New Delhi, Jun 26: With looming uncertainty and no likelihood of an early economic recovery in sight, the bull run in gold prices is here to stay. Analysts expect domestic futures to touch ₹ 52,000 per 10 grams in the next few months, till Diwali.
Experts also predict that with the current trend, gold may reach historic levels around ₹ 65,000 per 10 grams in two years time.
Futures of the yellow metal have touched new highs in India off late. On Wednesday, the August contract of gold futures on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) touched an all-time high of Rs 48,589 per 10 grams.
It has, however corrected since and is currently trading at ₹ 48,057 on the MCX, higher by ₹ 116 or 0.24 per cent from its previous close.
Market experts are of the view that both domestic and international gold prices are yet not done breaching records and will touch new highs in days to come.
The resurgence in the number of new cases of coronavirus infection across the globe has added to the uncertainty and fears.
Speaking to media persons, Anuj Gupta, DVP for Commodities and Currencies Research at Angel Broking, noted: "In short term we are expecting it to reach ₹ 48,800-49,000 and for long term, we are expecting ₹ 51,000-Rs 52,000 till Diwali."
On the prices in the international market, he said that it may reach around $1,790 per ounce in the near term from the current levels of $1,762 and the long term, it is likely to be around $1,820-1,850 per ounce.
Gupta noted that with International Monetary Fund's (IMF) latest downward revision of economic outlook, both global and of India, and the rising number of cases and high demand by gold exchange traded funds (ETF) have led to this record breaking rise in gold prices.
Covid-19 battered India's economy is projected to contract by 4.5 per cent this fiscal, according to the IMF and the global output is projected to decline by 4.9 per cent in 2020, 1.9 percentage points below the IMF's April forecast.
Hareesh V, Head of Commodity Research at Geojit Financial Services, said that gold's safe haven appeal will remain on the higher side as there is little hope of a quick global economic recovery amid rising virus cases across the world.
"Increased geopolitical instability and an under-performing dollar also lift the metal's sentiments," he added.
According to Prathamesh Mallya, AVP Research, Non-Agro Commodities & Currencies at Angel Broking, said that with the global output to contract and the economies in a deeper recession than most anticipate, gold as an asset class is a safe bet for investors across the globe.
"Although, the physical demand has declined drastically due to the restrictions and lockdowns, the activity of global central banks and their net purchases of gold signal that uncertainty will continue for most of 2020," he said.
He was also of the view that in the international market price of the metal may move towards $1,850 per ounce and in the domestic market it is likely to move higher towards Rs 50,000 per 10 grams.
"The investment demand as seen in the net additions of ETF holdings also signals that gold will shine for a much longer time even if the pandemic is under control. Till then, keep buying gold, if not in physical form, but in digital form," Mallya added.
Industry insiders like Aditya Pethe, Director, WHP Jewellers said: "I basically feel that the current trend for the gold is bullish and for the coming next 2 years, it is likely to move upwards. No one can predict the exact price as currently the trend is on rise but it might change after 6 months. In general for the coming 6 months to one year, the gold prices are likely to cross $2,000 which comes to roughly Rs 55,000. For a temporary moment it may reduce, basically fluctuate as well but overall trend of gold is going to be bullish."
On his part, Ishu Datwani, Founder, Anmol Jewellers said: "Yes - it's very likely that the gold price could easily go up to Rs 60,000-Rs 65,000 in the next two years. There is also a possibility of it going up even more."
"A lot of banks have been buying gold and there is also a possibility that the Indian rupee will depreciate against the dollar. This and geopolitical reasons will cause bullishness in gold."
Comments
You can do nothing. Because your countdown has already started.
Any harsh step towards Hindus living in UAE may impose long-term hazard on Indian muslims... therefore think twice before taking any foolish action. Don't think RSS is just a group of robe wearing sadhus. Their reach is beyond your imagination. Jai Hind.
Terror attacks of RSS:-
1- 1999 killing of Graham Staines
2- 2002 Gujarat riots
3- 2007 Samjhauta Express bombings
4- 2007 Ajmer Dargah attack
5- 2008 Malegaon blasts
6- 2007 Mecca Masjid bombing
Saffron terror is a neologism used to describe acts of violence motivated by Hindu nationalism. The acts are allegedly perpetrated by members, or alleged members, of Hindu nationalist organizations close to Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh (RSS) and Abhinav Bharat.
RSS is an anti national, saffaron terrorist organisation. Many are convicted for bombings and killings in various part of India. They even do hate speech in public. As the majority of north indians are illiterate, they will fall for rss ideology. They will make believe these illiterate people. As the south indian people are literate, rss lacks ground support in southern states of india, where the economy is far better than rest of india.
RSS never do fund collections from any comapnies or sympathizers. Do you anything about RSS?
RSS has strong base in UAE. I know many people who are working for RSS. Govt. is aware of this fact but a little bit tolerant because RSS respects local laws, rules & traditions. No harm to UAE integrity, law & order.
RSS Businessmen already in key position in gulf countries and hindus forms a substantial poulationin gulf countries will soon take over gulf countries and arab sheiks will ride camels..Jai hind
Mr. Kamath, remember one thing that each drop of water will make big ocean....we as muslims, small percentage in India, will do our level best to see these RSS supporters to perish....
