New Delhi, Jun 26: With looming uncertainty and no likelihood of an early economic recovery in sight, the bull run in gold prices is here to stay. Analysts expect domestic futures to touch ₹ 52,000 per 10 grams in the next few months, till Diwali.
Experts also predict that with the current trend, gold may reach historic levels around ₹ 65,000 per 10 grams in two years time.
Futures of the yellow metal have touched new highs in India off late. On Wednesday, the August contract of gold futures on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) touched an all-time high of Rs 48,589 per 10 grams.
It has, however corrected since and is currently trading at ₹ 48,057 on the MCX, higher by ₹ 116 or 0.24 per cent from its previous close.
Market experts are of the view that both domestic and international gold prices are yet not done breaching records and will touch new highs in days to come.
The resurgence in the number of new cases of coronavirus infection across the globe has added to the uncertainty and fears.
Speaking to media persons, Anuj Gupta, DVP for Commodities and Currencies Research at Angel Broking, noted: "In short term we are expecting it to reach ₹ 48,800-49,000 and for long term, we are expecting ₹ 51,000-Rs 52,000 till Diwali."
On the prices in the international market, he said that it may reach around $1,790 per ounce in the near term from the current levels of $1,762 and the long term, it is likely to be around $1,820-1,850 per ounce.
Gupta noted that with International Monetary Fund's (IMF) latest downward revision of economic outlook, both global and of India, and the rising number of cases and high demand by gold exchange traded funds (ETF) have led to this record breaking rise in gold prices.
Covid-19 battered India's economy is projected to contract by 4.5 per cent this fiscal, according to the IMF and the global output is projected to decline by 4.9 per cent in 2020, 1.9 percentage points below the IMF's April forecast.
Hareesh V, Head of Commodity Research at Geojit Financial Services, said that gold's safe haven appeal will remain on the higher side as there is little hope of a quick global economic recovery amid rising virus cases across the world.
"Increased geopolitical instability and an under-performing dollar also lift the metal's sentiments," he added.
According to Prathamesh Mallya, AVP Research, Non-Agro Commodities & Currencies at Angel Broking, said that with the global output to contract and the economies in a deeper recession than most anticipate, gold as an asset class is a safe bet for investors across the globe.
"Although, the physical demand has declined drastically due to the restrictions and lockdowns, the activity of global central banks and their net purchases of gold signal that uncertainty will continue for most of 2020," he said.
He was also of the view that in the international market price of the metal may move towards $1,850 per ounce and in the domestic market it is likely to move higher towards Rs 50,000 per 10 grams.
"The investment demand as seen in the net additions of ETF holdings also signals that gold will shine for a much longer time even if the pandemic is under control. Till then, keep buying gold, if not in physical form, but in digital form," Mallya added.
Industry insiders like Aditya Pethe, Director, WHP Jewellers said: "I basically feel that the current trend for the gold is bullish and for the coming next 2 years, it is likely to move upwards. No one can predict the exact price as currently the trend is on rise but it might change after 6 months. In general for the coming 6 months to one year, the gold prices are likely to cross $2,000 which comes to roughly Rs 55,000. For a temporary moment it may reduce, basically fluctuate as well but overall trend of gold is going to be bullish."
On his part, Ishu Datwani, Founder, Anmol Jewellers said: "Yes - it's very likely that the gold price could easily go up to Rs 60,000-Rs 65,000 in the next two years. There is also a possibility of it going up even more."
"A lot of banks have been buying gold and there is also a possibility that the Indian rupee will depreciate against the dollar. This and geopolitical reasons will cause bullishness in gold."
Comments
Ram Naik India is not belongs to you there is a COMMON constitution to
all INDIANS. The seat which you holding is a respective ONE. Don't misuse or try to pollute. If you people not respecting the constitution then your same policy will destroy you.
cheddis are missing here also....
O armed cheddis show u r stamina against most wanted BABA's..
Beliye Eddu Hola Meidanthe
Where are Mulla Mulayam, his son akilesh and their wazeer azam khan ?
and bargain king Shahi imam ? All are using minorities as vote Bank. AAP is best solution for all the problem in the current scenario.
hahahaha muah what a word rama naik ji ... saabis are burning ... obba thirdrated saying we have guts only when we have drinks .. ofcourse even their ummah gang that is ISIS , uses drugs to fight . one slum shaiekh saying one verse .. hahaha ... just 2 million millitarised jewish army , 56 muslim nations cannot do anything .. they are doing mujra infront of israel .. just imagive if hindus are millitarised ... pinkaan and gaddakke benki hatchiteevi rashtradrohi. galige .. jai sri ram ... even pakistan has 200 million muzzies and 200 nukes .. but they cannot stop drone attack from USA in their country .. pakistan claims they are the protectors of holy sights ... hahaha ... first to take weapons are jewish ,then christians now hindus along with buddhists . who wants these rogue irrtitating culture ... hara hara mahadev , arm hindus for the protection of bharath mata , which is under threat from jihadists and islamic mercnearies ...
narendra Modi govt compliments to hindu terrorist......
I request muslim organisations to provide same arm camps to all of their members...
It is the duty of Governor to maintain Law and order in co-ordination with state govt. instead it supports this kind of illegal activities.
If people are allowed to take Arms what will be the future of Inida..
It is shame to the democratic country like India and going back to the old age where there was no Law and order.
It is the Duty of the governor to maintain Law and order with co-ordination of State Govt. and instead supporting sangh parivar to violate Law and order in the name of self defense!!!
If the Ruler itself is supporting this kind of activities just imagine what will be the future of India....
terrorists are trained and government is defending it.
They only have guts to fight someone wen they drink alchohol....
Let them practice or get trained!! Remember one thing - \ Jo bhi hota hai, Manzure khuda hota hai!! Maarne wale se bachane wala bada hai wahi hamara Parwardigar hai!!"
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