New Delhi, Jun 26: With looming uncertainty and no likelihood of an early economic recovery in sight, the bull run in gold prices is here to stay. Analysts expect domestic futures to touch ₹ 52,000 per 10 grams in the next few months, till Diwali.
Experts also predict that with the current trend, gold may reach historic levels around ₹ 65,000 per 10 grams in two years time.
Futures of the yellow metal have touched new highs in India off late. On Wednesday, the August contract of gold futures on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) touched an all-time high of Rs 48,589 per 10 grams.
It has, however corrected since and is currently trading at ₹ 48,057 on the MCX, higher by ₹ 116 or 0.24 per cent from its previous close.
Market experts are of the view that both domestic and international gold prices are yet not done breaching records and will touch new highs in days to come.
The resurgence in the number of new cases of coronavirus infection across the globe has added to the uncertainty and fears.
Speaking to media persons, Anuj Gupta, DVP for Commodities and Currencies Research at Angel Broking, noted: "In short term we are expecting it to reach ₹ 48,800-49,000 and for long term, we are expecting ₹ 51,000-Rs 52,000 till Diwali."
On the prices in the international market, he said that it may reach around $1,790 per ounce in the near term from the current levels of $1,762 and the long term, it is likely to be around $1,820-1,850 per ounce.
Gupta noted that with International Monetary Fund's (IMF) latest downward revision of economic outlook, both global and of India, and the rising number of cases and high demand by gold exchange traded funds (ETF) have led to this record breaking rise in gold prices.
Covid-19 battered India's economy is projected to contract by 4.5 per cent this fiscal, according to the IMF and the global output is projected to decline by 4.9 per cent in 2020, 1.9 percentage points below the IMF's April forecast.
Hareesh V, Head of Commodity Research at Geojit Financial Services, said that gold's safe haven appeal will remain on the higher side as there is little hope of a quick global economic recovery amid rising virus cases across the world.
"Increased geopolitical instability and an under-performing dollar also lift the metal's sentiments," he added.
According to Prathamesh Mallya, AVP Research, Non-Agro Commodities & Currencies at Angel Broking, said that with the global output to contract and the economies in a deeper recession than most anticipate, gold as an asset class is a safe bet for investors across the globe.
"Although, the physical demand has declined drastically due to the restrictions and lockdowns, the activity of global central banks and their net purchases of gold signal that uncertainty will continue for most of 2020," he said.
He was also of the view that in the international market price of the metal may move towards $1,850 per ounce and in the domestic market it is likely to move higher towards Rs 50,000 per 10 grams.
"The investment demand as seen in the net additions of ETF holdings also signals that gold will shine for a much longer time even if the pandemic is under control. Till then, keep buying gold, if not in physical form, but in digital form," Mallya added.
Industry insiders like Aditya Pethe, Director, WHP Jewellers said: "I basically feel that the current trend for the gold is bullish and for the coming next 2 years, it is likely to move upwards. No one can predict the exact price as currently the trend is on rise but it might change after 6 months. In general for the coming 6 months to one year, the gold prices are likely to cross $2,000 which comes to roughly Rs 55,000. For a temporary moment it may reduce, basically fluctuate as well but overall trend of gold is going to be bullish."
On his part, Ishu Datwani, Founder, Anmol Jewellers said: "Yes - it's very likely that the gold price could easily go up to Rs 60,000-Rs 65,000 in the next two years. There is also a possibility of it going up even more."
"A lot of banks have been buying gold and there is also a possibility that the Indian rupee will depreciate against the dollar. This and geopolitical reasons will cause bullishness in gold."
Comments
Is she not liable to be arrested for making such HATE statements and offering rewards for killing somebody. Is the police sleeping?
He should be crazy, kidnapping her and for what ?
She is shouting to get the government support to start a new business, like ramdev established patanjali company by using politics mantra. \Ghanda hain par dhanda hain\".
People are using Zakir Bhai s name to get the international attention on them. You will find some Non-Muslims and Muslims struggler against Zakir Bhai.
Zakir Bhai name is enough to get the bread and butter for all strugler."
She is fit to be Feku / dakus wife....
WHAT A HORRIBLE WOMEN
WHY DON'T YOU DO IT YOURSELF, YOU CAN SAVE 50 LAKH AND GET 15 LAKH FROM MR'S = 110%'S. YOU CAN BECOME A HERO.
WHY THIS CRAZY WOMEN, COMMUNAL HARMONY DESTROYER LEFT OUT TO STAY OUT OF BARS?
WHY THE GOVT BECOMING DEAF AND DUMB ON HER STATEMENT AND OFFERING MONEY TO KILL SOME HUMAN?
IN WHAT WAY AND PRACTICE SHE BECOME A SADHVI?
Whos is Sadhvi Prachi......Desh Bakth?
Manga kayyali Manikya Kotre ide gathi
We Love n support DR.ZN
Now every Peace loving Hindu should stand united against her and denounce her terrorizing speech. Say boldly she does not represent any peace loving Hindus.
Hinduism does not reflect in her. If people like her continues to live, they then spoil the Hinduism or the religion what they represent.
If the government is fair, they should take immediate action by arresting her and prosecuting under law of the land.
Now there is no any surprise for any peace loving person declares a bounty of 1crore for head brainless head, if the government does not take any action against her.
Oh peace loving Hindus and Muslims be united, live together follow whatever your religion says, but please use your valued brain for understanding the true teaching of God.
Look at her .........like shit....she represents. A religion...?
Again the drain is open.......may be because of rain...
Need some good man to please her....so she is satisfied with something.....
Dear Majoosi sect please identity yourself & Hussaini Tiger organization address before placing 15 lakh on Dr Naik. secondly implement your Ayatullah fatwa & award on Rushdi.
Sadhvi is on drug. She has no capacity to give birth to baby how can she behead someone like Dr. Naik. Too funny.
We need organization to file criminal case against these organizations & individuals scums in the court.
A Killer / Murderer in Sadhvi's clothing?
What are the criminal charges for supari killing?
Can police arrest her and put behind the bars.
VHP and its allies are feeding and nurturing few lunatic creatures in its terror camps and utilize them in such cirumstances which becomes mockery every time they tries. Arnav Goswami must be a frustrated joker at this moment.
look at her face... looks like an ugly pig.... thiti kaaladalli naayi tara bogalabeke???? I don know whether ths pig knjows d speeling of d word TErrorist,,, forget abt d meaning.....
This is th lab test for BJP govt hope Indian home minister n law ministers will respect our constitution and they will take firm action against this crap sadvi. Trace out, from where she got fund to announce such big amount.Either may rss or israely grours are supporting to spoil peace in INDIA.
Such persons should not alive in India.should hang in public.
JAI HIND!
Lie and lie more. Taqiiyya artists all of you
Now what shall we call this? Peace lovers? Is this not terrorism. Wher is arnab and party now, dont they have guts to question or interrogate her why she is promoting terror and hatred in peoples mind and encourage killing??!!!!
See her ugly face ..did she ever seen 10k rupee in her life ..first spend some amount in beauty parlour.
Zakir Naik s head is more costlier than kohinoor diamond. just by wearing orange dress an uncultured woman will not become sadhvi.
There are many scholars got defeated by zakir bhai in debate. They have tried all their scholars after getting defeat they are using terrorism weopons against him.
It shows their impotency .
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