UAE Indian expatriates take initiate and teach lesson for this companies. They hire only RSS trained persons and funding who against Muslims. So, every person should take initiate and there is many alternatives. \hani hani goodidare halla\".
Spread even around Emirati who understand."
People have power if they wish by not supporting RSS and boycotting those who fund them.
NO WORRY, Truth will prevail ,and evil will perish soon.
always do good to all
Sorry NMC me going to GMC or thumbay hospital in sha Allah if needed and UAE exchange me n my relatives are opting al ansari or al razouki exchange.They also give best draft rates. Sorry by funding or approaching rss thugs u r putting axe on ur own knees in shaAllah. May Allah perish you.
my dear rss friends dont come here you will have to eat beef with other your friends because all of your friends eat beef in cafeteriai in uae
Now y do u need rich gulf countries Muslims Money!!! No objection now?
There is no POWER nor MIGHT except with ALLAH....
Whatever ways ISLAM haters try to plan... Muslims know very well they will never succeed playing with the followers of Divine religion (ISLAM).
They did lot of deceptions & FOOLED many. But their Evil deeds were caught & exposed, but Most of the people are still sleeping to their deception.
Dear RSS Cadres...
LEARN ISLAM independently not from cheddis.. Dont fall trap to RSS defined islam which is deception to make you follow your leaders to HELL if U dont recognize the REAL TRUE GOD who created U, ME and all those existed.
Good luck for you new plans, which U will be able to deceive many of your Unthinking followers. and WE Muslims know, ALLAH is most merciful... and he can spare U & allow YOU to play this GAME. But YOU will never succeed to overcome or wipe ISLAM. Its a Challenge many ISLAM haters tried and LOST. RSS your fate will be the SAME. Dont play with the Divine religion ISLAM.
Dream only, RSS cannot do anything Dubai. Dubai is Islamic country.
RSS men and Sadwi's were involved in many bomb blast in India.
RSS was the main organization behind demolition of Babri Masjid
RSS was the main organization behind every riots in India
RSS was the main organization who organized Gujrat carnage and killed around 2000 innocent Indians.
RSS was the main organization which is organized riots in Muzafferabad and killed many muslims.
RSS was the main organization is funding it's goonda outfits like Bhajrang Dal , ABVP etc.
there are many many incidents we can make here about RSS which is dead against of Minorities in India.
So UAE Indians should ban it's funding hand from this gulf countries by banning their business places.
I swear I never ever go to RSS backed banks any more. I promise.
Can you all Promise??????
RSS and ISIS are same, they both got same idea of dividing people...dangerous for human kind....both are being taken care of by Zionists.....tooooooo dangerous.....
Earned name,fame and richness from Muslim countries and funding for the anti Muslim organisations. What a ungratefulness.
All knew about these tycoons.
ZEE aflan tv channel was the first step to enter Middle east to sympathize RSS through bollywood movies, Bhajan and RSS imposed hindu culture. Now they openly enter by strong hold business and money. They will ruin some if UAE not act immediately.
Mr.Nishan,RSS member cannot do the mosad work becouse RSS member's are waring chaddi.
but one thing they are using money from gulf country to killing innocent musslims also a bank giving all commison to RSS i came to know from one of hindu friend working here in kuwait.
So it means they need Funds from Muslims countries, how pathetic, How can you take money from Tycoon's who are beneficiaries of Muslims in Gulf countries and earned their money from this community, Please try some other source!!
All middle East countries should ban those companies which funding terror organisation RSS have link with it. In Saudi Arabia, also some companies funding RSS
Islamic state may take help from RSS since IS is creation of Israel.
Alarm for UAE authority and other Middle eastern countries.
Hope Indian expatriate and Human rights will take this issue up to UAE authority before too late.
R.S.S Outfit engaged several Terrorist activities against Muslims, hence Indian Muslims considered R.S.S is Terrorist Organization. The Muslim organizations around Gulf regions should come forward and chal out plant to finish /pull out R.S.S functionaries from Gulf region. Also Organizations must take necessary steps to educate Rulers, Government authorities and Gulf countries citizens about the hidden agenda of R.S.S and its ally with ISRAEL.
Israel using RSS cadres to spy Gulf countries since Mossad cannot enter GCC. It's decision by Israel and RSS acting accordingly.
RSS go at any level to disturb Middle East peace and killing Muslims.
Middle east authorities must act before too late.
Most of RSS cadres trained by Mossad and frequently visiting Israel through other passport.
BR Shetty is a great patriot and philanthropist.
CD is unleashing a series of articles to create :awareness\ against RSS. but no publicity is bad publicity. U cnnot do any harm to mighty RSS"
Would like to see if they can do a \path sanchalan\" in cheddies and swords on Dubai streets."
Whatever you do, you cannot move an inch without the almighty's permission. HE is the best planner.
In Dubai, everything is possible.
Preaching man made religion - what does benefit.
Compare how many people accepted Hinduism V/s how many Hindus accepted Islam and Christianity.
Analyze the truth.
Exert whatever your efforts, truth will not fail, God's religion has to reign.
I heard that the commissions paid to UAE exchange goes directly RSS account. please use Alrajhi bank to send your money...
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