New Delhi, Jun 26: With looming uncertainty and no likelihood of an early economic recovery in sight, the bull run in gold prices is here to stay. Analysts expect domestic futures to touch ₹ 52,000 per 10 grams in the next few months, till Diwali.
Experts also predict that with the current trend, gold may reach historic levels around ₹ 65,000 per 10 grams in two years time.
Futures of the yellow metal have touched new highs in India off late. On Wednesday, the August contract of gold futures on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) touched an all-time high of Rs 48,589 per 10 grams.
It has, however corrected since and is currently trading at ₹ 48,057 on the MCX, higher by ₹ 116 or 0.24 per cent from its previous close.
Market experts are of the view that both domestic and international gold prices are yet not done breaching records and will touch new highs in days to come.
The resurgence in the number of new cases of coronavirus infection across the globe has added to the uncertainty and fears.
Speaking to media persons, Anuj Gupta, DVP for Commodities and Currencies Research at Angel Broking, noted: "In short term we are expecting it to reach ₹ 48,800-49,000 and for long term, we are expecting ₹ 51,000-Rs 52,000 till Diwali."
On the prices in the international market, he said that it may reach around $1,790 per ounce in the near term from the current levels of $1,762 and the long term, it is likely to be around $1,820-1,850 per ounce.
Gupta noted that with International Monetary Fund's (IMF) latest downward revision of economic outlook, both global and of India, and the rising number of cases and high demand by gold exchange traded funds (ETF) have led to this record breaking rise in gold prices.
Covid-19 battered India's economy is projected to contract by 4.5 per cent this fiscal, according to the IMF and the global output is projected to decline by 4.9 per cent in 2020, 1.9 percentage points below the IMF's April forecast.
Hareesh V, Head of Commodity Research at Geojit Financial Services, said that gold's safe haven appeal will remain on the higher side as there is little hope of a quick global economic recovery amid rising virus cases across the world.
"Increased geopolitical instability and an under-performing dollar also lift the metal's sentiments," he added.
According to Prathamesh Mallya, AVP Research, Non-Agro Commodities & Currencies at Angel Broking, said that with the global output to contract and the economies in a deeper recession than most anticipate, gold as an asset class is a safe bet for investors across the globe.
"Although, the physical demand has declined drastically due to the restrictions and lockdowns, the activity of global central banks and their net purchases of gold signal that uncertainty will continue for most of 2020," he said.
He was also of the view that in the international market price of the metal may move towards $1,850 per ounce and in the domestic market it is likely to move higher towards Rs 50,000 per 10 grams.
"The investment demand as seen in the net additions of ETF holdings also signals that gold will shine for a much longer time even if the pandemic is under control. Till then, keep buying gold, if not in physical form, but in digital form," Mallya added.
Industry insiders like Aditya Pethe, Director, WHP Jewellers said: "I basically feel that the current trend for the gold is bullish and for the coming next 2 years, it is likely to move upwards. No one can predict the exact price as currently the trend is on rise but it might change after 6 months. In general for the coming 6 months to one year, the gold prices are likely to cross $2,000 which comes to roughly Rs 55,000. For a temporary moment it may reduce, basically fluctuate as well but overall trend of gold is going to be bullish."
On his part, Ishu Datwani, Founder, Anmol Jewellers said: "Yes - it's very likely that the gold price could easily go up to Rs 60,000-Rs 65,000 in the next two years. There is also a possibility of it going up even more."
"A lot of banks have been buying gold and there is also a possibility that the Indian rupee will depreciate against the dollar. This and geopolitical reasons will cause bullishness in gold."
Comments
Ley ali ...4 options kottu ...72 mele sigathe antha heli ...massage maadsi ...kaas kottu ... masha Allah ...antha helisbahudu ankondiya ....hahaha ..antha tapori alla kanayya ....naren kotian daaaaaa.....
Masha Allah
Naren will accept Islam by next year, insha allah.
His new name will be Muhammed Naren.
Naren,
Muttalrige estu helidru artha agalla, avarige avaradde raga,
We have thousands of Indian nurses working in Saudi Arabia mostly from Kerala and mostly non-muslims, But, only a very little percentage have changed their faith,
What you are mentioning here is all false, bogus and baseless,
Inchu illah ..massagu illa ...I have seen plenty of filippinaa and Nepalese who shifted to Singapore and Thailand after working in Saudi. ..to gain benefits they do ..non Muslim find difficult to get benefits when compared to jihadist...so it is temporary ...once they are back they are back to boom boom style ...I have met 2 escorts till now from Philippine . ..both had Muslim name. ..business ge ashte ...women nurse galu Saudi nalli kelsa madakke first convert agbeku ...illandre ...hardcore patients muttiskollodilvanthe.... Haha...even I have learnt about Islam and have one pseudo name to deal with Muslims ....it is purely for business's... Bari incoming alla swamy....outgoing bagge Matadi ...haha.. .u want me to show iskon Muslims ?
Syed,
When the people who associate partners with ALLAH revert and Worship ALLAH alone... They are already be forgiven for their Past Sin. ALLAH is most forgiving and most merciful....
May Allah forgive us and make us one of the inheriters of the Jannah.
ALHAMDULILLAH, MAY ALLAH SWT INCREASE THEIR IMAAN.AND FORGIVE THEIR PAST SINS. AAMEEN
Islam is the only religion accept by the almighty ALLAH (God) . Please make a research Y God accept only ISLAM. There is a life after death... We Muslims know that and U never understand this cos the Guidance comes only when U learn about the CREATOR who created U, ME and all that EXists...
Read QURAN with translation... U can also check online , i prefer Quranproject which is well explained to those who dont know about ISLAM and the one GOD who is the God of all that exists.
Finally Read it and U also have the choice to accept it or Not ... There is no compulsion in Religion... (What a better way Allah gives u the choice to accept it or not)
Islam is a true religion there is no place in Islam for Nama, Rama, Duma, Thoma and Roma all the prayers for Almighty Allah and leave and live for Allah, this is not only in Saudi all Muslim countries Non Muslims attract to Islam, one who see true Muslims and their believe in Allah they accept Islam..Insha Allah Islam will spread every where. Non believers and terrorists who do terrorism in the name of Islam will disappear one day Insha Allah
Dear Brother Ahmed, I agree with your comments.. But we cant throw stones for all dogs which keeps barking on roadside right? Bolney waley bolney do jo aney waley ayengey.. Cos Islam is such a religion if one non muslim goes deep into Quran he will not be non muslim later.. In Sha Allah many more to come in future
AlHamdulillah
Allahu Akber
Ma Sha Allah.. Welcome to Islam brothers and sisters.. May Allah bless you and all..
Burnol Bhagya for some :D
This kind of news will give sleepless nights to Sangh Parivar, Now they will come up with the comments like:-
It's done by the force of sword
It's for Jehadi purpose
They accepted Islam for monetary gains
Blah, Blah, Blah
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