New Delhi, Jun 26: With looming uncertainty and no likelihood of an early economic recovery in sight, the bull run in gold prices is here to stay. Analysts expect domestic futures to touch ₹ 52,000 per 10 grams in the next few months, till Diwali.
Experts also predict that with the current trend, gold may reach historic levels around ₹ 65,000 per 10 grams in two years time.
Futures of the yellow metal have touched new highs in India off late. On Wednesday, the August contract of gold futures on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) touched an all-time high of Rs 48,589 per 10 grams.
It has, however corrected since and is currently trading at ₹ 48,057 on the MCX, higher by ₹ 116 or 0.24 per cent from its previous close.
Market experts are of the view that both domestic and international gold prices are yet not done breaching records and will touch new highs in days to come.
The resurgence in the number of new cases of coronavirus infection across the globe has added to the uncertainty and fears.
Speaking to media persons, Anuj Gupta, DVP for Commodities and Currencies Research at Angel Broking, noted: "In short term we are expecting it to reach ₹ 48,800-49,000 and for long term, we are expecting ₹ 51,000-Rs 52,000 till Diwali."
On the prices in the international market, he said that it may reach around $1,790 per ounce in the near term from the current levels of $1,762 and the long term, it is likely to be around $1,820-1,850 per ounce.
Gupta noted that with International Monetary Fund's (IMF) latest downward revision of economic outlook, both global and of India, and the rising number of cases and high demand by gold exchange traded funds (ETF) have led to this record breaking rise in gold prices.
Covid-19 battered India's economy is projected to contract by 4.5 per cent this fiscal, according to the IMF and the global output is projected to decline by 4.9 per cent in 2020, 1.9 percentage points below the IMF's April forecast.
Hareesh V, Head of Commodity Research at Geojit Financial Services, said that gold's safe haven appeal will remain on the higher side as there is little hope of a quick global economic recovery amid rising virus cases across the world.
"Increased geopolitical instability and an under-performing dollar also lift the metal's sentiments," he added.
According to Prathamesh Mallya, AVP Research, Non-Agro Commodities & Currencies at Angel Broking, said that with the global output to contract and the economies in a deeper recession than most anticipate, gold as an asset class is a safe bet for investors across the globe.
"Although, the physical demand has declined drastically due to the restrictions and lockdowns, the activity of global central banks and their net purchases of gold signal that uncertainty will continue for most of 2020," he said.
He was also of the view that in the international market price of the metal may move towards $1,850 per ounce and in the domestic market it is likely to move higher towards Rs 50,000 per 10 grams.
"The investment demand as seen in the net additions of ETF holdings also signals that gold will shine for a much longer time even if the pandemic is under control. Till then, keep buying gold, if not in physical form, but in digital form," Mallya added.
Industry insiders like Aditya Pethe, Director, WHP Jewellers said: "I basically feel that the current trend for the gold is bullish and for the coming next 2 years, it is likely to move upwards. No one can predict the exact price as currently the trend is on rise but it might change after 6 months. In general for the coming 6 months to one year, the gold prices are likely to cross $2,000 which comes to roughly Rs 55,000. For a temporary moment it may reduce, basically fluctuate as well but overall trend of gold is going to be bullish."
On his part, Ishu Datwani, Founder, Anmol Jewellers said: "Yes - it's very likely that the gold price could easily go up to Rs 60,000-Rs 65,000 in the next two years. There is also a possibility of it going up even more."
"A lot of banks have been buying gold and there is also a possibility that the Indian rupee will depreciate against the dollar. This and geopolitical reasons will cause bullishness in gold."
Gurumurthy, one among the five Dalits attacked on July 10 in Shantipura colony, was in fact one of the founders of Hindu Jagarana Vedike's branch in Kunduru village near here. Four years ago, he conducted an event in the village organising all Dalits.
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Once the cow became sacred and the Broken Men continued to eat beef, there was no other fate left for the Broken Men except to be treated unfit for association, i.e., as Untouchables. There was a time when the ancestors of the present day Untouchables were not Untouchables vis-a-vis the villagers but were merely Broken Men, no more and no less, and the only difference between them and the villagers was that they belonged to differ
Naren and Viren.....if you dont like the journalism of CD why waste your time here....Go and read any RSS note books...you can learn more hatred....and Burn your GAaf........and then Use Itch Guard...
Hey has keep there women in burkha ha ha
Days to come (In-Shaa Allah) all the LIES and Deceptions of Hindutuva terrorist will come out.
The Dalit should not fear in exposing their Discriminations... cheddis hold outs are getting fired from the bottom... and they already started feeling the burn when muslims started to oppose their discrimination. We Muslims & Dalits should unite to fight their discrimination agenda... We Muslims know their hatred propaganda.. but WE believe ALLAH will take care of their evil agenda. Till now we know many things are exposed. When it is out of their hands they resort to acts like Cowards like killing.
ya ya .. CD digest journo ( i dont think he has passed journalism course ) has seen and was seeing Beeef eating of HJV ... cmon guys .. right sensible articles ...
may be this cow has got married to bull
The same Gujarat dalit was used against Muslims in Godhra communal riots. Big fishes supplied all the weapons to Dalit prior riots and Dalits used that opportunity more than big Fish's expectations. Thousands of lives irrespective women, child, old age, youths, teens burned everywhere and thousands of rapes, loot since law and order tied up by Gujarat CM.
World beef exports - Ranking of countries.............
1. India
2. Australia
3. Brazil
4. USA
I think it is better change their religion to Islam....where they would get desired respect and dignity....there is no upper and lower caste in it....Well come guys!
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