which needs little bit of time for the results to show up.

"The problem of being in academics and then getting into these positions is there is a well documented trail of thinking," said Rajan, who is currently on leave of absence as a professor of finance at the graduate business school at the University of Chicago.

India must not be seen as a country in crisis, he said, days after  declaring that New Delhi would not run to the IMF for money for at least the next five years and maybe even beyond.

"We have $280 billion of forex reserves. Come on!" he exclaimed, adding that India was, in fact, lending to the IMF.

"I think the perception should change now."

He said India was facing turmoil in the financial markets but was away from any crisis-like situation.

"We are a country which has a debt of 66 percent of GDP, 90 percent of which is denominated in rupees. External debt was 22 percent of GDP and reserves at 15 percent of GDP. We can pay back all the short-term debt tomorrow," he said.

He said India has issues in the financial sector. There were inflation  challenges; there was a need to get back to a high growth trajectory. "But  these are certainly not crisis issues."

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News Network
June 22,2020

New Delhi, June 22: Former Prime Minister Manmohan Singh on Monday asked Prime Minister Narendra Modi to be “mindful of the implication of his words” as a controversy raged over his “no intrusion” remark about the violent face-off with Chinese troops in the Galwan Valley.

“The Prime Minister must always be mindful of the implications of his words and declarations on our Nation’s security as also strategic and territorial interests,” Singh said in a statement here as Chinese media welcomed Modi’s ‘no intrusion’  remarks contending that it may lead to a de-escalation of tensions between China and India.

Congress has been maintaining that Modi’s assertions at Friday’s all-party meeting that neither was there any intrusion nor was any Indian post captured ran counter to the statements made by the Indian Army and the External Affairs Ministry.

Singh said the prime minister cannot allow his words to be used by China as a vindication of its position and all organs of the government should work together to tackle this crisis and prevent it from escalating further.

“We remind the Government that disinformation is no substitute for diplomacy or decisive leadership. The truth cannot be suppressed by having pliant allies spout comforting but false statements,” the former prime minister said.

Singh said the prime minister and the government should rise to the occasion to ensure justice for Colonel B Santosh and the army jawans who made the supreme sacrifice and resolutely defended the nation’s territorial integrity.

“To do any less would be a historic betrayal of the people’s faith,” the former prime minister said.

“At this moment, we stand at historic crossroads. Our Government’s decisions and actions will have serious bearings on how the future generations perceive us,” Singh said.

Singh said China was brazenly and illegally seeking to claim parts of Indian territory such as the Galwan Valley and the Pangong Tso Lake by committing multiple incursions between April 2020 till date.  

“We cannot and will not be cowed down by threats and intimidation nor permit a compromise with our territorial integrity,” said Singh. 

The former prime minister said this was a moment where “we must stand together as a nation and be united in our response to this brazen threat.”

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May 11,2020

May 11: Congress leader Rahul Gandhi on Monday said many states were amending labour laws, but the fight against the novel coronavirus pandemic cannot be an excuse to exploit workers, suppress their voice and crush their human rights.

Gandhi said there cannot be any compromise on the basic principles by allowing unsafe workplaces.

"Many states are amending labour laws. We are together fighting against corona, but this cannot be an excuse to crush human rights, allow unsafe workplaces, exploit workers and suppress their voice," he said.

"There cannot be any compromise on these basic principles," he added.

Congress leader Jairam Ramesh also said it would be dangerous and disastrous to loosen labour, land and environment laws in the name of economic revival and stimulus.

"In the name of economic revival and stimulus, it will be dangerous and disastrous to loosen labour, land and environmental laws and regulations as the Modi govt is planning.

"The first steps have already been taken. This is a quack remedy like demonetisation," Ramesh tweeted.

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News Network
May 24,2020

New Delhi, May 24: The Indian economy is likely to slip into recession in the third quarter of this fiscal as loss in income and jobs and cautiousness among consumers will delay recovery in consumer demand even after the pandemic, says a report.

According to Dun & Bradstreet's latest Economic Observer, the country's economic recovery will depend on the efficacy and duration of implementation of the government's stimulus package.

"The multiplier effect of the stimulus measures on the economy will depend on three key aspects i.e. the time taken for effecting the withdrawal of the lockdown, the efficacy of implementation and duration of execution of the measures announced," Dun & Bradstreet India Chief Economist Arun Singh said.

The report noted that the government's larger-than-expected stimulus package is likely to re-start economic activities.

Besides, measures taken by the Reserve Bank of India like reducing the repo rate by a further 40 basis points to 4 per cent, extending the moratorium period by three months and facilitating working capital financing will also help stimulate the momentum.

Singh said while the measures announced by the government are "positive", most of them have been directed towards strengthening the supply side of the economy, and "it is to be noted that supply needs to be matched with demand", he said.

Besides, "in the absence of cash-in-hand benefits under the government's stimulus package, demand for goods and services is expected to remain depressed", he added.

He further said the loss in income and employment opportunities, and cautiousness among consumers, will lead to a delayed recovery in consumer demand, even after the pandemic. As debt and bad loan levels increase, the banking sector might face challenges.

The report further noted that even as the monetary stimulus is expected to inject liquidity and stimulate demand for a wider section of the economy, the channelisation of funds from the financial institutions will be subjected to several constraints.

The foremost concern being increase in risk averseness, as the balance sheets of firms, households, and banks/NBFCs have weakened considerably and low demand for funds by firms as production activities have been on a standstill during the lockdown period, Singh said.

India has been under lockdown since March 25 to contain the spread of the coronavirus, resulting in supply disruptions and demand compression.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi imposed a nationwide lockdown to control the spread of coronavirus on March 25. It has been extended thrice, with some relaxations. The fourth phase of the lockdown is set to expire on May 31. 

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