New Delhi, Jun 26: With looming uncertainty and no likelihood of an early economic recovery in sight, the bull run in gold prices is here to stay. Analysts expect domestic futures to touch ₹ 52,000 per 10 grams in the next few months, till Diwali.
Experts also predict that with the current trend, gold may reach historic levels around ₹ 65,000 per 10 grams in two years time.
Futures of the yellow metal have touched new highs in India off late. On Wednesday, the August contract of gold futures on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) touched an all-time high of Rs 48,589 per 10 grams.
It has, however corrected since and is currently trading at ₹ 48,057 on the MCX, higher by ₹ 116 or 0.24 per cent from its previous close.
Market experts are of the view that both domestic and international gold prices are yet not done breaching records and will touch new highs in days to come.
The resurgence in the number of new cases of coronavirus infection across the globe has added to the uncertainty and fears.
Speaking to media persons, Anuj Gupta, DVP for Commodities and Currencies Research at Angel Broking, noted: "In short term we are expecting it to reach ₹ 48,800-49,000 and for long term, we are expecting ₹ 51,000-Rs 52,000 till Diwali."
On the prices in the international market, he said that it may reach around $1,790 per ounce in the near term from the current levels of $1,762 and the long term, it is likely to be around $1,820-1,850 per ounce.
Gupta noted that with International Monetary Fund's (IMF) latest downward revision of economic outlook, both global and of India, and the rising number of cases and high demand by gold exchange traded funds (ETF) have led to this record breaking rise in gold prices.
Covid-19 battered India's economy is projected to contract by 4.5 per cent this fiscal, according to the IMF and the global output is projected to decline by 4.9 per cent in 2020, 1.9 percentage points below the IMF's April forecast.
Hareesh V, Head of Commodity Research at Geojit Financial Services, said that gold's safe haven appeal will remain on the higher side as there is little hope of a quick global economic recovery amid rising virus cases across the world.
"Increased geopolitical instability and an under-performing dollar also lift the metal's sentiments," he added.
According to Prathamesh Mallya, AVP Research, Non-Agro Commodities & Currencies at Angel Broking, said that with the global output to contract and the economies in a deeper recession than most anticipate, gold as an asset class is a safe bet for investors across the globe.
"Although, the physical demand has declined drastically due to the restrictions and lockdowns, the activity of global central banks and their net purchases of gold signal that uncertainty will continue for most of 2020," he said.
He was also of the view that in the international market price of the metal may move towards $1,850 per ounce and in the domestic market it is likely to move higher towards Rs 50,000 per 10 grams.
"The investment demand as seen in the net additions of ETF holdings also signals that gold will shine for a much longer time even if the pandemic is under control. Till then, keep buying gold, if not in physical form, but in digital form," Mallya added.
Industry insiders like Aditya Pethe, Director, WHP Jewellers said: "I basically feel that the current trend for the gold is bullish and for the coming next 2 years, it is likely to move upwards. No one can predict the exact price as currently the trend is on rise but it might change after 6 months. In general for the coming 6 months to one year, the gold prices are likely to cross $2,000 which comes to roughly Rs 55,000. For a temporary moment it may reduce, basically fluctuate as well but overall trend of gold is going to be bullish."
On his part, Ishu Datwani, Founder, Anmol Jewellers said: "Yes - it's very likely that the gold price could easily go up to Rs 60,000-Rs 65,000 in the next two years. There is also a possibility of it going up even more."
"A lot of banks have been buying gold and there is also a possibility that the Indian rupee will depreciate against the dollar. This and geopolitical reasons will cause bullishness in gold."
Comments
We pray to ALLAH, for your quick recovery
May ALLAH Help you
All the best Mr. Bava!
Bawa ka Eer daane mool?
Yaan moole Yereg aauwuye kiri kiri Car d popina
Mool ragaale ijji selfie geppuni jappuni hahaha.......
Whatever may people say.... Mr. Moideen Bava is able bring a lot of money from state govt or central govt. to his region...and works are in progress. I am not aware of much in politics, but Bava's smiling Photos we can see everywhere (especially in Krishnapura)...and he is a happy man. His smiling face even in the hospital is some thing explains what is \Moideen Bava\". I pray for a speedy recovery. Let him learn more and take interest in helping all poor people of his region whatever may be their religion (Hindu, Muslim, Christian....all.)"
KEEP HOPE ON ALMIGHTY AND HE WILL PROTECT YOU FROM ALL OBSTACLES AND HINDRANCES BY PROVDINDG SERVICES TO THE PEOPLE HONESTLY.
WISH U SPEEDY RECOVERY.
Oh we can see comments from tolerant guys here..
We wish you a speedy recovery bhai.. May Allah protect you and all muslims from all evils.
our prayer are with u MR Bava u have done very good work for surathkal blessing from poor people is always with u
GET WELL SOON
Moideen Bava a Great Personality !!!!!!!!!!! u got 100 crores people blessing.
all goes well, praying for u always.
get well soon bava ji...
our MLA moideen bava we are proud to have u here in our constituency. we expect more good work from your side, for that u have to be healthy and smart. praying always for u, get well soon, will try to visit hospital.
Big Fraud !!!!!!
nobody can do anything to bava as far as we are there, look like bjp is jelousy on bava, may be their is hand behind of this incident
Really sad to hear this, get well soon bava we are with u, u have done very good development work in our locality. we are always kind to u.
ohhh really tragic incident look at the car... praying for speedy recovery of bava kaka.
just missed !!! next time bava be careful :).
ohh bava!!! allah is always with u... people's dua will save u always from all the incidents, keep the good work up, Please careful next time, change the driver soon,
our prayers are with u bava, u have done very good work in surathkal locality, poor people's blessing is always with u, get well soon
Avoid Hitting a pedestrian, pedestrian kathe govinda.
Rash driving caused this accident, Moideen Bava Should be charged.
Add new comment