Mumbai, Feb 9: Given the slow progress on the ongoing Rs 38,000-crore capacity expansion at the four largest metro airports, and also the surging traffic, the snaky queues will continue at least till 2023, warns a report.
The four largest airports -- New Delhi, Mumbai, Bengaluru and Hyderabad -- handle more than half of the traffic and are operating at 130 per cent of their installed capacity. These airports are under a record Rs 38,000-crore capex but the capacity will not come up before end-2023, says a Crisil report.
“With the dip in traffic growth largely behind, we expect congestion at the top four airports of New Delhi, Mumbai, Bengaluru and Hyderabad, which handle more than half of the load, to continue till about FY23,” says the report.
Already these airports are operating at over 130 percent of installed capacity, and the ongoing healthy traffic growth this operating rate is expected to rise further in the next 12 months.
“Operationalising of capacities in the following two fiscals will bring down utilisation levels albeit still high at over 90 per cent by fiscal 2023 and that is despite an unprecedented Rs 38,000 crore capex being undertaken by the operators of these airports over five fiscals 2020-24,” says the report.
Despite this unprecedented capex that is debt-funded, ratings are likely to be stable given the strong cash flows expected due to healthy traffic growth, low project risks associated with the capex and improving regulatory environment, notes the report.
“Capacity at these four airports will increase a cumulative 65 per cent to 228 million annually (from 138 million now) by fiscal 2023. However, traffic is expected to grow strong at up to 10 per cent per annum over the same period. Since additional capacities will become operational in phases only by fiscal 2023, high passenger growth will add to congestion till then,” warn the report.
High utilisation will ride on pent-up demand (accumulated in 2019 as traffic was impacted with the grounding of Jet Airways) and one-off issues with new aircraft of certain airlines.
Further impetus will also come from improving connectivity to lower-tier cities and reducing fare difference between air and rail. Increasing footfalls at airports provide a leg-up to non-aero streams such as advertising, rentals, food and beverage and parking, which comprise around half of the revenue of airports already.
These are expected to grow strongly at over 10-12 per cent, also supported by higher monetisation avenue coming along with current capex. The other half of revenue (aero revenue) is an entitlement approved by the regulator, providing a pre-determined, fixed return over the asset base and a pass-through of costs.
Aero revenue is also expected to get a bump up during fiscals 2022-24, when a new tariff order for airports is likely. Overall aggregate cash flows are likely to double by fiscal 2024 and provide a healthy cushion against servicing of debt contracted for capex, the report concludes.
Comments
The day is not too long to fight for Muslim Freedom/Indipendent - India will FIRE....
That means bakht indian are easily fooled by their cheddi leaders from knowing the TRUTH of WORSHIPING ONE GOD... (NA TASYA PRATIMA ASTI) and these cheddis very easily CONTROL these IGNOrANTS of their GOD given LIFE and BLIND them from understanding their own religion .... Swami AGNIVESH is telling the TRUTH but cheddis blinded the Bhakts so shakuningly that they ignored truth and and stand with the cheddis cos of their religious IGNORANT... Learn from AGNIWESH, cow is not your mother or God its an ANIMAL created by ONE MERCIFUL GOD for human sustenance thru milk or meat... Human beings are an intelligent creation of GOD, if they dont try to know this ONE GOD who created all that exists, then they are really easily FOOLED by the evils of the Society. Wake up guys dont be FOOLS of our time
Yea there is no wonder if one day may afgan talaban enters india to sacrifice their life to protect muslims from crime of saffron talaban killings of innocent muslims.
Well said Mr. Taroor. You are totally right. Even its dung has value also.
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