New Delhi, Jun 26: With looming uncertainty and no likelihood of an early economic recovery in sight, the bull run in gold prices is here to stay. Analysts expect domestic futures to touch ₹ 52,000 per 10 grams in the next few months, till Diwali.
Experts also predict that with the current trend, gold may reach historic levels around ₹ 65,000 per 10 grams in two years time.
Futures of the yellow metal have touched new highs in India off late. On Wednesday, the August contract of gold futures on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) touched an all-time high of Rs 48,589 per 10 grams.
It has, however corrected since and is currently trading at ₹ 48,057 on the MCX, higher by ₹ 116 or 0.24 per cent from its previous close.
Market experts are of the view that both domestic and international gold prices are yet not done breaching records and will touch new highs in days to come.
The resurgence in the number of new cases of coronavirus infection across the globe has added to the uncertainty and fears.
Speaking to media persons, Anuj Gupta, DVP for Commodities and Currencies Research at Angel Broking, noted: "In short term we are expecting it to reach ₹ 48,800-49,000 and for long term, we are expecting ₹ 51,000-Rs 52,000 till Diwali."
On the prices in the international market, he said that it may reach around $1,790 per ounce in the near term from the current levels of $1,762 and the long term, it is likely to be around $1,820-1,850 per ounce.
Gupta noted that with International Monetary Fund's (IMF) latest downward revision of economic outlook, both global and of India, and the rising number of cases and high demand by gold exchange traded funds (ETF) have led to this record breaking rise in gold prices.
Covid-19 battered India's economy is projected to contract by 4.5 per cent this fiscal, according to the IMF and the global output is projected to decline by 4.9 per cent in 2020, 1.9 percentage points below the IMF's April forecast.
Hareesh V, Head of Commodity Research at Geojit Financial Services, said that gold's safe haven appeal will remain on the higher side as there is little hope of a quick global economic recovery amid rising virus cases across the world.
"Increased geopolitical instability and an under-performing dollar also lift the metal's sentiments," he added.
According to Prathamesh Mallya, AVP Research, Non-Agro Commodities & Currencies at Angel Broking, said that with the global output to contract and the economies in a deeper recession than most anticipate, gold as an asset class is a safe bet for investors across the globe.
"Although, the physical demand has declined drastically due to the restrictions and lockdowns, the activity of global central banks and their net purchases of gold signal that uncertainty will continue for most of 2020," he said.
He was also of the view that in the international market price of the metal may move towards $1,850 per ounce and in the domestic market it is likely to move higher towards Rs 50,000 per 10 grams.
"The investment demand as seen in the net additions of ETF holdings also signals that gold will shine for a much longer time even if the pandemic is under control. Till then, keep buying gold, if not in physical form, but in digital form," Mallya added.
Industry insiders like Aditya Pethe, Director, WHP Jewellers said: "I basically feel that the current trend for the gold is bullish and for the coming next 2 years, it is likely to move upwards. No one can predict the exact price as currently the trend is on rise but it might change after 6 months. In general for the coming 6 months to one year, the gold prices are likely to cross $2,000 which comes to roughly Rs 55,000. For a temporary moment it may reduce, basically fluctuate as well but overall trend of gold is going to be bullish."
On his part, Ishu Datwani, Founder, Anmol Jewellers said: "Yes - it's very likely that the gold price could easily go up to Rs 60,000-Rs 65,000 in the next two years. There is also a possibility of it going up even more."
"A lot of banks have been buying gold and there is also a possibility that the Indian rupee will depreciate against the dollar. This and geopolitical reasons will cause bullishness in gold."
Comments
Wow just in 9 mins the fire service reaches!!!
The biggest blunder of Modi Government....those who eat beef let them eat it....those who do not with all respect do not eat it....its their choice.....vote bank politics...that should be stopped for once and for all....
Muslims do not eat pig....but do not disturb Christians at all...
Masha allah our great leaders. may Allah give you long life.
incredible India.. The government, high commissioners getting a warning by RSS Terrorists but no action till date and if it is said by Muslim outfits they will name it as terrorism and file case against innocents.
Now impose case against these goondas and let's see how they will react..
If These terrorists warns means don't worry. If they strike and do any other terrorist acts, then shoot them. Automatically Dakshina kannada will become peaceful district like before.
NIA It is Narendra Interests adopting Agency.
They killed karkera, Good police inspectors everywhere Ex. Bathla house attack, etc.
They are arresting whomever opposing RSS and their Terrorist organizations.
and Why not BJP ????????
its unfortunate that ...he included SDPI as a communal group ....its a POLITICAL party ...just because fighting for the rights of minorities and dalits . and killed by RSS government is adding and considering as communal parties ????????????????
RAI , UT and LOBO are behind this to add SDPI too in this list ...
and one more thing is that ... victim of RSS are all including RSS members ( some times RSS kills their own members to shut the mouth) .....now when RSS started to kill civilians in DK and NK....and Popular front started to protest against the same ....now govt added victims in the list to target ...
all though the RSS is the main cause for all ....only RSS should be targeted not PFI or SDPI
All drama baazi...
assalam alikum wa rahmatullahi wabarkatuhu,
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Asslumalikum waRahmatullahi Wabarkatuhu.
Sir
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Good move,book all anti social elements for peaceful atmosphere in DK and Udupi, Let normal people live peacefully
first Police is showing its presence .....who were dead while processions and stone pelting by BD and other third class organizations .....
in fact Muslims dont pelt the stones or cow heads ...we have seen this in Shimoga and other places and as well as Bantwal ..where a viral video shows the reality ....
if P.O.L.I.C.E over come from its % pressure , then we can see some light of peace in the district .....
Asslamoalykum
Sir I have Ready passport and I am very excited to do khidmaat e hujjaze Kiran but I want you to pay money but I promise to you when I earn some money I will return your money. Thank you
Please
Well done police. Should punish this gundaas.
When Muslims do their job taught by prophet Muhammad pbuh ... EXPECT ALLAHs help. Never lose trust in ALLAH..
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