New Delhi, Jun 26: With looming uncertainty and no likelihood of an early economic recovery in sight, the bull run in gold prices is here to stay. Analysts expect domestic futures to touch ₹ 52,000 per 10 grams in the next few months, till Diwali.
Experts also predict that with the current trend, gold may reach historic levels around ₹ 65,000 per 10 grams in two years time.
Futures of the yellow metal have touched new highs in India off late. On Wednesday, the August contract of gold futures on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) touched an all-time high of Rs 48,589 per 10 grams.
It has, however corrected since and is currently trading at ₹ 48,057 on the MCX, higher by ₹ 116 or 0.24 per cent from its previous close.
Market experts are of the view that both domestic and international gold prices are yet not done breaching records and will touch new highs in days to come.
The resurgence in the number of new cases of coronavirus infection across the globe has added to the uncertainty and fears.
Speaking to media persons, Anuj Gupta, DVP for Commodities and Currencies Research at Angel Broking, noted: "In short term we are expecting it to reach ₹ 48,800-49,000 and for long term, we are expecting ₹ 51,000-Rs 52,000 till Diwali."
On the prices in the international market, he said that it may reach around $1,790 per ounce in the near term from the current levels of $1,762 and the long term, it is likely to be around $1,820-1,850 per ounce.
Gupta noted that with International Monetary Fund's (IMF) latest downward revision of economic outlook, both global and of India, and the rising number of cases and high demand by gold exchange traded funds (ETF) have led to this record breaking rise in gold prices.
Covid-19 battered India's economy is projected to contract by 4.5 per cent this fiscal, according to the IMF and the global output is projected to decline by 4.9 per cent in 2020, 1.9 percentage points below the IMF's April forecast.
Hareesh V, Head of Commodity Research at Geojit Financial Services, said that gold's safe haven appeal will remain on the higher side as there is little hope of a quick global economic recovery amid rising virus cases across the world.
"Increased geopolitical instability and an under-performing dollar also lift the metal's sentiments," he added.
According to Prathamesh Mallya, AVP Research, Non-Agro Commodities & Currencies at Angel Broking, said that with the global output to contract and the economies in a deeper recession than most anticipate, gold as an asset class is a safe bet for investors across the globe.
"Although, the physical demand has declined drastically due to the restrictions and lockdowns, the activity of global central banks and their net purchases of gold signal that uncertainty will continue for most of 2020," he said.
He was also of the view that in the international market price of the metal may move towards $1,850 per ounce and in the domestic market it is likely to move higher towards Rs 50,000 per 10 grams.
"The investment demand as seen in the net additions of ETF holdings also signals that gold will shine for a much longer time even if the pandemic is under control. Till then, keep buying gold, if not in physical form, but in digital form," Mallya added.
Industry insiders like Aditya Pethe, Director, WHP Jewellers said: "I basically feel that the current trend for the gold is bullish and for the coming next 2 years, it is likely to move upwards. No one can predict the exact price as currently the trend is on rise but it might change after 6 months. In general for the coming 6 months to one year, the gold prices are likely to cross $2,000 which comes to roughly Rs 55,000. For a temporary moment it may reduce, basically fluctuate as well but overall trend of gold is going to be bullish."
On his part, Ishu Datwani, Founder, Anmol Jewellers said: "Yes - it's very likely that the gold price could easily go up to Rs 60,000-Rs 65,000 in the next two years. There is also a possibility of it going up even more."
"A lot of banks have been buying gold and there is also a possibility that the Indian rupee will depreciate against the dollar. This and geopolitical reasons will cause bullishness in gold."
Comments
ANDHA KANOON
We are GHULAM to westerners, We ban consumption of BEEF in India, but, we want to EXPORT millions of tons of BEEF for foreigners. We ban consumption of BEEF in India because consumption of Muslims, But, we want to give special license to serve BEEF to foreigners.
Congress fought against the westerner's Ghulamgiri, Now, BJP want to become GHULAMS again.
The holy god cow sleep and wander in Road side and Bhaktas and rich people stay in highfi AC Room . What a utter stupidity.
BEEF BAN ONLY BECAUSE MUSLIMS CONSUME IT MORE.. NOT COZ OF ITS THEIR GOW MAAATA......
FOREIGNERS CAN KILL GOW MAATA.......
WHAAT WHAAAT A MAAATA IT IS......... OMG
hindu brothers realise the bjp politics.... they just want to be in big chairs .. no sentiments on hindu gods or goddesses......
can foreigners eat their mother. (cow)
my dear vhp partiots, you see cow god will be eating by foreigners,
you wake up otherwise all cows will be finished from india
Couple of questions coming in mind....
1. Who is going to slaughter cow?
2. What you will do with not sold out cow meat?
In future foreigners can eat God mother in Hariyana....oh what is this double standard....God mother must be angry now....BJP is responsible for it...next election I doubt they get any seat.....God mother's curse will prevail...on Modi sarkar...
Wha wha wta a drama by bjp ap bik baaarrr modiji ki cow biryani..
were is now bd & &vhp rss this is we call intolerence how they give the special licince to cook a holly cow biryani ......
one who india not allowed to eat cow and killed fr that reason
One who coming from out of the country they wil eat//
Kaate g tho khayega na............License ke saath marega kya........apne maa ko
This is the beginning of admitting their fault.
Beef lovers, just join the foreigners as their guest Or their host.
Beef consumption will now increase than before.
They are afraid of foreign income.
BJP did stupidity, mess and cleaning it themselves.
It means their love towards their Go Matha is just a politics, in front of money, no value for the mother.
Hum kare tho balathkaar....Aur aap kare tho chamathkaar
this is incredible law from bjp,,hahahahahahaha
Hindutuva members please recognize your leaders choice. They are already fooling YOU people to attack the innocent and they themselves involve in selling your MAA COW ...
Its Politics to FOOL people who attack innocents without VERIFYing the authenticity of any isssues.. Please WAKE UP. Dont become fools again & again.
BJP's Beef Bhagya... Biryani is yummy :p
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