New Delhi, Jun 26: With looming uncertainty and no likelihood of an early economic recovery in sight, the bull run in gold prices is here to stay. Analysts expect domestic futures to touch ₹ 52,000 per 10 grams in the next few months, till Diwali.
Experts also predict that with the current trend, gold may reach historic levels around ₹ 65,000 per 10 grams in two years time.
Futures of the yellow metal have touched new highs in India off late. On Wednesday, the August contract of gold futures on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) touched an all-time high of Rs 48,589 per 10 grams.
It has, however corrected since and is currently trading at ₹ 48,057 on the MCX, higher by ₹ 116 or 0.24 per cent from its previous close.
Market experts are of the view that both domestic and international gold prices are yet not done breaching records and will touch new highs in days to come.
The resurgence in the number of new cases of coronavirus infection across the globe has added to the uncertainty and fears.
Speaking to media persons, Anuj Gupta, DVP for Commodities and Currencies Research at Angel Broking, noted: "In short term we are expecting it to reach ₹ 48,800-49,000 and for long term, we are expecting ₹ 51,000-Rs 52,000 till Diwali."
On the prices in the international market, he said that it may reach around $1,790 per ounce in the near term from the current levels of $1,762 and the long term, it is likely to be around $1,820-1,850 per ounce.
Gupta noted that with International Monetary Fund's (IMF) latest downward revision of economic outlook, both global and of India, and the rising number of cases and high demand by gold exchange traded funds (ETF) have led to this record breaking rise in gold prices.
Covid-19 battered India's economy is projected to contract by 4.5 per cent this fiscal, according to the IMF and the global output is projected to decline by 4.9 per cent in 2020, 1.9 percentage points below the IMF's April forecast.
Hareesh V, Head of Commodity Research at Geojit Financial Services, said that gold's safe haven appeal will remain on the higher side as there is little hope of a quick global economic recovery amid rising virus cases across the world.
"Increased geopolitical instability and an under-performing dollar also lift the metal's sentiments," he added.
According to Prathamesh Mallya, AVP Research, Non-Agro Commodities & Currencies at Angel Broking, said that with the global output to contract and the economies in a deeper recession than most anticipate, gold as an asset class is a safe bet for investors across the globe.
"Although, the physical demand has declined drastically due to the restrictions and lockdowns, the activity of global central banks and their net purchases of gold signal that uncertainty will continue for most of 2020," he said.
He was also of the view that in the international market price of the metal may move towards $1,850 per ounce and in the domestic market it is likely to move higher towards Rs 50,000 per 10 grams.
"The investment demand as seen in the net additions of ETF holdings also signals that gold will shine for a much longer time even if the pandemic is under control. Till then, keep buying gold, if not in physical form, but in digital form," Mallya added.
Industry insiders like Aditya Pethe, Director, WHP Jewellers said: "I basically feel that the current trend for the gold is bullish and for the coming next 2 years, it is likely to move upwards. No one can predict the exact price as currently the trend is on rise but it might change after 6 months. In general for the coming 6 months to one year, the gold prices are likely to cross $2,000 which comes to roughly Rs 55,000. For a temporary moment it may reduce, basically fluctuate as well but overall trend of gold is going to be bullish."
On his part, Ishu Datwani, Founder, Anmol Jewellers said: "Yes - it's very likely that the gold price could easily go up to Rs 60,000-Rs 65,000 in the next two years. There is also a possibility of it going up even more."
"A lot of banks have been buying gold and there is also a possibility that the Indian rupee will depreciate against the dollar. This and geopolitical reasons will cause bullishness in gold."
Comments
Rakesh
why sit in DOHA come to INDIA and start \Swatch Bharath\" before that clean your \"dirty mind\""
nationals=those are protest peacefully .
anti nationals=beating the people, taking law in hand, not respecting supreme court order,abusing people.
now decide who is antinational.
Dear Mohammad and Syed Jubail, Every one has a right to say his opinion or comment on any issues. so please refrain yourself from wrong comments.
Thanks to PFI to register their unhappy on Ananth statement against Islam and Muslims.
#4 RAKESH DOHA, BE CAREFUL YOU ARE NOTED BY PFI ACTIVISTS FROM DOHA.....DONT COMMENT SUCH A HARSH WORD TO MUSLIM COMMUNITY....
Rakesh Doha, Kindly refrain from commenting against muslims as you are in a muslim country and should be thankful that your daily bread is coming from muslims. First clean your thinking SWACH BRAIN
Sagar & Rakesh please give one anti national activity of PFI...
But for RSS so much available....Sindhagi flag, major bomb blast - Ajmer Dargha, Mecca Majsid, samjota Express, demolition of Babri Masjid and lot more...
We all knew after Modi government u all people are frustrated....u all require a change now better all chaddi gang migrate to Nepal because no one will disturb u there...
azadi from PFI, well known anti national group, let me give one example if your true believer of god your should support all the religion. bhagwan commented against hindu god !!! if u people are not anti national u have to protest against that also. clearly pfi related all people and groups are anti national. if u want a wonderful national please avoid protest against the one who commented on u, your god, protest against effects on each and every one,
KICK OUT RSS FROM THIS BEAUTIFUL COUNTRY....THEY DONT DESERVE TO BE A PART OF THIS LOVELY COUNTRY.......I LOVE MY INDIA
I HATE RSS IN INDIA
WE WANT AZAADI FROM RSS, VHP,BD SRS, ANTI NATIONALISTS GROUP....
SAVE INDIA FROM RSS
PFI is only hope for the future
People criticise only those who work for the community....as you see that RSS was attacking MULIMS verbally and physically ....but time has changed .....it now attacks verbally PFI (as it has no guts to face PFI physically) because PFI fight to the limit against any elements which is against our constitution and against any Fascist so called Powers and against Anti nationals like Muthaliks who hoisted Pakistan flags
by the way we forgot that Govts taken the Sindhagi Flag issue than JNU fake slogan issues...this is real Fascism
come on people ...dont here gossips against Popular Front of India ...its all Gossips either from So called Secular Muslim leaders who for their self interest go against it ...or RSS who are seeing PFI as thret to their ultimate Goal of Brahminism INDIA
u guys cannot do anything , what happened to baby nirbhaya ( fake case) , all people know about your community mentality .instead of do some good job like swach bharath . we dont see no proactive lead taken by muslim community on this part .
guilty must be punished, good luck pfi u will get justice.
anti national protest, anti national party of india.
PFI doing good protest, protest till ananth gets maximum punishment.
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