New Delhi, Jun 26: With looming uncertainty and no likelihood of an early economic recovery in sight, the bull run in gold prices is here to stay. Analysts expect domestic futures to touch ₹ 52,000 per 10 grams in the next few months, till Diwali.
Experts also predict that with the current trend, gold may reach historic levels around ₹ 65,000 per 10 grams in two years time.
Futures of the yellow metal have touched new highs in India off late. On Wednesday, the August contract of gold futures on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) touched an all-time high of Rs 48,589 per 10 grams.
It has, however corrected since and is currently trading at ₹ 48,057 on the MCX, higher by ₹ 116 or 0.24 per cent from its previous close.
Market experts are of the view that both domestic and international gold prices are yet not done breaching records and will touch new highs in days to come.
The resurgence in the number of new cases of coronavirus infection across the globe has added to the uncertainty and fears.
Speaking to media persons, Anuj Gupta, DVP for Commodities and Currencies Research at Angel Broking, noted: "In short term we are expecting it to reach ₹ 48,800-49,000 and for long term, we are expecting ₹ 51,000-Rs 52,000 till Diwali."
On the prices in the international market, he said that it may reach around $1,790 per ounce in the near term from the current levels of $1,762 and the long term, it is likely to be around $1,820-1,850 per ounce.
Gupta noted that with International Monetary Fund's (IMF) latest downward revision of economic outlook, both global and of India, and the rising number of cases and high demand by gold exchange traded funds (ETF) have led to this record breaking rise in gold prices.
Covid-19 battered India's economy is projected to contract by 4.5 per cent this fiscal, according to the IMF and the global output is projected to decline by 4.9 per cent in 2020, 1.9 percentage points below the IMF's April forecast.
Hareesh V, Head of Commodity Research at Geojit Financial Services, said that gold's safe haven appeal will remain on the higher side as there is little hope of a quick global economic recovery amid rising virus cases across the world.
"Increased geopolitical instability and an under-performing dollar also lift the metal's sentiments," he added.
According to Prathamesh Mallya, AVP Research, Non-Agro Commodities & Currencies at Angel Broking, said that with the global output to contract and the economies in a deeper recession than most anticipate, gold as an asset class is a safe bet for investors across the globe.
"Although, the physical demand has declined drastically due to the restrictions and lockdowns, the activity of global central banks and their net purchases of gold signal that uncertainty will continue for most of 2020," he said.
He was also of the view that in the international market price of the metal may move towards $1,850 per ounce and in the domestic market it is likely to move higher towards Rs 50,000 per 10 grams.
"The investment demand as seen in the net additions of ETF holdings also signals that gold will shine for a much longer time even if the pandemic is under control. Till then, keep buying gold, if not in physical form, but in digital form," Mallya added.
Industry insiders like Aditya Pethe, Director, WHP Jewellers said: "I basically feel that the current trend for the gold is bullish and for the coming next 2 years, it is likely to move upwards. No one can predict the exact price as currently the trend is on rise but it might change after 6 months. In general for the coming 6 months to one year, the gold prices are likely to cross $2,000 which comes to roughly Rs 55,000. For a temporary moment it may reduce, basically fluctuate as well but overall trend of gold is going to be bullish."
On his part, Ishu Datwani, Founder, Anmol Jewellers said: "Yes - it's very likely that the gold price could easily go up to Rs 60,000-Rs 65,000 in the next two years. There is also a possibility of it going up even more."
"A lot of banks have been buying gold and there is also a possibility that the Indian rupee will depreciate against the dollar. This and geopolitical reasons will cause bullishness in gold."
Comments
RSS is the only enemy of India.
RSS should be allowed to wear pants. They look like mentally backward people.
Muslims will manage to get back RSS weapons.
Interesting to hear the jokes of kothi Ann...
Sanghi goon out of India.....staying in Buddha land and disrupting the unity of Indians.....soon should be behind bars....jai hind....
@Naren
Don't think that staying in singapore. And giving communal lines. Will get away from this. Ur each and every comment might be monitoring.
Once police catch u, then ur life will be behind the bars.
Think before u com
@Naren
Don't think that staying in singapore. And giving communal lines. Will get away from this. Ur each and every comment might be monitoring.
Once police catch u, then ur life will be behind the bars.
Think before u com
@Naren
WHY ??? THEY DONT HAVE GUN OF THEIR OWN. I THINK EVEN NAREN TOO WANTS THE GUN. HE ALSO DONT HAVE. POOR CHEDDY?
Donkey never disobedient to its master... whatever loaded on it, it will take...
Similarly there are few human beings despite lot of evidence of the cheddis involvement in deception... They never want to accept the REALITY of their deception and want to continue like the donkeys take their load.. with their mind filled with lies.
We say wake up guys.. look outside the cheddi installed software in your mind and use your God given intellect.
An intelligent human being will understand when shown with proof... and many times cheddis were caught of their dirty activities of doing their evil acts and blaming others...
Karkera exposed their evil acts...
Writers too exposed them
Bomb blast in their own cell
Saffron IT cell exposed with their fake display of nationalism
JNU video tampered
cheddi wearing burka caught red handed last week...
Cow business exposed too
Pakistan flag hositing too caught red handed
Fake FB account too caught red handed...
Only God knows how much bombs they keep in their own temples to create unrest in the society...
Naren, you must be Godse's elder brother....calm down guy....we all know what is RSS all about.....
No wonder. Over and again they openly admitted that they are the manufaturers of terror factories.
Jihadis are having honey moon period as it is khan grace govt as this govt licks their feet ....but everyday is not Sunday ....if jihadis are so powerful...they must directly fight ...not from behind ....if jihadis were so powerful they would have ruled whole world thru oic ...but looking at their mujra infront of Israel only we can make out hahaha....if sangh decides jihadist forces shud run for cover like how they ran in gujarath and muzzaffar Nagar ...we are showing maximum restraint becoz we honour our constitution and respect rule of land....bholo Bharath mata ki jai ..jai sangh parivar ....
We already carry it inside our jockeys......what about chaddeez...if they don't have then why they are wearing it..
.
@Brother Venki Cracked a good Joke.Joke of the Millennium.
Do we have another sample like VENKI in India.Please let us know.We need to send to the Kargil area to entertain our Soldiers.So that they can relax their mind by listening such Jokes.
G
What a funny guys they have with them. Mangana Kaiyalli Manikya...
Give them rights to allow Weapons as well allow them to Shoot who ever they wants.
Aur kya kya chayiye? Ek lambi list karo aur khadey hojao line mey.. Dharpok insaan.. LOL .
Some are getting Y guards, some are for Z guards.. Some need x guards.. Until when you chaddis will keep begging??
Hahaha. Saale Darrpok. No doubt they are criminals. Because they are always afraid of death. Noorukala iliyagi baalokkinta mooru kaala huliyagi baalode melu.
Someone was barking before that 60% of the police are from RRSS....
Where are they NOW ... why dont they Protect Your own men even after we citizens pay from our tax money for their jobs.... U cheddis are useless in taking responsibility to protect the society and now they dont even able to protect their own members..
Are the 60% turned their hearts and became good and thought of helping people rather than continuing supporting the cheddi evils... if it is, then it will be good for the people and the society...
Dear,
Please now itself list out your other demands, we will support for police commissioner permission.
Hope your request is to only for your so called brahmin community ?
Disaster, dont forget that they killed father of nation, Mahatma Gandhi, cant trust them at all....
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