New Delhi, Jun 26: With looming uncertainty and no likelihood of an early economic recovery in sight, the bull run in gold prices is here to stay. Analysts expect domestic futures to touch ₹ 52,000 per 10 grams in the next few months, till Diwali.
Experts also predict that with the current trend, gold may reach historic levels around ₹ 65,000 per 10 grams in two years time.
Futures of the yellow metal have touched new highs in India off late. On Wednesday, the August contract of gold futures on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) touched an all-time high of Rs 48,589 per 10 grams.
It has, however corrected since and is currently trading at ₹ 48,057 on the MCX, higher by ₹ 116 or 0.24 per cent from its previous close.
Market experts are of the view that both domestic and international gold prices are yet not done breaching records and will touch new highs in days to come.
The resurgence in the number of new cases of coronavirus infection across the globe has added to the uncertainty and fears.
Speaking to media persons, Anuj Gupta, DVP for Commodities and Currencies Research at Angel Broking, noted: "In short term we are expecting it to reach ₹ 48,800-49,000 and for long term, we are expecting ₹ 51,000-Rs 52,000 till Diwali."
On the prices in the international market, he said that it may reach around $1,790 per ounce in the near term from the current levels of $1,762 and the long term, it is likely to be around $1,820-1,850 per ounce.
Gupta noted that with International Monetary Fund's (IMF) latest downward revision of economic outlook, both global and of India, and the rising number of cases and high demand by gold exchange traded funds (ETF) have led to this record breaking rise in gold prices.
Covid-19 battered India's economy is projected to contract by 4.5 per cent this fiscal, according to the IMF and the global output is projected to decline by 4.9 per cent in 2020, 1.9 percentage points below the IMF's April forecast.
Hareesh V, Head of Commodity Research at Geojit Financial Services, said that gold's safe haven appeal will remain on the higher side as there is little hope of a quick global economic recovery amid rising virus cases across the world.
"Increased geopolitical instability and an under-performing dollar also lift the metal's sentiments," he added.
According to Prathamesh Mallya, AVP Research, Non-Agro Commodities & Currencies at Angel Broking, said that with the global output to contract and the economies in a deeper recession than most anticipate, gold as an asset class is a safe bet for investors across the globe.
"Although, the physical demand has declined drastically due to the restrictions and lockdowns, the activity of global central banks and their net purchases of gold signal that uncertainty will continue for most of 2020," he said.
He was also of the view that in the international market price of the metal may move towards $1,850 per ounce and in the domestic market it is likely to move higher towards Rs 50,000 per 10 grams.
"The investment demand as seen in the net additions of ETF holdings also signals that gold will shine for a much longer time even if the pandemic is under control. Till then, keep buying gold, if not in physical form, but in digital form," Mallya added.
Industry insiders like Aditya Pethe, Director, WHP Jewellers said: "I basically feel that the current trend for the gold is bullish and for the coming next 2 years, it is likely to move upwards. No one can predict the exact price as currently the trend is on rise but it might change after 6 months. In general for the coming 6 months to one year, the gold prices are likely to cross $2,000 which comes to roughly Rs 55,000. For a temporary moment it may reduce, basically fluctuate as well but overall trend of gold is going to be bullish."
On his part, Ishu Datwani, Founder, Anmol Jewellers said: "Yes - it's very likely that the gold price could easily go up to Rs 60,000-Rs 65,000 in the next two years. There is also a possibility of it going up even more."
"A lot of banks have been buying gold and there is also a possibility that the Indian rupee will depreciate against the dollar. This and geopolitical reasons will cause bullishness in gold."
Comments
hahaha muslims always find problem where they are ... In arab world they find enemy in the name of Israel , in west they scream that chummag ge gummah madthavre americans and christains antha ... bosnia dalli serbians mele ... burma dalli namma buddhist mele ... india dalli RSS mele ... hane baraha ashte ... no islamic country is peaceful as it is full of terrorists . Iran is an exception as they are shia ... 99.99% terror crimes , frauds , smugling , rapes are done by one particular community only ... still they scream they innocent anthe , mullahs give us a break ... we know what you are doing ... Hindus are well aware of what jihadist did for their culture , how indian women were raped and places of worships were destroyed . yaavano helidnthanthe RSS mukhta bharatha madthini antha ... adakke chummah gang namgobba leader sikkavne , madiji ge manja tinsona antha scheme haaktha idave ... hahaha ... RSS is not a local organisation ,it has so powerful lobby and very vast network across the globe ..next only to jewish lobby now . jewish and Indian lobby work together ...RSS is 100 times more stronger than these scums imagine .. nothing wrong in questioning muslims and if they are not found guilt send them out ... india must be free from terrorism ... so NIA must watch madrassas which are symbol of terrors and seminaries , which is a breeding ground for jihadist acts ...jai ho israel .. jai ho india ... long live Indo israel relationship ... death to enemies of israel and india ... hara hara modi .. jai jai modi ... jihadi gala pinkaan ge mirchi biddu ice mele koorlikke horadtha ive antha kanuthe ... yakku baba ... bholo bharath mata ki jai ... i heard one jihadi lady , pinkaan nalli 1 kg gold madikondu bandu namma police kaili sikki haakondavlanthe howda mullah gala .. hahahahha
Maulana thariq jameel is a scholar, his speech has changed many lives all over the world, and his speech CDs are commonly available in India and in gulf countries.
Kumar, if Muslims threw you out from India...we would not have seen you talking like this here in CD....it is because of your kind of people our country is not progressing...facing lot of problems now and then....Burma will suffering because of their wrong doing....
Muslims are not terrorists....RSS made them scafegoats
We Indians must stand up and voice and war against terrorists and terrorism. I salute Bihar CM Nithish Kumar's call for free RSS.
If we get rid of RSS then there will be peace everywhere in India.
RSS is the root cause of terrorism.
@ VENKI MANGALORE
YA YA BJP DPING THE WORK PROPERLY YES U R RIGHT
THEY TRING TO MAKE COW AS MOTHER AND BAN IN INDIA
BAGWATH GEETHA TO ANNOUNCE NATION HOLLY BOOK
THESE THEY DOING WORK RIGHT NOW
I feel sympathy for those CD anti muslim viewers who try to sling the mud on muslims stored in their backyard
@ KUMAR MANGALORE .
MIND UR WORDS.. DONT TALK AGAINST THE MUSLIM
TALK AGAINST THE TERRORISM
NEED TO CATCH VHP WE WILL GET THE PURE LINK...
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